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jeasiq-567
التنبؤ بقيم السلاسل الزمنية بأستعمال أنموذج (ARMAX) مع تطبيق عملي
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Abstract :

          Researchers have great interest in studying the black box models this thesis has been focused in the study one of the black box models , a ARMAX model which is one of the important models and can be accessed through a number of special cases which models (AR , MA , ARMA, ARX) , which combines method of the time series that depend on historical data and and regression method as explanatory variables addition to that past errors , ARMAX model importance has appeared in many areas of application that direct contact with our daily lives , it consists of constructing ARMAX model several traditional stages of the process , a identification As it was used Final prediction error (FPE) , Akaiki Information Criterion (AIC) and estimate As it was used Recursive least square with Forgetting Factor (RLS – F) and  Recursive pseudolinear regression method (RPLR) which come in the first place and  (RLS – F) which come in the second place  and finally come prediction for (30) value of the daily maximum temperature depending on the daily wind speed .  

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Publication Date
Fri Apr 04 2025
Journal Name
Lark Journal For Philosophy , Linguistics And Social Sciences
The Effective Ideology of Benjamin Tammuz’s Works
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Publication Date
Wed Sep 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
مقارنة طرائق تقدير المعلمات والمعولية لانماذج الاختبارات المعجلة والنمو لبيانات المراقبة من النوع الثاني مع تطبيق عملي
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Reliability has an important role in both the industrial and engineering applications. So the need for Reliability Tests appeared are series of tests a discover out of factors that  appear through the test, knowledge limit of fit a specifics production addition for getting on goodness of production.

Therefore, the need for research to test for censor data from ( Type II ) for exponential distribution with one parameter and that test it’s (Reliability Growth) includes three curves are Idealized Growth curve estimation parameters and reliability with maximum likelihood method, Duane Growth curve takes estimation parameters and reliability with least squares method, Exponential Reliability Growth Cur

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
التطورات العالمية وانعكاساتها على تنافسية الصناعة في العراق دولياً - بحث نظري
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خلال الربع الأخير من القرن العشرين ، شهد الاقتصاد العالمي تحولا في مختلف المجالات التجارية والتكنولوجية والمالية التي غيرت هيكلها وأنتجت وضعا جديدا يتمثل بشكل رئيس في زيادة حركة رأس المال الأجنبي والتوسع السريع للإنتاج الدولي والتجارة بالإضافة إلى التطور التكنولوجي الهائل ونقل التكنولوجيا ، مما أدى إلى هوس الدول بالمنافسة على المستوى العالمي والسعي لدخول الأسواق الدولية وتحسين قدرتها التنافسية. وت

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Publication Date
Fri Oct 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
المهارات الناعمة للموارد البشرية ودورها في الاداء الاستراتيجي بحث ميداني في عينة من مديريات وزارة التربية
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The research aims to analyze the relationships of influence and influence between the soft skills of human resources and strategic performance, as the soft skills of human resources constitute the engine for all duties and operations carried out by the organization, and as a result of sharp changes in the environment, it was necessary for this organization to determine the most important financial and non-financial indicators that are required Approving it in achieving strategic performance to ensure its survival and continuity in work. The research problem was represented by a decrease in cognitive awareness of the importance of employing soft skills for human resources in achieving the indicators of strategic financial and non-

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Historical Value of Dickens’s A Tale of Two Cities
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In "historical" fiction, characters that never really existed, give expression to the impact of historical events on the people who really did live through them. The result is not history, as an accurate record of actual events, but fiction in which an earlier age is rendered through the personal joys and sufferings of characters. This paper
aims at investigating the historical realities presented in Dickens’s A Tale of Two Cities.

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
تأثیرات شحنة الفراغ في التصمیم النظري لقاذف الكتروني باستخدام عدسة مغمورة لحالتي التكبیر المحدد العالي والواطئ: تأثیرات شحنة الفراغ في التصمیم النظري لقاذف الكتروني باستخدام عدسة مغمورة لحالتي التكبیر المحدد العالي والواطئ
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الخلاصة
ة ө تخدام عدس ө ي باس ө اذف الكترون ө میم ق ө وب لتص ө تخدام الحاس ө ة باس ө ة نظری ө تم في ھذا البحث اجراء دراس
مغمورة ثنائیة الاقطاب لحالة التكبیر المحدد مع الاخذ بنظر الاعتبار تاثیرات شحنة الفراغ على تصمیم القاذف.
ن ө وري م ө د المح ө تم التوصل لاختیار الشكل المناسب لاقطاب ھذه العدسة من خلال دراسة توزیع الجھ
ة ө ل معادل ө ن ح ө وم (Finite element methode) ةө ر المتناھی ө ة العناص ө تخدام طریق ө حل معادلة بوزان و

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2011
Journal Name
Anbar Journal Of Agricultural Sciences
Using Efficiency of Labor and Capital Resource in the Production Fields on Chicken Meat (Jalawla–Diyala Governorate)
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Publication Date
Mon Aug 03 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
أثر تطبيق الضريبة الانتقائية على السجائر في زيادة الحصيلة الضريبية: The effect of applying the selective tax on cigarettes on increasing the tax revenue
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The increasing rates of consumption of cigarettes harmful, to health in the world in general, and in Iraq in particular, and because of the costs borne by individuals, and the state as a result of addressing its damage, as well as Iraq's commitment, to international conventions against cigarettes, and demands of the World Health Organization, to raise prices to reduce consumption. Therefore, the tax Selectivity is one of the most important ways of regulating the consumption of this commodity on the one hand and increasing the tax revenue on the other. The research aims to shed light on the issue of selective tax on cigarettes and the impact of their application in increasing tax revenues and identify the effectiveness of the application

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
المستخلص ان استخدام الموارد الاقتصادية التي يتمتع العراق بها ولاسيما الموارد النفطية ، التي تشكل المصدر الاساس للعوائد المالية ، من شأنه ان يزيد الفائض الاقتصادي خارج القطاع النفطي من خلال تعبئة وتحشيد القوى العاملة وتحويلها الى أصول رأسمالية ، كان
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     The use of economic resources enjoyed Iraq by especially oil resources, which constitute the main source of financial revenue, would the economic surplus outside the oil sector increases by mobilizing and rallying the labor power and turn it into an access capitalism, , was the cause of "the inaction of the productive sectors of the economy, made the investment planning process and even investment in human capital was not rationality with the increasing number of unemployed, particularly certificates and specializations high campaign, direction of the government towards market liberalism after 2003 through the, was focused not follow a clear economic policies, and the absence of planning, and the absence

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 16 2022
Journal Name
Modern Sport
Academic resilience and a relationship to the performance of the handstand skill College of Physical Education and Sports Science for Girls, University of Baghdad
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Abstract The importance of the research lies through the use of the academic resilience scale, which expresses the psychological state that spoke about the students and their ability to perform the handstand skill for the third stage students in the College of Physical Education and Sports Sciences for Girls - University of Baghdad.The problem of the research is that the psychological state that the students go through through performing the handstand skill and through the follow-up and observation of the researchers for the students’ performance, they found an imbalance in the performance of the handstand skill due to the pressures and difficulties they face in performing this skill, so the researchers decided to study resilience The aca

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