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تصميم نموذج دعم قرار الاستبدال باستعمال المحاكاة

        تظهر الحاجة إلى الاستثمارات الرأسمالية من عدة مصادر كالحاجة إلى توسيع المنشآت الإنتاجية ، أو استجابة لحاجات المجتمع كشراء مكائن ومعدات لتخفيض تلوث الماء والهواء. أما أهم مصادر الحاجة لرؤوس الأموال فإنها تأتي من الموجودات الإنتاجية (باستثناء الأرض) ، حيث تستهلك هذه الموجودات (المكائن والآلات والعُدد) بشكل مستمر جراء الاستخدام ، فالمكائن، مثلا ، تسير دائما في طريقها نحو أكوام الخردة والبعض الآخر منها يصل إلى نهاية عمره الإنتاجي في نهاية كل سنة ، وأحيانا تصل الموجودات الإنتاجية إلى نهاية الطريق بسبب التقادم على الرغم من كونها صالحة للعمل ومن الأمثلة على ذلك الحواسيب الشخصية التي تتقادم بسرعة.

        إن أولى الأسبقيات التي تتطلب الحجم الأكبر من الاستثمارات الرأسمالية هي الحاجة لاستمرار عمل منشات الإنتاج (في قطاعي الصناعة والخدمات) بشكل كفوء ، فالموجودات الإنتاجية يمكن صيانتها أو استبدالها وبقدر تعلق الحاجة إلى رؤوس الأموال فان استبدال الموجودات يتطلب الجزء الأكبر من رؤوس الأموال المتاحة للشركة ، ولا تستهلك الموجودات الإنتاجية بأكملها مرة واحدة لان هذه الحالة لو تحققت فيكون من السهل معرفة تاريخ استبدالها ولكن بالمقابل تتضمن العديد من قرارات إدارة العمليات استثمار رؤوس أموال كبيرة ومن الأمثلة على ذلك توسيع الطاقة وإعادة الترتيب الداخلي والتكامل العمودي والأتمتة وتنصيب نظام خزين محوسب واستبدال تقنيات الإنتاج...... وغيرها.  ويستلزم الاستثمار في عمليات الاستبدال تعاون وظيفي متعدد Cross-Functional Coordination وبالأخص مع وظيفتي المالية والمحاسبة، إذ إن مثل هذه الاستثمارات المالية ينبغي أن تنسجم مع الخطط والقدرات المالية للشركة. فضلا عن ذلك ينبغي إخضاع الاستثمار في استبدال الموجودات الإنتاجية إلى واحد أو أكثر من أدوات التحليل لتثمين أو لتقييم اهميتها نسبة إلى البدائل المتاحة أمام الشركة.

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Use A State Space Model and Forecast House Prices in Baghdad.

The purchase of a home and access to housing is one of the most important requirements for the life of the individual and the stability of living and the development of the prices of houses in general and in Baghdad in particular affected by several factors, including the basic area of the house, the age of the house, the neighborhood in which the housing is available and the basic services, Where the statistical model SSM model was used to model house prices over a period of time from 2000 to 2018 and forecast until 2025 The research is concerned with enhancing the importance of this model and describing it as a standard and important compared to the models used in the analysis of time series after obtaining the

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Use Dividend Discount Model , DDM in Stocks Valuation With Framework of Inflation: An Applied Study

The theme of this Study presents analysis and discuss to the "Share the framework for assessing inflation," a practical study in a sample of joint stock companies listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange for the years (2009-2013). To determine the extent of the disparity between the nominal value of shares (Nominal Value) before deducting inflation and the real value (Real Value) per share, after deducting inflation in the case of zero growth. The study relied on annual reports of the companies of the research sample of the Iraq Stock Exchange, as well as the Iraqi Securities Commission. Besides the annual reports issued by the Ministry of Planning, as well as annual reports and statistical bulletin issued by the Central Bank of Iraq. It is fra

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Publication Date
Fri Sep 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
A Comparative Study for Estimate Fractional Parameter of ARFIMA Model

      Long memory analysis is one of the most active areas in econometrics and time series where various methods have been introduced to identify and estimate the long memory parameter in partially integrated time series. One of the most common models used to represent time series that have a long memory is the ARFIMA (Auto Regressive Fractional Integration Moving Average Model) which diffs are a fractional number called the fractional parameter. To analyze and determine the ARFIMA model, the fractal parameter must be estimated. There are many methods for fractional parameter estimation. In this research, the estimation methods were divided into indirect methods, where the Hurst parameter is estimated fir

