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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Tue Nov 30 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
The possibility of manufacturing bricks from Quaternary Deposits from Al-Muthanna Governorate/ southern Iraq
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This study is concerned with the identification of the validity of the Recent sediments deposited in the Playa for the purpose of making the laboratory bricks by extrusion and pressing. The steps followed in this study included the formation and then burning of the pyramids at (950-1100) C° for one hour of maturity to determine their applicability to the brick industry. The study area is located in Al Muthanna province, south of Iraq. It is located south of the district of Samawah at a distance of 80 km and to the north-west of Salman district, 64 kilometers south of Baghdad, represented by three hosts: (DHS 1, DH2 and S). The results of the chemical analysis of the study samples showed that they consist of the following major oxides: S

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 27 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Formula of the Name (Faael) in Plural According to the Dictionary Use
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The grammar structure transforms from its fundamental field to another field that takes new dimensions, and is used in another way in speech that differs from the first one, because the formula basis of the name(Faael) in speech is a (distorted characteristic), and the distorted characteristic indicates the stability and the necessity of the characterized. as this characteristic has changed from its use as a distorted characteristic which was established by the elders. to a use that differs from the first and cannot be overlooked to achieve a new purpose, to be used as plural

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Design of Optimal Control for the In-host Tuberculosis Fractional Model
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     In this article, we investigate a mathematical fractional model of tuberculosis that takes into account vaccination as a possible way to treat the disease. We use an in-host tuberculosis fractional model that shows how Macrophages and Mycobacterium tuberculosis interact to knowledge of how vaccination treatments affect macrophages that have not been infected. The existence of optimal control is proven. The Hamiltonian function and the maximum principle of the Pontryagin are used to describe the optimal control. In addition, we use the theory of optimal control to develop an algorithm that leads to choosing the best vaccination plan. The best numerical solutions have been discovered using the forward and backward fractional Euler

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 04 2017
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Studying the Electron Energy Distribution Function (EEDF) and Electron Transport Coefficients in SF6 – He Gas Mixtures by Solving the Boltzmann Equation
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The Boltzmann equation has been solved using (EEDF) package for a pure sulfur hexafluoride (SF6) gas and its mixtures with buffer Helium (He) gas to study the electron energy distribution function EEDF and then the corresponding transport coefficients for various ratios of SF6 and the mixtures. The calculations are graphically represented and discussed for the sake of comparison between the various mixtures. It is found that the various SF6 – He content mixtures have a considerable effect on EEDF and the transport coefficients of the mixtures

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 01 2022
Journal Name
Vostok. Afro-aziatskie Obshchestva: Istoriia I Sovremennost
The carrier of word-formation meaning in russian and arabic gramatic traditions: the word model in the russian-arabic translation algorithm
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The article is devoted to the Russian-Arabic translation, a particular theory of which has not been developed in domestic translation studies to the extent that the mechanisms of translation from and into European languages are described. In this regard, as well as with the growing volumes of Russian-Arabic translation, the issues of this private theory of translation require significant additions and new approaches. The authors set the task of determining the means of translation (cognitive and mental operations and language transformations) that contribute to the achievement of the most equivalent correspondences of such typologically different languages as Russian and Arabic. The work summarizes and analyzes the accumulated exper

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 20 2019
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
North Korea's nuclear program is facing the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
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لخلاصة Nuclear energy is among the most important discoveries reached by the human terms contributed to the solution of many problems faced by the states. The last of these that are not only utilizing it in a peaceful area, but tended toward the military field and the nuclear weapons industry , Among these countries, we find North Korea, which has openly declared their manufacture of nuclear weapons and thus entry to the club of nuclear countries. International Atomic Energy Agency has worked to resolve the North Korea standoff but has not been able to achieve positive results, prompting the intervention of European countries in order to end the crisis. تعدُّ الطاقة النووية من بين أهم الاستكشافا

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 02 2008
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Study the Band Energy Structure and Absorption Coefficient for PbSe Thin Films
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The PbSe alloy was prepared in evacuated quarts tubs by the method of melt quenching from element, the PbSe thin films prepared by thermal evaporation method and deposited at different substrate temperature (Ts) =R.T ,373 and 473K . The thin films that deposited at room temperature (R.T=303)K was annealed at temperature, Ta= R.T, 373 and 473K . By depended on D.C conductivity measurements calculated the density of state (DOS), The density of extended state N(Eext) increases with increasing the Ts and Ta, while the density of localized state N(Eloc) is decreased . We investigated the absorption coefficient (?) that measurement from reflection and transmission spectrum result, and the effect of Ts and Ta on it , also we calculated the tai

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Electric Quadrupole Transitions of Some Even-Even Neon Isotopes
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The reduced electric quadrupole transition strengths B(E2) from the first excited
2+ state to the ground 0+ state of some even-even Neon isotopes (18,20,22,24,26,28Ne)
have been calculated. All studied isotopes composed of 16O nucleus that is
considered as an inert core and the other valence particles considered to move over
the sd-shell model space within 1d5/2, 2s1/2 and 1d3/2 orbits.
The configuration mixing shell model with limiting number of orbitals in the
model space outside the inert core fail to reproduce the measured electric transition
strengths. Therefore, and for the purpose of enhancing the calculations, the
discarded space has been included through a microscopic theory which considers a
particle-

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 01 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
Harmonization formative in the design of interior spaces Hall of discussions in the design department (a model): بدريا محمد حسن فرج
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Can not reach a comprehensive concept for interior design through the use of Harmonization term according transformations experienced by the terms of the variables associated with the backlog of cultures that characterize concepts according to the nature of the users of the spaces in the design output, which necessitates the meaning of the combination of knowledge, art, science, such as the type of perceptions design the Harmonization cognitive science with art to create products of the use of design configurations that help the designer to put such a product within the reality and like the fact that reliable, as well as the rational knowledge tend somehow to the objective specifically in facilitating the substance subject to perceptible

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Publication Date
Thu Apr 27 2017
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Theory and Calculation of the Reorganization Energy of Electron Transfer at Liquid/Liquid Interface
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A description of the theoretical of the reorganization energies have been described  according to the outer-sphere Marcus model .It  is a given expression according this model unable to evaluate the reorganization energy for electron transfer at liquid /liquid interface. The spherical model approach have been used to  evaluate the radius of donor and acceptor liquid alternatively .Theoretical results of  the reorganization free energy for electron transfer at liquid/liquid interface system was  carried out . Matlap program is then used to calculate 𝐸0 for electron transfer reaction between water donor stated and many liquid acceptor state. This shows a good  agreement with the experiment. The results

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