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تحليل وقياس الاستدامة المالية لصندوق التقاعد والضمان الاجتماعي في العراق للمدة 2004-2018
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يعد تحليل السلاسل الزمنية من المواضـيع الهامة في تفسير الظـواهر التي تحدث خلال فترة زمنية معينة. ان الهدف من هذا لتحليل هو الحصـول على وصف وبنـاء أنموذج مناسب من اجل اعطاء صورة مستقبلية واضحة للسلاسل الزمنية المدروسة وان السلاسل الزمنية اهم الادوات المستخدمة في بناء وتقدير والتنبؤ بالظواهر المختلفة وان الاستدامة المالية هي الحالة التي تكون فيها الدولة قادرة على الوفاء بالتزاماتها الحالية والمستقبلية من غير تغيير سياساتها اذ تعتبر من اهم المشاكل التي تواجه الصندوق لارتفاع اعداد الخارجين من الخدمة وارتفاع اعداد المتقاعدين مما يتسبب في ارتفاع حجم انفاق صندوق التقاعد والضمان الاجتماعي ولاعتماد الصندوق على ايرادات الاشتراكات التي يعتمد عليها بشكل شبه تام في تمويل الصندوق اذ استخدمت خصائص السلاسل الزمنية واختبار التكامل المشترك وانموذج متجه تصحيح الخطأ Vector Error Correction Model ومن ثم المقارنة من خلال المعايير,Sum Square Error Root Mean Square Error لإيجاد افضل انموذج من نماذج التمهيد الاسي للتنبؤ بالقيم المستقبلية، اذ تم التوصل الى ان السلاسل الزمنية (الانفاق والايراد) ساكنة بعد اخذ الفرق الاول وفق Augmented Dickey Fuller وتوصل البحث الى ان فترة الابطاء المثلى هي الفترة الثالثة بالاعتماد على معيار Akaike Information Criterion واشار اختبار Johansen – Juselius الى وجود علاقة توازنية طويلة الاجل بين المتغيرات وان هناك علاقة متجه من الايراد الى الانفاق وفق Vector Error Correction Model لان معلمة تصحيح حد الخطأ سالبة ومعنوية وان انموذج متجه تصحيح الخطأ بين نفقات وايرادات الصندوق خالي من مشكلة الارتباط المتسلسل وخالي من مشكلة عدم تجانس التباين وان افضل انموذج للتنبؤ للمتغيرات البحث هو التمهيد الاسي لمعلمتي هولت لأنه اعطى نتائج دقيقة وقريبة من القيم الحقيقية.

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Patterns of parental care for mothers and kindergarten children at social fear
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That the child in the early years of his life learns a lot of experiences that help him
grow properly, and if the availability of the child family atmosphere full of love and affection
and trust he was able to grow healthy growth and is in accordance with itself and with the
community in which they live, and stop method of the child in the expression of fear on the
nature of situation and on the theme of fear and the reaction of those around the child as well
as the vague positions that can not a child from its interpretation raises his fear, and its lead in
life are the kindergarten of the growing concerns him, causing his social concern, therefore,
targeted current research to identify patterns of parental care(mot

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 19 2015
Journal Name
Al-academy
The importance of social acceptability of the universal design: عبد الكريم علي حسين
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The industrial development and raise the level of income that has emerged clearly in the middle of the last century in many rich and medium rich countries has great influence on the risen of the health care level. Which led to a significant increase in the reconstruction of people over 65 years and this in turn has produced markets for products and services through modifications to the existing products to meet their physical needs. The importance of research also has the universal design of a comprehensive actually so that it covers as much as possible from human physical & cultural activities. The importance of research locally is to concentrate on this subject who has not been taken into consideration so far to accommodate the eld

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 03 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
اثر برنامج تدريبي في تعديل سلوك الانسحاب الاجتماعي لدى المتخلفين عقليا تخلفا بسيطاً
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الانسحاب الاجتماعي بغض النظر عن العوامل المسببة له قابل للعلاج حيث وضحت البحوث العلمية إمكانية الحد منه باستخدام أساليب تعديل السلوك .

