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تصميم نموذج دعم قرار الاستبدال باستعمال المحاكاة
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        تظهر الحاجة إلى الاستثمارات الرأسمالية من عدة مصادر كالحاجة إلى توسيع المنشآت الإنتاجية ، أو استجابة لحاجات المجتمع كشراء مكائن ومعدات لتخفيض تلوث الماء والهواء. أما أهم مصادر الحاجة لرؤوس الأموال فإنها تأتي من الموجودات الإنتاجية (باستثناء الأرض) ، حيث تستهلك هذه الموجودات (المكائن والآلات والعُدد) بشكل مستمر جراء الاستخدام ، فالمكائن، مثلا ، تسير دائما في طريقها نحو أكوام الخردة والبعض الآخر منها يصل إلى نهاية عمره الإنتاجي في نهاية كل سنة ، وأحيانا تصل الموجودات الإنتاجية إلى نهاية الطريق بسبب التقادم على الرغم من كونها صالحة للعمل ومن الأمثلة على ذلك الحواسيب الشخصية التي تتقادم بسرعة.

        إن أولى الأسبقيات التي تتطلب الحجم الأكبر من الاستثمارات الرأسمالية هي الحاجة لاستمرار عمل منشات الإنتاج (في قطاعي الصناعة والخدمات) بشكل كفوء ، فالموجودات الإنتاجية يمكن صيانتها أو استبدالها وبقدر تعلق الحاجة إلى رؤوس الأموال فان استبدال الموجودات يتطلب الجزء الأكبر من رؤوس الأموال المتاحة للشركة ، ولا تستهلك الموجودات الإنتاجية بأكملها مرة واحدة لان هذه الحالة لو تحققت فيكون من السهل معرفة تاريخ استبدالها ولكن بالمقابل تتضمن العديد من قرارات إدارة العمليات استثمار رؤوس أموال كبيرة ومن الأمثلة على ذلك توسيع الطاقة وإعادة الترتيب الداخلي والتكامل العمودي والأتمتة وتنصيب نظام خزين محوسب واستبدال تقنيات الإنتاج...... وغيرها.  ويستلزم الاستثمار في عمليات الاستبدال تعاون وظيفي متعدد Cross-Functional Coordination وبالأخص مع وظيفتي المالية والمحاسبة، إذ إن مثل هذه الاستثمارات المالية ينبغي أن تنسجم مع الخطط والقدرات المالية للشركة. فضلا عن ذلك ينبغي إخضاع الاستثمار في استبدال الموجودات الإنتاجية إلى واحد أو أكثر من أدوات التحليل لتثمين أو لتقييم اهميتها نسبة إلى البدائل المتاحة أمام الشركة.

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Publication Date
Tue Apr 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Evaluation Age and Gender for General Census of the population in Iraq by using nonparametric Bayesian Kernel Estimators
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The process of evaluating data (age and the gender structure) is one of the important factors that help any country to draw plans and programs for the future. Discussed the errors in population data for the census of Iraqi population of 1997. targeted correct and revised to serve the purposes of planning. which will be smoothing the population databy using nonparametric regression estimator (Nadaraya-Watson estimator) This estimator depends on bandwidth (h) which can be calculate it by two ways of using Bayesian method, the first when observations distribution is Lognormal Kernel and the second is when observations distribution is Normal Kernel

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 05 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Estimating the Population Mean in Stratified Random Sampling Using Combined Regression with the Presence of Outliers
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In this research, the covariance estimates were used to estimate the population mean in the stratified random sampling and combined regression estimates. were compared by employing the robust variance-covariance matrices estimates with combined regression estimates by employing the traditional variance-covariance matrices estimates when estimating the regression parameter, through the two efficiency criteria (RE) and mean squared error (MSE). We found that robust estimates significantly improved the quality of combined regression estimates by reducing the effect of outliers using robust covariance and covariance matrices estimates (MCD, MVE) when estimating the regression parameter. In addition, the results of the simulation study proved

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Selection of the initial value of the time series generating the first-order self-regression model in simulation modeAnd their impact on the accuracy of the model
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In this paper, compared eight methods for generating the initial value and the impact of these methods to estimate the parameter of a autoregressive model, as was the use of three of the most popular methods to estimate the model and the most commonly used by researchers MLL method, Barg method  and the least squares method and that using the method of simulation model  first order autoregressive through the design of a number of simulation experiments and the different sizes of the samples.

