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Comparison Bayes Estimators of Reliability in the Exponential Distribution
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Abstract

           We produced a study in Estimation for Reliability of the Exponential distribution based on the Bayesian approach. These estimates are derived using Bayesian approaches. In the Bayesian approach, the parameter of the Exponential distribution is assumed to be random variable .we derived bayes estimators of reliability under four types when the prior distribution for the scale parameter of the Exponential distribution is: Inverse Chi-square distribution, Inverted Gamma distribution, improper distribution, Non-informative distribution. And estimators for Reliability is obtained using the well known squared error loss function and weighted squared errors loss function. We used simulation technique, to compare the resultant estimators in terms of their mean squared errors (MSE), mean weighted squared errors (MWSE).Several cases  assumed for the parameter of the exponential distribution for data generating, of different samples sizes (small, medium, and large). The results were obtained by using simulation technique, Programs written using MATLAB-R2008a program were used. In general, Simulation results shown that the resultant estimators in terms of their mean squared errors (MSE) is better than the resultant estimators in terms of their mean weighted squared errors (MWSE).According to the our criteria is the best estimator  that gives the smallest value of MSE or  MWSE .  For example bayes estimation is the best when the prior distribution for the scale parameter is improper and Non-informative distributions  according to the smallest  value  of  MSE  comparative to the values of MWSE  for all samples sizes at some of true value of t and . 

 

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 03 2013
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
A Comparison of the Methods for Estimation of Reliability Function for Burr-XII Distribution by Using Simulation.
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This deals with estimation of Reliability function and one shape parameter (?) of two- parameters Burr – XII , when ?(shape parameter is known) (?=0.5,1,1.5) and also the initial values of (?=1), while different sample shze n= 10, 20, 30, 50) bare used. The results depend on empirical study through simulation experiments are applied to compare the four methods of estimation, as well as computing the reliability function . The results of Mean square error indicates that Jacknif estimator is better than other three estimators , for all sample size and parameter values

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 31 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Geographical distribution efficiency of the civil defense centers in the city of Baghdad
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The city suffers from the weakness of the civil defense to provide services where there are clusters of residential Guy covered services for that requires the study of the geographic distribution of the civil defense centers in Baghdad care great because they take care of Protect the population and their own property and protect state institutions. Through a review of the problems faced it is expected that this study will help decision-makers to take appropriate steps to develop this service core

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 20 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Effect of Extreme Values on Streeter-Phleps Model Parameter Estimators With Application Abstract
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Abstract

   The extremes effects in parameters readings which are BOD (Biological Oxygen Demands) and DO(Dissolved Oxygen) can caused error estimating of the model’s parameters which used to determine the ratio of de oxygenation and re oxygenation of the dissolved oxygen(DO),then that will caused launch big amounts of the sewage pollution  water to the rivers and it’s turn is effect in negative form on the ecosystem life and the different types of the water wealth.

   As result of what mention before this research came to employees Streeter-Phleps model parameters estimation which are (Kd,Kr) the de oxygenation and re oxygenation ratios on respect

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 03 2022
Journal Name
Italian Journal Of Pure And Applied Mathematics
The inverse exponential Rayleigh distribution and related concept
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Publication Date
Mon Mar 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Pais estimator for the reliability function of the Pareto model of Type I failure
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In this paper an estimator of reliability function for the pareto dist. Of the first kind has been derived and then a simulation approach by Monte-Calro method was made to compare the Bayers estimator of reliability function and the maximum likelihood estimator for this function. It has been found that the Bayes. estimator was better than maximum likelihood estimator for all sample sizes using Integral mean square error(IMSE).

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 17 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
New Robust Estimation in Compound Exponential Weibull-Poisson Distribution for both contaminated and non-contaminated Data
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Abstract

The research Compared two methods for estimating fourparametersof the compound exponential Weibull - Poisson distribution which are the maximum likelihood method and the Downhill Simplex algorithm. Depending on two data cases, the first one assumed the original data (Non-polluting), while the second one assumeddata contamination. Simulation experimentswere conducted for different sample sizes and initial values of parameters and under different levels of contamination. Downhill Simplex algorithm was found to be the best method for in the estimation of the parameters, the probability function and the reliability function of the compound distribution in cases of natural and contaminateddata.

 

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 06 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Geographical Distribution of Power Plants in Iraq in 2015 Using Geographic Information Systems
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The study aims to study the geographical distribution of electricpower plants in Iraq, except the governorates of Kurdistan Region (Dohuk, Erbil, Sulaymaniyah) due to lack of data.

In order to reach the goal of the research was based on some mathematical equations and statistical methods to determine how the geographical distribution of these stations (gas, hydropower, steam, diesel) within the provinces and the concentration of them as well as the possibility of the classification of power plants in Iraq to facilitate understanding of distribution in a scientific manner is characterized by objectively.

The most important results of the research are that there are a number of factors that led to the irregular distribution

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 25 2017
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Comparison of the Suggested loss Function with Generalized Loss Function for One Parameter Inverse Rayleigh Distribution
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The experiences in the life are considered important for many fields, such as industry, medical and others. In literature, researchers are focused on flexible lifetime distribution.

In this paper, some Bayesian estimators for the unknown scale parameter  of Inverse Rayleigh Distribution have been obtained, of different two loss functions, represented by Suggested and Generalized loss function based on Non-Informative prior using Jeffery's and informative prior represented by Exponential distribution. The performance of   estimators is compared empirically with Maximum Likelihood estimator, Using Monte Carlo Simulation depending on the Mean Square Error (MSE). Generally, the preference of Bayesian method of Suggeste

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Publication Date
Mon Jul 20 2020
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Applying Shrinkage Estimation Technique of P(Y<Max X1, X2,…, Xk) in Case of Generalized Exponential Distribution
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     This paper concerned with estimation reliability (­ for K components parallel system of the stress-strength model with non-identical components which is subjected to a common stress, when the stress and strength follow the Generalized Exponential Distribution (GED) with unknown shape parameter α and the known scale parameter θ (θ=1) to be common. Different shrinkage estimation methods will be considered to estimate ­ depending on maximum likelihood estimator and prior estimates based on simulation using mean squared error (MSE) criteria. The study approved that the shrinkage estimation using shrinkage weight function was the best.

 

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Publication Date
Sat Aug 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Choosing Appropriate Distribution ‏‎by Minitab’s 17 Software to Analysis System Reliability
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This research aims to choose the appropriate  probability ‎ distribution  ‎‏‎ to the reliability‎        analysis‎ for  an   item through ‎ collected data for operating and stoppage  time of  the case  study.

    Appropriate choice for .probability distribution   is when  the data look to be on or  close the form fitting line for probability plot and test the data  for  goodness of fit .

     Minitab’s 17 software  was used ‎  for this  purpose after  arranging collected data and setting it in the the program‎.

 &nb

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