وهو  نمط سلوكي شائع لدى معظم الفئات ان لم يكن كل فئات الاعاقة ،وينتج هذا النمط السلوكي الانسحاب الاجتماعي عن عوامل عدة فاذا الطفل يعاني من تلف في الجهاز العصبي المركزي فان هذا التلف قد يحول دون قيام الطفل بالنشاطات المطلوبة للعلاج. توضح البحوث العلمية ام

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 30 2021
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
the Employing Quranic studies in the social aspect: (The verses of Hudud, the limit of murder and theft as a model)
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Research Summary

Praise be to God, and may blessings and peace be upon the Messenger of God. As for:

The Noble Qur’an is the constitution of life, and a comprehensive educational approach that deals with individuals comprehensively, as it organizes worldly and eschatological life, and it is a curriculum concerned with organizing life starting with individuals and the family until the establishment of states, and from its comprehensiveness is reform, guidance and establishing boundaries. They have a disease in their hearts. They are exposed to this and are trying, by falsehood, to subjugate the Islamic world with man-made laws set by the West. Their aim is to distance people from

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 17 2022
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Post-interactive communication A study to build a model for the flow of communication in social networking sites
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The issue of the research lies in the non-representation of the models developed for the communication process in the interaction and networking processes through social media, as the research sought to build a network model of communication according to the specific data and features of social media platforms in order to reach a special generalization to understand how the process of networking operates in cyberspace.

The researcher followed the analytical survey approach as she described the communication models outwardly in order to be able to build a networked communication model that represents the flow of post-reactive communication. Therefore, it has been named "Nebula - Sadeem" after the concept of post-space and cosmic g

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
American Folk Art in Light of the Concept of the Social Imagination (Analytical Study): اسعد يوسف الصغير
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The current research is summarized by studying and understanding the imagination and what resulted from it in postmodern arts, specifically Pop Art. The research was focused spatially (America) between the year 1950-1975 AD and it defined the research problem by asking about what factors and variables that established the social imagination in culture Al-Gharbia, which in turn crystallized the Western cultural product to appear in its form, which is historically called "pop art". Two studies were adopted in the second chapter. The first one was the cultural structure of the social imagination. The second topic was concerned with the stylistic diversity of pop art, and the third chapter included research and accreditation procedures. Ther

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Publication Date
Mon May 27 2019
Journal Name
Al-academy
Problems of Social Networking Sites in Nurturing the Aesthetic Taste of Teenagers: زهراء صبحي خزعل
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With the growing number of Internet users, public and private arts activities have become increasingly popular. Adolescents have begun to establish aesthetic taste and new cultural values. This category is the most affected one by the published images and ideas especially in the social networking space and specifically the Facebook. It is the most important problem in their cultural composition. This research aims to detect the problems of social networking sites in nurturing the aesthetic taste of adolescents. The researcher used the analytical descriptive approach to obtain accurate information describing the current situation or depicting the social reality of adolescents. The research concluded that the public discourse in social med

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Extent of the Practice of Iraqi Banks to Manage Profits Using the (LLp it) Model and Its Reflection on the Tax Base, A Case Study of A Sample of Iraqi Private Banks Listed in The Iraqi Stock Exchange
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The research aims to identify the extent to which Iraqi private banks practice profit management motivated by reducing the taxable base by increasing the provision for loan losses by relying on the LLP it model, which consists of a main independent variable (net profit before tax) and independent sub-variables (bank size, total debts to total equity, loans granted to total obligations) under the name of the variables governing the banking business. (Colmgrove-Smirnov) was used to test the normal distribution of data for all banks during the period 2017-2020, and then find the correlation between the main independent variable sub and the dependent variable by means of the correlation coefficient person, and then using the multiple

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Publication Date
Sun May 02 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Application of banking institutions' governance variables and their impact on financial performance as measured by (ROA & ROE): an applied study on a sample of local Islamic banks listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange
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The research seeks to achieve its goal of demonstrating the impact of applying banking governance variables on the financial performance of Islamic banks, and the independent research variables are represented by (X) by (the number of independent members in the board (X1), the number of directors in the board (X2), the number of committees emanating from the board ( X3), the percentage of shares owned by major shareholders in the board (X4), the number of members of the Sharia supervisory board (X5)), and the dependent variable (Y) is represented by (rate of return on assets (Y1), rate of return on equity (Y2)).

The research sample included (4) Islamic banks, namely (Iraqi Islamic Bank, National Islamic Bank, Jihan Islamic Bank,

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 01 2009
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Stress Analysis of Guide Rails of Elevators
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The mechanical design of elevator elements is always performed by international standards. The engineer selects the appropriate elements of elevator according to catalogues without knowing scientific details. Therefore, a theoretical analysis is achieved at two operating conditions for guide rails (1) safety gear operation, and (2) running condition with the loads unevenly distributed on the elevator car. The guide rail is considered a continuous beam with variable supports. Then the British code is listed showing the equations used in it.

The theoretical equations showed that guide rails are never subjected to stress in simultaneous combined buckling and bending in the plane, where the bending moment is exerted. It is always a c

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