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تصميم نموذج دعم قرار الاستبدال باستعمال المحاكاة
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        تظهر الحاجة إلى الاستثمارات الرأسمالية من عدة مصادر كالحاجة إلى توسيع المنشآت الإنتاجية ، أو استجابة لحاجات المجتمع كشراء مكائن ومعدات لتخفيض تلوث الماء والهواء. أما أهم مصادر الحاجة لرؤوس الأموال فإنها تأتي من الموجودات الإنتاجية (باستثناء الأرض) ، حيث تستهلك هذه الموجودات (المكائن والآلات والعُدد) بشكل مستمر جراء الاستخدام ، فالمكائن، مثلا ، تسير دائما في طريقها نحو أكوام الخردة والبعض الآخر منها يصل إلى نهاية عمره الإنتاجي في نهاية كل سنة ، وأحيانا تصل الموجودات الإنتاجية إلى نهاية الطريق بسبب التقادم على الرغم من كونها صالحة للعمل ومن الأمثلة على ذلك الحواسيب الشخصية التي تتقادم بسرعة.

        إن أولى الأسبقيات التي تتطلب الحجم الأكبر من الاستثمارات الرأسمالية هي الحاجة لاستمرار عمل منشات الإنتاج (في قطاعي الصناعة والخدمات) بشكل كفوء ، فالموجودات الإنتاجية يمكن صيانتها أو استبدالها وبقدر تعلق الحاجة إلى رؤوس الأموال فان استبدال الموجودات يتطلب الجزء الأكبر من رؤوس الأموال المتاحة للشركة ، ولا تستهلك الموجودات الإنتاجية بأكملها مرة واحدة لان هذه الحالة لو تحققت فيكون من السهل معرفة تاريخ استبدالها ولكن بالمقابل تتضمن العديد من قرارات إدارة العمليات استثمار رؤوس أموال كبيرة ومن الأمثلة على ذلك توسيع الطاقة وإعادة الترتيب الداخلي والتكامل العمودي والأتمتة وتنصيب نظام خزين محوسب واستبدال تقنيات الإنتاج...... وغيرها.  ويستلزم الاستثمار في عمليات الاستبدال تعاون وظيفي متعدد Cross-Functional Coordination وبالأخص مع وظيفتي المالية والمحاسبة، إذ إن مثل هذه الاستثمارات المالية ينبغي أن تنسجم مع الخطط والقدرات المالية للشركة. فضلا عن ذلك ينبغي إخضاع الاستثمار في استبدال الموجودات الإنتاجية إلى واحد أو أكثر من أدوات التحليل لتثمين أو لتقييم اهميتها نسبة إلى البدائل المتاحة أمام الشركة.

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 24 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
Balance Role in designing cloth curtain: مها غازي توفيق
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Designing cloth is a part from culture and civilization of the area of every state to prove its being in all times because it is grown with Man to establish both goals: usefulness and beauty.It is necessary that designer puts in his mind the importance of the designing sources that he derives his designs from , because those sources are also important in that time especially :The Iraqi Ancient Civilization , the Islamic Civilization and Iraqi Folklores . Not to use the cloth sources that doesn't have well known roots in addition to lacking of elements and bases of balance in its different aspects. In conclusion to that studying research subject comes. (Balance Role in designing cloth curtains) The idea or the problem of the research is t

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Use A State Space Model and Forecast House Prices in Baghdad.
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The purchase of a home and access to housing is one of the most important requirements for the life of the individual and the stability of living and the development of the prices of houses in general and in Baghdad in particular affected by several factors, including the basic area of the house, the age of the house, the neighborhood in which the housing is available and the basic services, Where the statistical model SSM model was used to model house prices over a period of time from 2000 to 2018 and forecast until 2025 The research is concerned with enhancing the importance of this model and describing it as a standard and important compared to the models used in the analysis of time series after obtaining the

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Publication Date
Fri Sep 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
A Comparative Study for Estimate Fractional Parameter of ARFIMA Model
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      Long memory analysis is one of the most active areas in econometrics and time series where various methods have been introduced to identify and estimate the long memory parameter in partially integrated time series. One of the most common models used to represent time series that have a long memory is the ARFIMA (Auto Regressive Fractional Integration Moving Average Model) which diffs are a fractional number called the fractional parameter. To analyze and determine the ARFIMA model, the fractal parameter must be estimated. There are many methods for fractional parameter estimation. In this research, the estimation methods were divided into indirect methods, where the Hurst parameter is estimated fir

