تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.
Triump is a happy end and a positive outcome of any good deed on the part of a human
being, or of any competition or contest in any field. A human being’s life abounds with gain
and loss. If one succeeds one will be happy psychologieally, physieally, etc. if one the other
hard one loses, one wil be in a state. Between loss and gain there are many a step.
However humans work hard to be a great success and a read winner.The life of the world constitutes a huge race-track where people try hard to head towards
the hereafter. Therefore, we find people who succed and gain the Garden, and people whose
habitation is the fire, The Glorious Qur’an has shown us in many a surah the way to success
when Allah mentions ‘great
The method of Similarity of important topics in Arabic Rhetoric has ample evidence in the Qur'an and the Hadith and the words of the Arabs and this study is limited to only the Koran.
There have been Similarity in the Holy Quran on both types : investigative and discretion , but the verses are more Similarity investigative and in verse 49 Similarity investigative and in verse 25.
The rush of Albulageyen and many other examples of Quranic Vmtheloa on Similarity , with a linguistic analysis and return to the origins of the meanings are not properly counted Similarity , Kolvaz cunning , deception , and maliciousness , the bad and ridicule.
This study seeks as much as possible to the statement of this phenomenon and stand on these t
جاء تقسيم البحث على ثلاثة مباحث رئيسة يسبقها تمهيد وتعقبها خاتمة ، وتناول المبحث الواحد مطالب متسلسلة بالأرقام ، ثم قائمة بمصادر البحث ومراجعه. تناول التمهيد نظرة تاريخية للأعيان عند الأقوام ، ولاسيما عند العرب في الجاهلية، وتعريف المصطلحات التي تشكل عنوان البحث تناول المبحث الأول ، وعنوانه (الأعيان في الديانة اليهودية) ، عدد تلك الأعياد، شرح الأسباب الموجبة لكل عيد ، وتاريخ الاحتفال به وأسلوبه؛ وغير ذلك مم
... Show MoreEnvy is a heart disease, a serious disease and a great evil that hurts its owner before it hurts others. The first crime that occurred in the creation was because of the envy between Abel and Cain.
The research talked about one of the important social subject that care public so cities which is .
This subject deals with three subdivisions papers :-
The first one deals with the reasons of unemployment mentioned the definition of it in addition to make a comparison between it and inertia . then talked specially about unemployment that had got in our wounded country become of wars in it .
It had a branch talked about in Islamic society .
The second one deals with the negative results of unemployment specially economic , moral and social with their roles in spreading negative phenomenon in our society as terrorist , stolen … etc …
The third one deals with the ways of reducing unemployment and trying to limit it , tha
The concept of equality in Islamic thought emanates from the unity of human entity that does not breach the concept of equality in itself and it should take differentiation among people as means for development and growth not as excuse for injustice and discrimination. Islamic thought has left all the prevailing norms of differentiation such as (weakness and strength, economic and social position, gender, color, and social class). Islamic thought has underscored the quality of people of different race, race, color, and language which was not familiar in those civilizations before the emergence of Islam such as (Egyptian, Persian, roman civilization). It was common to divide people into different social classes. The aim of Islam is to kee
... Show MoreThe islamic caliphate was against the Aarab who became Muslims and
stayed in their desert and their companies didn’t share with the Muslims to
spread Islam by Al-Jihad. The Quran attacked them in many verses except
the Aarab who accepted when the prophet called them for Al-Jihad.
The Aarab in the ummayad period were in three categories :
1. The aarab who lived in the desert ,the islamic society was very revenge
towards them. The caliphate did not gave them Al-Ataa so they were in
bad situation
2. Those who lived in the country side . they were very trouble to the
trade.
3. The third lived in the cities and worked in the trade, Dawawin and in the
administration.
The Aarab of cities some of them associ
To learn about the importance of ethics in different historical eras have to be identified first on the roots of this concept and return to the origins of language and the statement connotations Home as a morality single won Position good in the literature of the Arabic language , and beliefs of the monotheistic religions that see the majority it had on moral grounds .
The name of the morality of the natural qualities of a human being , or the name of human nature itself , and morality , plural ( created) is the name of the inner configuration of this man , but Valkhalq put against the word of creation - which is the name of this human form evolving .
In the opinion of other references that word ( ethics ) but they are collecting f
This study is concerned with providing an objective, artistic study of the role of women in the pre-Islamic era, and extracting that status from the most important sources that express the language of that era, which is pre-Islamic poetry. The role of women in contemporary societies, the study sought to clarify those goals from a technical and objective point of view, which contributed to the main purpose of the study, which is the status of women in pre-Islamic poetry. The role of women in pre-Islamic society, and how to describe them in rhetorical sentences in poetry. The study was based on the descriptive analytical approach, which is represented by the use of content analysis, wh
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