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jeasiq-567
التنبؤ بقيم السلاسل الزمنية بأستعمال أنموذج (ARMAX) مع تطبيق عملي
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Abstract :

          Researchers have great interest in studying the black box models this thesis has been focused in the study one of the black box models , a ARMAX model which is one of the important models and can be accessed through a number of special cases which models (AR , MA , ARMA, ARX) , which combines method of the time series that depend on historical data and and regression method as explanatory variables addition to that past errors , ARMAX model importance has appeared in many areas of application that direct contact with our daily lives , it consists of constructing ARMAX model several traditional stages of the process , a identification As it was used Final prediction error (FPE) , Akaiki Information Criterion (AIC) and estimate As it was used Recursive least square with Forgetting Factor (RLS – F) and  Recursive pseudolinear regression method (RPLR) which come in the first place and  (RLS – F) which come in the second place  and finally come prediction for (30) value of the daily maximum temperature depending on the daily wind speed .  

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 07 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
COMPARISON BETEEEN THE CONSUMPTION OF RED MEAT AND WHITE MEAT FOR ASAMPLE OF CITIZENS OF THE CITY OF BAGHDAD/ AN EXPLORATORY STUDY : COMPARISON BETEEEN THE CONSUMPTION OF RED MEAT AND WHITE MEAT FOR ASAMPLE OF CITIZENS OF THE CITY OF BAGHDAD/ AN EXPLORATORY STUDY
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Three hundred Iraqi people participated in demographic and attitudes study about red and white meat consumption. The mean age of the participants was 50 SD ± 11 years (mean 30-72); 51% were females and 49% males, mostly in forties who lived ≥ 5 years in Baghdad. The results showed that 80% of individuals prefer red meat. A 90% of people prefer fresh meat compared to frozen and processed meat. A 60% of people buy meat from popular markets. Nearly 87% of respondents believe the improving of livestock sector is essential and 80% of people confirmed there are obstacles to development this sector. An 80% of participates thought the reasons of the high prices of local fresh meat is the lack of plann

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 30 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
IRAQI CONSUMER AWARENESS OFF THE RISK ASSOCIATED WITH CONSUMING CANNED FOOD: IRAQI CONSUMER AWARENESS OFF THE RISK ASSOCIATED WITH CONSUMING CANNED FOOD
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The aim of this research was to indicate the opinion of the Iraqi consumer awareness of the risks associated with consuming canned food, the questionnaire was included 20 questions for label information, consumer culture, shopping, marketing, awareness and knowledge as a tool to survey the opinions of 300 consumers in Baghdad, the data was analyzed by using percentage, weighted mean, and weight percent, the results obtained showed that the Iraqi consumer need more information, training and guidance programs in food safety handling issue for canned food, especially in analysis of label information and growing of consumer culture for shopping, right marketing, awareness and knowledge.

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
" أنعكاس تبني المعيار المحاسبي الدولي رقم ( 2 ) للقطاع العام على بيان التدفق النقدي "
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يعد بيان التدفق النقدي من البيانات المهمة الصادرة من الوحدات الحكومية غير الهادفة للربح، بعد تبنيها معايير IPSASs ، مما يوفر معلومات اوسع تلبي حاجات المستخدمين لأتخاذ القرارات المناسبة . أذ يتضمن بيان التدفق النقدي بموجب المعيار رقم ( 2 ) التدفقات النقدية حسب الأنشطة التشغيلية و الاستثمارية والتمويلية ، وهذا لا ينسجم مع مخرجات النظام المحاسبي الحكومي العراقي . وان هدف البحث هو  التعرف

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
القصة ضمن قصة أخرى كوسیلة لمضاعفة واقعیتھا: قضیة "الموت والخادم الراقص"، روایة بقلم نكایو مارش: القصة ضمن قصة أخرى كوسیلة لمضاعفة واقعیتھا: قضیة "الموت والخادم الراقص"، روایة بقلم نكایو مارش
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الخلاصة
١٩٨٢ ) وھي كاتبة روایات بولیسیة من مدینة كرایستتش رتش ف ي - ولدت السیدة نكایو أدیث مارش ( ١٨٩٩
اً وف ي روای ات a د میت a ل یرق a نیوزیلندة وأشتھرت ببطلھا المفتش الأقدم رودری ك أل ین ال ذي یظھ ر ف ي روایتھ ا رج
بضمنھا الموت والخادم الراقص ١٩٤٢ وقد الفت عشرین روایة.
توماس ھو الخادم الراقص الذي تھزه أغنیة مرح ة منبعث ة م ن م ذیاع ف ي غرف ة الت دخین حی ث یرق د ویلی ام
میتاً بعد أن قتلھ أخوه نیكولاس، وھو الذي ی

