Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-1925
Compare Prediction by Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model from first order with Exponential Weighted Moving Average
...Show More Authors

The prediction process of time series for some time-related phenomena, in particular, the autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA) models is one of the important topics in the theory of time series analysis in the applied statistics. Perhaps its importance lies in the basic stages in analyzing of the structure or modeling and the conditions that must be provided in the stochastic process. This paper deals with two methods of predicting the first was a special case of autoregressive integrated moving average which is ARIMA (0,1,1) if the value of the parameter equal to zero, then it is called Random Walk model, the second was the exponential weighted moving average (EWMA). It was implemented in the data of the monthly traffic accidents in the province of Dhi Qar Governorate for the period from (Jan. 2011) to (Aug. 2019). It was found through the research that the model studied is well of the traffic accident, we can predict dangerous traffic accident using this model and reduce the aggravation through Develop plans strategic of the roads.

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Mar 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Physics: Conference Series
The Bifurcation Analysis and Persistence of the Food Chain Ecological Model with Toxicant
...Show More Authors
Abstract<p>In this work, the occurrence conditions of both local Bifurcation and persistence were studied, Saddle-node bifurcation appears near fourth point, near the first point, the second point and the third point a transcritical bifurcation occurred but no pitchfork bifurcation happened near any of the four equilibrium points. In addition to study conditions for Hopf-bifurcation near positive stable point that is the fourth point. Besides discuss persistence occurrence as globally property of the food chain of three species include prey, first predator and top predator with impact of toxin in all species and harvesting effect on the predator’s only. Numerical results for the set of hypothe</p> ... Show More
View Publication
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Jun 25 2025
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Basic Education
Fuzzy Nonparametric Regression Model Estimation Based on some Smoothing Techniques With Practical Application
...Show More Authors

In this research, we use fuzzy nonparametric methods based on some smoothing techniques, were applied to real data on the Iraqi stock market especially the data about Baghdad company for soft drinks for the year (2016) for the period (1/1/2016-31/12/2016) .A sample of (148) observations was obtained in order to construct a model of the relationship between the stock prices (Low, high, modal) and the traded value by comparing the results of the criterion (G.O.F.) for three techniques , we note that the lowest value for this criterion was for the K-Nearest Neighbor at Gaussian function .

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Aug 21 2023
Journal Name
Communications In Mathematical Biology And Neuroscience
Delay in eco-epidemiological prey-predator model with predation fear and hunting cooperation
...Show More Authors

It is recognized that organisms live and interact in groups, exposing them to various elements like disease, fear, hunting cooperation, and others. As a result, in this paper, we adopted the construction of a mathematical model that describes the interaction of the prey with the predator when there is an infectious disease, as well as the predator community's characteristic of cooperation in hunting, which generates great fear in the prey community. Furthermore, the presence of an incubation period for the disease provides a delay in disease transmission from diseased predators to healthy predators. This research aims to examine the proposed mathematical model's solution behavior to better understand these elements' impact on an eco-epidemi

... Show More
View Publication
Scopus (6)
Crossref (1)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Fri Dec 08 2023
Journal Name
Frontiers In Endocrinology
Estrobolome dysregulation is associated with altered immunometabolism in a mouse model of endometriosis
...Show More Authors
Introduction

Endometriosis is a painful disease that affects around 5% of women of reproductive age. In endometriosis, ectopic endometrial cells or seeded endometrial debris grow in abnormal locations including the peritoneal cavity. Common manifestations of endometriosis include dyspareunia, dysmenorrhea, chronic pelvic pain and often infertility and symptomatic relief or surgical removal are mainstays of treatment. Endometriosis both promotes and responds to estrogen imbalance, leading to intestinal bacterial estrobolome dysregulation and a subsequent induction of inflammation.

Methods

In the current study, we investigated the linkage be

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Mar 08 2017
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
List of Scorpions Recorded For the First Time in Iraq
...Show More Authors

 The present study is the first taxonomic study on scorpions in Iraq. The specimens were collected from regions in the middle and south of Iraq, three families, seven genera and eight  species were recorded for the first time in Iraq and one new species of the world. 

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Tue Jul 01 2014
Journal Name
Bulletin Of The Iraq Natural History Museum (p-issn: 1017-8678 , E-issn: 2311-9799)
FIRST RECORD OF BOSTRICHUS CAPUCINUS ( L.) ( COLEOPTERA: BOSTRICHIDAE ) IN IRAQ
...Show More Authors

   The species Bostrichus capucinus  (L.) (Coleoptera:Bostrichidae) was reported as a new record for Iraq. Diagnostic characters and some information are given .

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Mar 08 2021
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
The first recording of leaf blight disease Defla in Iraq
...Show More Authors

The results showed the spread of disease blight leaves caused by injury fungus Alternaria in different areas of cultivation in the city of Baghdad where he was recording the highest rate and the severity of the disease of 100% and 80%, respectively, in the Abu Ghraib area and the least of 20% and 12% respectively in the Amiriya district results showed test pathogenicity of the fungus pathogen emergence of symptoms of the disease superficial discoloration Authority of black paper when wound areas and yellowing of leaves about race as centrist and leaky latest country clear ????? on Central race after 48 hours ....

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Dec 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The impact of Arab civilization   On the first century AH
...Show More Authors

The influx of Arab Qahtani and Nizari tribes continued to the countries of Baluchistan and the Levant in pre-Islamic times until the Levant became open to the Arab-Islamic tide during the first century AH. The Islamic Orient until the early Islamic Arab Army reached the western borders of China. What we will see in the folds of the search.

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed May 27 2020
Journal Name
Research Gate
Information Booklet COVID-19 Graphs For Iraq First 3 Months
...Show More Authors

This booklet contains the basic data and graphs forCOVID-19 in Iraq during the first three months of thepandemic ( 24 February to 19 May - 2020 ) , It isperformed to help researchers regarding this health problem (PDF) Information Booklet COVID-19 Graphs For Iraq First 3 Months. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/341655944_Information_Booklet_COVID-19_Graphs_For_Iraq_First_3_Months#fullTextFileContent [accessed Oct 26 2024].

Preview PDF
Publication Date
Tue May 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Craniofacial Surgery
The First Patient Report of Tongue Abscess Among Iraqi Population
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Scopus (1)
Crossref (2)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref