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jeasiq-2276
Using a hybrid SARIMA-NARNN Model to Forecast the Numbers of Infected with (COVID-19) in Iraq
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Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an acute disease that affects the respiratory system which initially appeared in Wuhan, China. In Feb 2019 the sickness began to spread swiftly throughout the entire planet, causing significant health, social, and economic problems. Time series is an important statistical method used to study and analyze a particular phenomenon, identify its pattern and factors, and use it to predict future values. The main focus of the research is to shed light on the study of SARIMA, NARNN, and hybrid models, expecting that the series comprises both linear and non-linear compounds, and that the ARIMA model can deal with the linear component and the NARNN model can deal with the non-linear component. The models were applied in the health sector to predict the numbers of people infected with the Covid-19 virus in Iraq where the data were collected via the website of the Iraqi Ministry of Health through the daily epidemiological situation of all Iraqi provinces for the period (2021\3\28 to 2021\8\15). When analyzing, studying, and comparing these models, the researcher noted that the hybrid model outperformed other models because it had the lowest value for the MSE, RMSE, MAE, and MAPE so it was used to predict future values.

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 01 2022
Journal Name
Acta Facultatis Medicae Naissensis
Asthma as a risk factor for The progression of COVID-19
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Background: Asthma is one of the most common chronic respiratory diseases in the world, standing for the most frequent cause for hospitalization and emergency cases. Respiratory viruses are the most triggering cause. Aim: To assess the role of viral infections, especially COVID-19, in the pathogenesis of asthma initiation and exacerbations. Method: Electronic search was done for the manuscripts focusing on asthma as a risk factor for complications after COVID-19 infection. The outcomes were titles, materials, methods and classified studies related or not related to the review study. Three hundred publications were identified and only ten studies were selected for analysis. Seven studies were review, one retrospective, one longitudin

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2023
Journal Name
Rawal Medical Journal
Procalcitonin Level In COVID-19 Patients: A single center study
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Objective: The study the association of procalcitonin (PCT) and c-reactive protein (CRP) levels in COVID-19 patients and it's role as a guide in progress and management of those patients. Methodology: This cross-sectional study analyzed 200 CIOVID-19 patients in a single privet center in Baghdad, Iraq from January 1, 2021 to January 1, 2022. Demographic data like age, sex, and clinical symptoms were recorded. High sensitivity CRP and PCT in the serum were measured via dry fluorescence immunoassay (Lansionbio-China). Results: Out of 200 patients, 50 had moderate Covid and 150 had severe disease. Mean serum PCT levels was 0.039±0.05 ng/mL in the moderate group (range 0.011-0.067) and 0.43±0.21 ng/mL in the severe group (range 0.21

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Publication Date
Fri Sep 25 2020
Journal Name
Open Access Macedonian Journal Of Medical Sciences
Tuberculosis versus COVID-19 Mortality: A New Evidence
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BACKGROUND: Coronavirus current pandemic (COVID-19) is the striking subject worldwide hitting countries in an unexplained non-universal pattern. Bacillus Calmette–Guérin (BCG) vaccine was an adopted recent justification depending on its non-specific immune activation properties. Still the problem of post-vaccine short duration of protection needs to be solved. The same protective mechanism was identified in active or latent tuberculosis (TB). For each single patient of active TB, there are about nine cases of asymptomatic latent TB apparently normal individuals living within the community without restrictions carrying benefits of immune activation and involved in re-infection cycles in an excellent example of repeated immunity tr

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Using dickey _ fuller expanded test for testing variables of investment function in Iraq
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         To ascertain the stability or instability of time series, three versions of the model proposed by Dickie-Voller were used in this paper. The aim of this study is to explain the extent of the impact of some economic variables such as the supply of money, gross domestic product, national income, after reaching the stability of these variables. The results show that the variable money supply, the GDP variable, and the exchange rate variable were all stable at the level of the first difference in the time series. This means that the series is an integrated first-class series. Hence, the gross fixed capital formation variable, the variable national income, and the variable interest rate

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 01 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of The Faculty Of Medicine Baghdad
Medical Educators Satisfaction with Online Learning during the COVID-19 Pandemic:
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Background: Medical educators’ dissatisfaction may cause them to leave the practice of teaching, where it is often hard to replace those who have left. In addition, medical teaching staff dissatisfaction may indicate adverse quality for institution/ university organizations.