                  

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 15 2020
Journal Name
Al-academy
Simulation As One Of The Tools Of Visual Thinking And Its Effect On Developing Drawing And Design Skills To Produce Innovative Artworks: عائشة عبد الجبار العيسى
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The research emphasizes importance of preliminary drawings in design of any product. Therefore, using of simulation as tools for visual thinking in developing drawing and design skills. So that practice of drawing by hand, considering shape of ideas in first stage of visualizations, and practice of its techniques and continuous training.
Hence, the research problem arose with the role of simulation method for developing preliminary sketches in the sample of students of the Product Design Department at the College of Design and Art, PNU, as it is important tool for visual thinking that helps the designer in designing and producing innovative artistic works.
Therefore, the research axes, a number of findings and recommendations were

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Use Simulation To Differentiate Between Some Modern Methods To the Model GM(1,1) To Find Missing Values And Estimate Parameters With A Practical Application
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Abstract

       The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a he

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Probabilistic Model building using the Transformation Entropy for the Burr type –xii Distribution
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Entropy define as uncertainty measure has been transfared by using the cumulative distribution function and reliability function for the Burr type – xii. In the case of data which suffer from volatility to build a model the probability distribution on every failure of a sample after achieving limitations function, probabilistic distribution. Has been derived formula probability distribution of the new transfer application entropy on the probability distribution of continuous Burr Type-XII and tested a new function and found that it achieved the conditions function probability, been derived mean and function probabilistic aggregate in order to be approved in the generation of data for the purpose of implementation of simulation

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 05 2022
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
K-Nearest Neighbor Method with Principal Component Analysis for Functional Nonparametric Regression
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This paper proposed a new  method to study functional non-parametric regression data analysis with conditional expectation in the case that the covariates  are functional and the Principal Component Analysis was utilized to de-correlate the multivariate response variables. It  utilized the formula of the Nadaraya Watson estimator (K-Nearest Neighbour (KNN)) for prediction with different types of the semi-metrics, (which are based on Second Derivative and Functional Principal Component Analysis (FPCA))  for measureing the closeness between curves.  Root Mean Square Errors is used for the  implementation of this model which is then compared to the independent response method. R program is used for analysing data. Then, when  the cov

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 18 2020
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
New Versions of Liu-type Estimator in Weighted and non-weighted Mixed Regression Model
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This paper considers and proposes new estimators that depend on the sample and on prior information in the case that they either are equally or are not equally important in the model. The prior information is described as linear stochastic restrictions. We study the properties and the performances of these estimators compared to other common estimators using the mean squared error as a criterion for the goodness of fit. A numerical example and a simulation study are proposed to explain the performance of the estimators.

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Publication Date
Mon Mar 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The study of the effect of the use of programming in the linear programming model (applied study)
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The parametric programming considered as type of sensitivity analysis. In this research concerning to study the effect of the variations on linear programming model (objective function coefficients and right hand side) on the optimal solution. To determine the parameter (θ) value (-5≤ θ ≤5).Whereas the result، the objective function equal  zero and the decision variables are non basic، when the parameter (θ = -5).The objective function value increases when the parameter (θ= 5) and the decision variables are basic، with the except of X24, X34.Whenever the parameter value increase, the objectiv

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Publication Date
Sat Apr 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Application the generalized estimating equation Method (GEE) to estimate of conditional logistic regression model for repeated measurements
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Conditional logistic regression is often used to study the relationship between event outcomes and specific prognostic factors in order to application of logistic regression and utilizing its predictive capabilities into environmental studies. This research seeks to demonstrate a novel approach of implementing conditional logistic regression in environmental research through inference methods predicated on longitudinal data. Thus, statistical analysis of longitudinal data requires methods that can properly take into account the interdependence within-subjects for the response measurements. If this correlation ignored then inferences such as statistical tests and confidence intervals can be invalid largely.

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