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Computer-assisted Programme for the Teaching of the English Syllable in RP Allophonic Pronunciation
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Native speakers of English from different parts of the world have different accents,but the differences of accents are mainly the result of differences in the sound of  vowels  and consonants . The actual use of all these sounds in combination leads the speaker to produce a number of segments which only appear on the production level and realized on the perceptual  one . RP pronunciation represents the teachable variety in all Iraqi universities because it is the most acceptable and understandable accent all over the world and not only in South East London ..The structure of the English syllable in RP  pronunciation is influenced by the appearance of certain allophones especially aspiration and glottalization which ch

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 03 2020
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
The Requirement of the National Democratic project in Iraq post Daesh Terrorist Group Stage
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This study aims at re-transmit the spirit of the national democratic project of Iraq post of the chaos left by the Daesh terrorist group stage(The Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, ISIS) , Which controlled large parts of Iraq, and had an adverse effect on the political scene in Iraq, inspired everyone that there are deficiencies in the political, economic, religious and ethnic structure of the Iraqi people in non-response to democratic thought.The researcher relied on the hypothesis that " the requirements of building a democratic project are based on the need to provide the requirements ranging from two interrelated aspects, like the institutional aspect and the aspect that related to the general and necessary requirements for the establ

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 16 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Humanities And Social Sciences Researches
The Role and Importance of Electronic Automation in Banking Service Development: A Case Study of the Commercial Bank of Iraq
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Electronic banking services appeared as a result of laying the foundations for the application of electronic automation in the banking field, and despite the clear expansion in its adoption and implementation as an inevitable necessity imposed by international and national developments, its application was not ideal according to the level that was expected to occur after the abandonment of traditional banking services, which produced some risks Which is evident in the absence of a legal system, whether at the level of proving and authoritative electronic banking services such as electronic signature, Or at the level of protecting the confidentiality of these services and ensuring that they are not exp

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The possibility of applying ABC system in service companies: Application study in Dar A’salam Bank Diwaniyah department
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The studies in ABC system have become so many nowadays especially in industrial companies. But they are almost rare in service companies and that has put more difficulties in front of the researcher.

This study consists of two sides, theoretical and practical. The first side (theoretical) deals with the most important features of ABC system and it focuses on its characteristics, standards and aims. While the practical side deals with the practice of this system in one of these service companies which is Dar-A’Salam Bank. The researcher has made use of being the accounting adviser of the bank and that he can get the necessary data. He has come up with, after making a comparison between the cost of ABC system and traditional cost

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 05 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
أثر تعلم اللغة باستخدام الحاسوب في اتجاھات الطالبات نحو الأستیعاب: أثر تعلم اللغة باستخدام الحاسوب في اتجاھات الطالبات نحو الأستیعاب
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Abstract
The study is the product of an on-line session with Oregon University. It aims
at developing the students’ attitudes toward using computers in learning to get the
advantages of CALL and autonomous learning. The researcher has depended on a
one-group design of a pre-scale and post-scale to measure the effect due to exposure
to computer using.

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Crisis Mangement Strategy Conceptual framing according to the Islamic perspective
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The research concern about the conceptual framework of crisis in the strategic view has become to mean opportunity to change not threat only. The research explains the multi stages of crisis & its characteristics that are difference from catastrophe and disaster. We rely on two criteria of classification of crisis (predictability & influence possibilities). Also there are sub crises with the main crisis; the important one is the Maida Crisis which is related with the informational dimension & the Psychological Crisis which is related with the Human dimension or the victim management. The current research aimed to develop crises management strategy according to Islamic perspective based on model of ( Augustine, 1995).&

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