Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-518
Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
...Show More Authors

Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Dec 29 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Calculating the variations of sunrise, sunset and day length times for Baghdad city.With comparison to different regions of the world in year 2019
...Show More Authors

     The sunrise, sunset, and day length times for Baghdad (Latitude =33.34º N, Longitude =44.43º E) were calculated with high accuracy on a daily basis during 2019. The results showed that the earliest time of sunrise in Baghdad was at 4h: 53m from 5 Jun. to 20 Jun while the latest was at 7h: 07m from 5 Jan. to 11 Jan. The earliest time of sunset in Baghdad was at16 h: 55m from 30 Nov. to 10 Dec. whereas the latest was at 19h: 16m from 25 Jun. to 5 Jul. The minimum period of day length in Baghdad was 9h: 57m) in 17 Dec. whereas the maximum period was 14h: 22m) in 20 Jun. Day length was calculated and compared among regions of different latitudes(0, 15, 30, 45 and 60 north).

View Publication
Scopus (5)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2024
Journal Name
Studies In Systems, Decision And Control
The Effect of Using an Accounting Information System Based on Artificial Intelligence in Detecting Earnings Management to Enhance the Sustainability of Economic Units
...Show More Authors

This research aims to clarify the importance of an accounting information system that uses artificial intelligence to detect earnings manipulation. The research problem stems from the widespread manipulation of earning in economic entities, especially at the local level, exacerbated by the high financial and administrative corruption rates in Iraq due to fraudulent accounting practices. Since earning manipulation involves intentional fraudulent acts, it is necessary to implement preventive measures to detect and deter such practices. The main hypothesis of the research assumes that an accounting information system based on artificial intelligence cannot effectively detect the manipulation of profits in Iraqi economic entities. The researche

... Show More
View Publication
Scopus (1)
Crossref (2)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Sep 12 2022
Journal Name
Communications In Mathematical Biology And Neuroscience
The influence of fear on the dynamic of an eco-epidemiological system with predator subject to the weak Allee effect and harvesting
...Show More Authors

In this paper, an eco-epidemiological prey-predator system when the predator is subjected to the weak Allee effect, and harvesting was proposed and studied. The set of ordinary differential equations that simulate the system’s dynamic is constructed. The impact of fear and Allee’s effect on the system's dynamic behavior is one of our main objectives. The properties of the solution of the system were studied. All possible equilibrium points were determined, and their local, as well as global stabilities, were investigated. The possibility of the occurrence of local bifurcation was studied. Numerical simulation was used to further evaluate the global dynamics and understood the effects of varying parameters on the asymptotic behavior of t

... Show More
Scopus (3)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Feb 14 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Educational dimensions of children's television programs in the light of the universal rights of child
...Show More Authors

The research aims at determining the type of educational dimensions to be broadcasted in children's television programs, clarifying the technical forms used in children's TV programs, analyzing the educational dimensions provided by children's television programs, and studying the educational dimensions of children's television programs. The researcher used a sample of children's programs: all of us heroes, which is a daily program on the mbc3 channel as well as the program of Tel flowers on the Algerian channel. The researcher designed an analysis content form included categories of analysis. Spss program was used to process the collected data. The research reached several results; the concentration of educational dimensions in

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Tue Nov 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Transfer Of Training In Framework Of Supporting The Work Environment Characteristics (Filed Research of The Generals lnspectors Offices)
...Show More Authors

The  transfer of  training  process occupies a great importance in achieving the ultimate goal of participating in the training programs , it  is sure that this does not take place without the support of the working environment for trainees,  and The research aims to personification role the work environment characteristics  of supporting the transfer of training.                                    

The research problem is the weakness transfer of training to the work en

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2023
Journal Name
Proceedings Of The 1st International Conference On Frontier Of Digital Technology Towards A Sustainable Society
The most ABO blood group susceptibility to COVID-19 infections in Baghdad city
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Jan 01 2025
Journal Name
World Neurosurgery
The Ventriculoperitoneal Shunt Complication Rate in Baghdad Medical City from 2019 to 2022
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Scopus (1)
Crossref (1)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Mar 01 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
The Roughness Coefficient in Euphrates River Reach between Haditha Dam to Ramadi Barrage
...Show More Authors

Accurate computation of the roughness coefficient is important in the studies of open channel flow. To measure and identify the hydraulic characteristics of the flow system, the model simulation is necessary to study and get the results of the hydraulic properties to specify Manning coefficient of the Euphrates River. In this study, the reach is extended along the Euphrates River from Haditha Dam to Ramadi Barrage with a distance of 169km. The HEC-RAS model was implemented to simulate the flow within the study reach. The geometry of the river was represented by more than two hundred cross-sections surveyed in 2013 and 2021. The model was calibrated using some observed discharges at the Heet gage station for records of th

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (1)
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process FEAHP to Prioritize The Evaluation of The Main and Subsidiary Criteria in B2B Industrial Market Sectors – Applied Research
...Show More Authors

The research aims to define the main and subsidiary criteria for evaluating the industrial market sectors and proposing a model for arranging these criteria according to priority and knowing the highest criteria in terms of relative importance in the General Company for Automobile Trade and Machinery, and for the purpose of establishing this model, experiences in the concerned company were approved, and this study proposes a multi-criteria decision model According to the FEAHP, the expanded fuzzy hierarchical analysis method enables the commercial company to develop clear strategic policies on which the company’s management system depends on determining criteria for evaluating and selecting market sectors and making appropriate

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Apr 01 2020
Journal Name
Iop Conference Series: Earth And Environmental Science
Study for the Informal Settlement Supposed to Be Distributed by the Iraq Government for Poor People in Baghdad City - Republic of Iraq
...Show More Authors

This paper set forth the spatial suitability of the informal settlement supposed to be distributed by the Iraqis government to poor people. The Iraqi government identified 9 locations of informal settlement in Baghdad city and acceptance it as a reality as a help for them to getting home. In this paper I discovered the suitability of those locations which one will be suitable more than others for living. The analysis process was applied using the GIS environment – spatial analysis. According to the results, It has been identified as the most important measures to identify which one of these areas suitable for development for housing by using some criteria (Distance from the city center, Proximity from transport routes, Proximity of high v

... Show More
View Publication
Scopus (4)
Scopus Crossref