Objectives: To assess teaching staff satisfaction with online learning during the COVID pandemic at Al-Nahrain University /College of Medicine, Baghdad/Iraq.

Methodology: A cross-sectional study included a convenient sample of 50% of the teaching staff participating in the online academic year 2020-2021. The faculty satisfaction questionnaire was taken from the "Bolliger and Halupa" study, based on th

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 29 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Legal Sciences
The Role of Legislation in Facilitating the Investment Environment (Iraq a model)
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The legislation contributes to facilitating the process of attracting investments to the state, in addition to the importance of strengthening the investment environment, which contributes to encouraging business in all economic fields and establishing the country's position on the map of preferred destinations for investment at the regional and global levels. With the vision of the state and its strategy to move towards the promising sectors of the economy, leading to comprehensive growth in all sectors at the level of the state economy, and the importance of integration and cooperation between all institutions and government and private departments.

The investment-driven factors, supporting the business environment in terms of

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 16 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Pharmaceutical Sciences ( P-issn 1683 - 3597 E-issn 2521 - 3512)
Covid-19 Control Measures by some community Pharmacies in Sulaimani City/Iraq
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Background: Coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) has enormously affected various healthcare services including the one of community pharmacy. The ramifications of these effects on Iraqi community pharmacies and the measures they have taken to tackle the spread of COVID-19  is yet to be explored. In this cross sectional survey, infection control measures by community pharmacies in Sulaimani city/Iraq has been investigated.        

Methods: Community pharmacists were randomly allocated  to participate in a cross-sectional survey via visiting their pharmacies and filling up the questionnaire form.

 

Results and discussion:

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Publication Date
Wed May 27 2020
Journal Name
Research Gate
Information Booklet COVID-19 Graphs For Iraq First 3 Months
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This booklet contains the basic data and graphs forCOVID-19 in Iraq during the first three months of thepandemic ( 24 February to 19 May - 2020 ) , It isperformed to help researchers regarding this health problem (PDF) Information Booklet COVID-19 Graphs For Iraq First 3 Months. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/341655944_Information_Booklet_COVID-19_Graphs_For_Iraq_First_3_Months#fullTextFileContent [accessed Oct 26 2024].

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 03 2023
Journal Name
Biomedical And Pharmacology Journal
The Significance of Remdesivir and Favipiravir Therapies to Survival of COVID-19 Patients
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The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and the infection escalation around the globe encourage the implementation of the global protocol for standard care patients aiming to cease the infection spread. Evaluating the potency of these therapy courses has drawn particular attention in health practice. This observational study aimed to assess the efficacy of Remdesivir and Favipiravir drugs compared to the standard care patients in COVID-19 confirmed patients. One hundred twenty-seven patients showed the disease at different stages, and one hundred and fifty patients received only standard care as a control group were included in this study. Patients under the Remdesivir therapy protocol were (62.20%); meanwhile, there (30.71

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Publication Date
Sat Jul 31 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Chaos in a Hybrid Food Chain Model
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In this paper, chaotic and periodic dynamics in a hybrid food chain system with Holling type IV and Lotka-Volterra responses are discussed. The system is observed to be dissipative. The global stability of the equilibrium points is analyzed using Routh-Hurwitz criterion and Lyapunov direct method. Chaos phenomena is characterized by attractors and bifurcation diagram. The effect of the controlling parameter of the model is investigated theoretically and numerically.

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