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Applied probability model of inventory multi- period in stores of cement factory in Samawah

In this paper will be applied to a probability model of inventories periods of multiple stores of raw materials used in the cement industry, cement factory in Samawah and basic materials are limestone, soil normal, iron soil, fuel oil and gypsum. It was built of this model after the test and determine the distribution of demand during the supply period (waiting period) for each subject and independently of the rest of the material as it is not affected by any of the materials above interrelated in the process of supply, this test has been using the Statistical Package of (SPSS) and then was determining the amount of request optimum seeking in each batch and each substance known volume of economic optimization of

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2023
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Building a Statistical Model to Detect Foreground Objects and using it in Video Steganography

Video steganography has become a popular option for protecting secret data from hacking attempts and common attacks on the internet. However, when the whole video frame(s) are used to embed secret data, this may lead to visual distortion. This work is an attempt to hide sensitive secret image inside the moving objects in a video based on separating the object from the background of the frame, selecting and arranging them according to object's size for embedding secret image. The XOR technique is used with reverse bits between the secret image bits and the detected moving object bits for embedding. The proposed method provides more security and imperceptibility as the moving objects are used for embedding, so it is difficult to notice the

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Some Robust methods for Estimates the power Spectrum in ARMA Models Simulation Study

Abstract:

Robust statistics Known as, resistance to errors caused by deviation from the stability hypotheses of the statistical operations (Reasonable, Approximately Met, Asymptotically Unbiased, Reasonably Small Bias, Efficient ) in the data selected in a wide range of probability distributions whether they follow a normal distribution or a mixture of other distributions deviations different standard .

power spectrum function lead to, President role in the analysis of Stationary random processes, form stable random variables organized according to time, may be discrete random variables or continuous. It can be described by measuring its total capacity as function in frequency.

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 20 2019
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Teen-Computer Interaction: Building a Conceptual Model with Thoughts- Emotion-Behaviour

Teen-Computer Interaction (TeenCI) stands in an infant phase and emerging in positive path. Compared to Human-Computer Interaction (generally dedicated to adult) and Child-Computer Interaction, TeenCI gets less interest in terms of research efforts and publications. This has revealed extensive prospects for researchers to explore and contribute in the region of computer design and evaluation for teen, in specific. As a subclass of HCI and a complementary for CCI, TeenCI that tolerates teen group, should be taken significant concern in the sense of its context, nature, development, characteristics and architecture. This paper tends to discover teen’s emotion contribution as the first attempt towards building a conceptual model for TeenC

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The Role & Mechanism of Market Makers in Iraqi Stock Market: "Proposal Frame"

This researchable paper aims to focus of the role & mechanism of market makers in Iraqi stock market through analyzing its role in other Arabian as well as global stock ones, especially in current period through activate the use of bonds, shares, and trying to create a continued price balance. Then decreasing the opportunity having gaps between highest and lowest level without reasonable causes. In addition trying to deactivate the common decision without supported information. Moreover, this paper aims to explain the rules of increasing liquidity and having balance to lead the market into positive direction.  Thus, for achieving the above-mentioned requirements, such conditions should be underlined by market makers as well as t

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Publication Date
Mon Aug 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
design Electronic cost accounting system for the Iraqi Airways Company

The research Was based to on a real problem and realistically of represented by that  Iraqi Airways company does not have the electronic cost accounting system and therefore  be the process of  the pricing various services provided by a company sample research respecting  air transport and air cargo and aviation fuel and services and catering are not properly especially in the presence of new data from the new companies entering competition in Iraqi aviation industry and therefore does not provide price flexibility in order to compete in getting market share, And then research this problem addressed through design an electronic cost Accounting system covers all the costs incurred by the compan

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 12 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
The effect of pedestrian roads in providing a comfortable environment for humans

Planning of cities show great attention on streets planning as one of the most structural component foundations for cities, that providing many functional needs and connect parts of the city each other, and work as a commercial and services activities centers. Instead of this highly focused on distributing streets with different streets types such as economical and trading and housing streets. This concerned was only on the dimensions and scales of different types of vehicles and their movement. When scale and dimension and movement of mans were as a second priority in designing and planning streets. Which came's first for traditional streets. The research try to submit some designs guides for planners that contribute in re conce

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