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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 29 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Similarity in the Holy Quran
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The method of Similarity of important topics in Arabic Rhetoric has ample evidence in the Qur'an and the Hadith and the words of the Arabs and this study is limited to only the Koran.
There have been Similarity in the Holy Quran on both types : investigative and discretion , but the verses are more Similarity investigative and in verse 49 Similarity investigative and in verse 25.
The rush of Albulageyen and many other examples of Quranic Vmtheloa on Similarity , with a linguistic analysis and return to the origins of the meanings are not properly counted Similarity , Kolvaz cunning , deception , and maliciousness , the bad and ridicule.
This study seeks as much as possible to the statement of this phenomenon and stand on these t

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 02 2007
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
الحول الديمقراطي في بنغلادش
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التحول الديمقراطي في بنغلادش

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Publication Date
Thu May 14 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
Dialogue bridges in the city
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Since its establishment, cities have been looking for a special urban architectural language that distinguishes them from other cities and expresses their distinctive identity through continuous products through time and controls the totality of temporal and spatial changes through a bridging dialogue that manages the language of the city correctly, Which gives the stability of that language and its ability to adapt to the total changes that occur in the city over time, and thus the possibility of producing ideas integrated series and ideas are renewed overlapping with the legacy and bear multiple layers of meaning and signals and symbols create a total of two meanings The problem of research (not comprehensive studies to create a contem

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 01 2010
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
في حكومة الشراكة الوطنية
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في حكومة الشراكة الوطنية

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 07 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
المرأة في الشريعة الإسلامية
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         Elements of the study contribute to the direction and demonstrate scientific steps, in order to walk in the implementation procedures. The researcher is a sense of a social phenomenon is an important step and a motivation to study and uncover the causes and factored in order to reach substantive results. And to clarify what is involved in the importance of the study, as well as setting goals that aspire to achieve the study .                                        &nbs

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 08 2024
Journal Name
Al-academy
Visual discourse in television
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Visual discourse in cinema and television is an expressive medium that carries its audio and visual elements and is effective in influencing the memory of the recipient, according to multiple patterns of forms and representations aimed at persuasion, influence, entertainment, enjoyment and knowledge. This speech will not pass by the recipient without difficulty, as the multiplicity of forms and techniques of image presentation and the diversity of contents derived from different beliefs, concepts, ideas and perceptions may sometimes reach intersections and conflicts, which is reflected in the form of the screen and the theory of television. This motivates us to know the ways in which audio-visual discourse is produced on television, whic

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 29 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الفرد في الاقتصاد الإسلامي
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The theme of the individual in Islamic Economics is one of the important topics to demonstrate an established fact , that the Islamic economy may discriminate in granting individual full rights , which guarantees a safe living reassuring

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Altruism in Islamic thought
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Praise be to Allah, Lord of the Worlds, and peace and blessings be upon our Lord and Beloved Muhammad and his family and companions.
The altruistic submission of the other human himself in matters of the world satisfactory to God Almighty with his need and does not come out limit want and destruction. The approach of the Koran in the income creation altruism education for the individual curriculum that includes types of altruism, including Mahmoud and vilified. Ether world life on the hereafter is a vilified type and its consequences are sterile on the existing in the world and in the hereafter a serious consequence, which is special Madiat. On the principle and preference of the doctrine over the doctrine, the Koran has been interest

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 27 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Practices of Early Childhood’s Mothers Regarding Toilet Training at Primary Health Care Centers in Al-Rusafa District in Baghdad City
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Objective(s): To assess the practices of early childhood’s mothers regarding toilet training and to find out the relationship between mothers’ practices and their socio-demographic characteristics and their children’s demographic characteristics.
Methodology: A descriptive study is conducted at primary health care centers in Al-Rusafa District in Baghdad City for the period of September 19th 2020 to March 16th 2021. Non probability “convenient” sample of (225) early childhood’s mothers is selected. A questionnaire format is designed and composed of two parts: the first part includes mothers’ socio-demographic characteristics and their children and the second part includes structured close-ended questions to assess the p

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 06 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Effectiveness of an Instructional Program on Patientsꞌ Knowledge about Home Safety While Receiving Anti -Cancer Medications at Al- Karama Teaching Hospital in Al-Kut City
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Objectives: To determine the effectiveness of the instructional program on patients’ knowledge about home safety while receiving anti-cancer treatment at  Al- Karama Teaching Hospital in Al-Kut City.

Methodology:   A quasi-experimental design is conducted through the application of a pre-test and post-test approach for the study and control groups from February 5th, 2020 to April 25th, 2020. A non–probability (purposive) sample of (50) patients treated at the Blood Disease and Oncology Center is selected and divided into two groups. Each group contains (25) patients as control and study groups. An instrument is constructed that is comprised of two parts; t

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