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Using the Box Jenkins models to predict Iraq's cement production and to demonstrate its adequacy under future construction projects
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تعد صناعة السمنت في العراق من اقدم الصناعات الحديثة واكثرها تطورا وتقدما ومن اقواها تاثيرا في الاقتصاد القومي. واذ توفر في صناعة السمنت العراقي كافة المستلزمات الناجحة من حيث توفر المواد الاولية والخبرات الفنية والتقنية واسواق ثابتة وراسخة محليا وعالميا فقد كان من المفروض ان يتم التوسع في هذه الصناعة، وان التخطيط لهذه الصناعة امرا ضروريا خاصة وان مادة السمنت هي احدى اهم المواد الرئيسة التي يؤثر توفرها بشكل كبير على انجاز المشاريع العمرانية والاقتصادية ومن هذا المنطلق فقد تم اعداد الدراسات لمستقبل هذه الصناعة من اجل النهوض بها وتطويرها وتوسيعها.

 وان هدف البحث هو التنبؤ بكميات انتاج السمنت العراقي للمدة المستقبلية (2003 - 2013) باستخدام افضل نماذج بوكس جينكنز الملائمة (B -J).

 وقد توصل البحث الى جملة من الاستنتاجات وهي: باستخدام طريقة بوكس جينكنز وجد ان السلسلة غير مستقرة وبذلك تم اخذ الفرق الاول بهدف تحقيق الاستقرارية. وكذلك من سلوك معاملات الارتباط الذاتي والجزئي استنتجنا انه امكن تحديد واختيار النموذج الملائم لتمثيل السلسلة، حيث كان النموذج الملائم هو  ARIMA (2, 1, 0) وكذلك وجدنا ان الحدود الدنيا للتنبؤ قد تكون سالبة، وهذا مما يدل على انه في حالة الحاجة الماسة الى هذه المادة فأن الانتاج المحلي قد لا يكفي لذلك يلجأ البلد الى سد النقص الحاصل عن طريق الاستيراد.

 اما التوصيات فهي: نوصي باعتماد النموذج الذي تم التوصل اليه في طريقة بوكس – جينكنز بغية الاستفادة منها في التخطيط والتنبؤ للفترات القادمة. وكذلك نوصي الشركة العراقية لانتاج السمنت ان تعتمد على القيم التنبئية المستخرجة من تطبيق النموذج برسم خططها المستقبلية. وكذلك ان البلد في الوقت الحالي بحاجة الى عملية اعمار واسعة لذلك نوصي بزيادة الطاقة الانتاجية من هذه المادة لغرض سد النقص الحاصل.

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 13 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Assessment of Risk Factors among Renal FailurePatients in Baghdad Teaching Hospital
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Objective(s): To identify the relationship between demographic characteristics of patients with renal
failure and to find out the relationship between some risk factors like (family history, alcohol drinking,
smoking and chronic disease) with renal failure patients.
Methodology: Case control study design was carried out in order to achieve the objectives of the
study by using the assessment technique in Baghdad teaching hospital from March 5
th, 2017 to October
10th
, 2017, The sample was (cases & control) sample, present study include 200 cases, 100 was case
study the patient who entered in Baghdad teaching hospital, while another 100 was control study. The
data was collected by interview questionnaire inc

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 15 2020
Journal Name
Al-academy
GIRL’S TRADITIONA COSTUME IN MAKKAH AL MUKARRAMAH _ KINGDOM OF SAUDI ARABIA”: ليلى عبد الغفار فدا
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This research is concerned with documenting traditional clothes of girls and children in Makkah in the past 100 years and is a step towards preserving our heritage which is exposed to rapid changes. The researcher’s goal is to contribute to the Saudi’s folklore studies with a qualitative study of clothes and ceremonies used in the past. Sources of information were collected from human and material samples, ceremonies, clothes, techniques used to embellish them and from previous studies. The study concludes that aspects of civilization influenced clothes and resulted in a great deal of change. Children wore scale-down versions of adult clothing. Costumes were rich by their styles and adornment. The researcher emphasizes the importance