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2023
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Building a Statistical Model to Detect Foreground Objects and using it in Video Steganography
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Video steganography has become a popular option for protecting secret data from hacking attempts and common attacks on the internet. However, when the whole video frame(s) are used to embed secret data, this may lead to visual distortion. This work is an attempt to hide sensitive secret image inside the moving objects in a video based on separating the object from the background of the frame, selecting and arranging them according to object's size for embedding secret image. The XOR technique is used with reverse bits between the secret image bits and the detected moving object bits for embedding. The proposed method provides more security and imperceptibility as the moving objects are used for embedding, so it is difficult to notice the

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 20 2011
Journal Name
المؤتمر الدولي الثالث للاحصائيين العرب
Use a form ARX(p,q) to estimate time series for the Iraqi Economy
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Due to the lack of statistical researches in studying with existing (p) of Exogenous Input variables, and there contributed in time series phenomenon as a cause, yielding (q) of Output variables as a result in time series field, to form conceptual idea similar to the Classical Linear Regression that studies the relationship between dependent variable with explanatory variables. So highlight the importance of providing such research to a full analysis of this kind of phenomena important in consumer price inflation in Iraq. Were taken several variables influence and with a direct connection to the phenomenon and analyzed after treating the problem of outliers existence in the observations by (EM) approach, and expand the sample size (n=36) to

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Use Dividend Discount Model , DDM in Stocks Valuation With Framework of Inflation: An Applied Study
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The theme of this Study presents analysis and discuss to the "Share the framework for assessing inflation," a practical study in a sample of joint stock companies listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange for the years (2009-2013). To determine the extent of the disparity between the nominal value of shares (Nominal Value) before deducting inflation and the real value (Real Value) per share, after deducting inflation in the case of zero growth. The study relied on annual reports of the companies of the research sample of the Iraq Stock Exchange, as well as the Iraqi Securities Commission. Besides the annual reports issued by the Ministry of Planning, as well as annual reports and statistical bulletin issued by the Central Bank of Iraq. It is fra

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The Role & Mechanism of Market Makers in Iraqi Stock Market: "Proposal Frame"
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This researchable paper aims to focus of the role & mechanism of market makers in Iraqi stock market through analyzing its role in other Arabian as well as global stock ones, especially in current period through activate the use of bonds, shares, and trying to create a continued price balance. Then decreasing the opportunity having gaps between highest and lowest level without reasonable causes. In addition trying to deactivate the common decision without supported information. Moreover, this paper aims to explain the rules of increasing liquidity and having balance to lead the market into positive direction.  Thus, for achieving the above-mentioned requirements, such conditions should be underlined by market makers as well as t

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Proposed method to estimate missing values in Non - Parametric multiple regression model
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In this paper, we will provide a proposed method to estimate missing values for the Explanatory variables for Non-Parametric Multiple Regression Model and compare it with the Imputation Arithmetic mean Method, The basis of the idea of this method was based on how to employ the causal relationship between the variables in finding an efficient estimate of the missing value, we rely on the use of the Kernel estimate by Nadaraya – Watson Estimator , and on Least Squared Cross Validation (LSCV) to estimate the Bandwidth, and we use the simulation study to compare between the two methods.

 

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Crossref
Publication Date
Thu Jun 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Some Robust methods for Estimates the power Spectrum in ARMA Models Simulation Study
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Abstract:

Robust statistics Known as, resistance to errors caused by deviation from the stability hypotheses of the statistical operations (Reasonable, Approximately Met, Asymptotically Unbiased, Reasonably Small Bias, Efficient ) in the data selected in a wide range of probability distributions whether they follow a normal distribution or a mixture of other distributions deviations different standard .

power spectrum function lead to, President role in the analysis of Stationary random processes, form stable random variables organized according to time, may be discrete random variables or continuous. It can be described by measuring its total capacity as function in frequency.

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Applied probability model of inventory multi- period in stores of cement factory in Samawah
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In this paper will be applied to a probability model of inventories periods of multiple stores of raw materials used in the cement industry, cement factory in Samawah and basic materials are limestone, soil normal, iron soil, fuel oil and gypsum. It was built of this model after the test and determine the distribution of demand during the supply period (waiting period) for each subject and independently of the rest of the material as it is not affected by any of the materials above interrelated in the process of supply, this test has been using the Statistical Package of (SPSS) and then was determining the amount of request optimum seeking in each batch and each substance known volume of economic optimization of

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