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 12 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
العلاقة العلاقة الترابطية بين اللون والشكل في الاعمال التراثية التشكيلية
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          Whatever forms embodied in nature or in the product by forming elements, Kahadjom, fonts, and colors that characterized that her aesthetic and expressive values ​​evoked to multiple indications of which are unequivocal, including what is iconic. Each one of these constituent elements of her form of extreme importance

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 13 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الشيخ الحاج محمد الأمين وجهاده القومي الإسلامي في السودان الغربي
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الشيخ الحاج محمد الأمين، من الشخصيات التي كتبت بعلامات بارزة تاريخ شعبها والمنطقة، من خلال مقاومة الاحتلال الفرنسي الصليبي في السودان الغربي، ونشره الاسلام بين القبائل الوثنية، القاطنة هناك  و قيادة حركة قومية إسلامية لإعادة أمجاد الشعب السراكولا ،وإحياء إمبراطورية غانا الإسلامية والتي كانت تشكل الجزء الأغلب من السودان الغربي.   

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Publication Date
Sat Mar 01 2008
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Corrosion of Carbon Steel Pipeline in Flow System of water Sweetening Plant
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The electrochemical behavior of carbon steel in water sweetening station in Libya has been studied in the range of ( 293–333 oC) using weight loss technique. Measurements were carried out over a range of Reynolds number (5000 – 25000).An apparatus was designed for studying the corrosion process in the turbulent regime, which is of industrial significance. It was found that The corrosion rate of carbon steel in water sweetening station is under diffusion control and increases with increasing Reynolds number. On the other hand the variation of corrosion rate with temperature in the range of (293–333 oC) was found to follow Arrhenius equation and the activation energy approximately the same except at low Reynolds

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 20 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
السقيان الدلاليان الادراكي و التعبيري في اسماء البضائع دراسةلسانية وصفية
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The research studies the semantic generation structures of
commodity names in the Baghdad dialect of Arabic, specifically
those names that reflect popular taste. Through descriptive field
studies of the social use of these words

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Publication Date
Mon May 27 2019
Journal Name
Al-academy
Employing Celebrities in Commercial Advertising Design: براء مهدي محسن
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Employing the social personalities (celebrities) in all fields (artistic, sports, media, etc.) is an important media and visual communication means of identification for the companies and institutions in order to convey the advertising idea in accordance with the creative, aesthetic and functional principles aimed at promoting products and gaining the symbolic value for the company. This study investigates the employment of social personalities in the commercial advertising design in order to pinpoint the importance of employing celebrities and their representation in the advertisement to convey the meaning that signifies the advertisement goal. Thus the question of the study is: "What are the mechanisms of employing celebrities in the d

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 01 2014
Journal Name
مجلة كلية الحقوق
النظام التأديبي لطلبة الجامعات دراسة مقارنة في القانونين العراقي والمصري
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Publication Date
Wed Mar 01 2023
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Traveling Wave Solutions of Fractional Differential Equations Arising in Warm Plasma
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This paper aims to study the fractional differential systems arising in warm plasma, which exhibits traveling wave-type solutions. Time-fractional Korteweg-De Vries (KdV) and time-fractional Kawahara equations are used to analyze cold collision-free plasma, which exhibits magnet-acoustic waves and shock wave formation respectively. The decomposition method is used to solve the proposed equations. Also, the convergence and uniqueness of the obtained solution are discussed. To illuminate the effectiveness of the presented method, the solutions of these equations are obtained and compared with the exact solution. Furthermore, solutions are obtained for different values of time-fractional order and represented graphically.

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
أثر انموذج دانيال في الدافعية المعرفية لطلاب الصف الثالث المتوسط
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The Current research aims to identify ( The effects of Daniel Model in Cognitive Motivation for the Students of the Third grade average ) , To verify the objective of this research , the researchers added nul hypothesis following : There is no difference is statistically significant at the level of ( 0.05 ) between the average scores of students who studied Daniel Model and the average students who studied by using traditional method in Cognitive Motivation scale. The research was conducted on a sample of the average Third grade students in a medium Al – sadiq Al – Ameen secretary for boys affiliated to the General Directorate for Educational in Baghdad Al – rusafa 2 and for academic year ( 2014 – 2015 ) , the researchers adopted

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