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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Fri May 06 2022
Journal Name
Razi Vaccine & Serum Research Institute
Effect of Betaine on Blood Parameters Related to the Iron Status in Acrylamide-Treated Rats
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Archives of Razi Institute (ARI)

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Basic Education
Histological Changes in the Lung Tissues of male albino mice Exposed to Mospilan 20SG insecticide
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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2023
Journal Name
Technologies And Materials For Renewable Energy, Environment And Sustainability: Tmrees22fr
A theoretical enhancement of electronic transfer dynamics in the D35CPDT dye donor to 𝑻𝒊𝑶𝟐 acceptor
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Publication Date
Mon Oct 01 2018
Journal Name
Gastroenterology Insights
Role of human leukocyte antigens DRB1-DQB1 haplotype in the susceptibility to gastroesophageal reflux disease
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Gastro oesophageal reflux disease is due to involuntary gastric contents reflux into the esophagus from stomach, causing heartburn and acid regurgitation symptoms. Genetic and environmental factors are important factors in the causation of disease. Human Leukocyte antigens considered as an excellent marker for population genetics analysis and disease association. This study aimed to investigate the association between HLA-DRB1-DQB1 haplotype that inherited in linkage and its association with gastro oesophageal reflux disease (GERD). Patients and healthy controls were prospectively recruited from gastrocolonoscope unit at Al-Kindy Teaching Hospital (Baghdad-Iraq) between January and July 2016. Forty Iraqi Arab Muslims patients with a history

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2012
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Physics
A computer experiment to study the charging process of dust grains in negative ion plasma
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This work presents a computer studying to simulate the charging process of a dust grain immersed in plasma with negative ions. The study based on the discrete charging model. The model was developed to take into account the effect of negative ions on charging process of dust grain.
The model was translated to a numerical calculation by using computer programs. The program of model has been written with FORTRAN programming language to calculate the charging process for a dust particle in plasma with negative ion, the time distribution of a dust charge, number charge equilibrium and charging time for different value of ηe (ratio of number density of electron to number density of positive ion).

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 27 2020
Journal Name
Asian Journal Of Civil Engineering
Using measured mile method to quantify the loss of labor productivity in Iraqi construction site
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Publication Date
Fri Jun 28 2024
Journal Name
Arab World English Journal
The Relationship between Willingness to Communicate in English and Psychological Adjustment of Iraqi EFL Learners
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The current research aims to examine the willingness to communicate and psychological adjustment of Iraqi EFL undergraduate students. To achieve the main aim, a sample of 100 male and female Iraqis’ undergraduate students studying English as a foreign language was chosen randomly from two different public colleges in Baghdad city for the academic year 2023-2024. Two scales have five Likert alternatives of 17 and 16 items developed by McCroskey & Richmond (1990) and Wais (2010), respectively were administered to the research sample to collect the needed data. The results revealed that Iraqi EFL undergraduate students have a willingness to communicate in the English language. Iraqi EFL undergraduate students have a good level of

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Publication Date
Fri Apr 01 2022
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Colistin as A Good Monotherapy to Restrain the Pathogenicity of Acinetobacter baumannii In vivo and In vitro
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        Acinetobacter baumannii  (A. baumannii) is a major opportunistic nosocomial pathogen, mostly resistant to several groups of antibiotics. Colistin is now used as a last-line treatment for isolates that are highly resistant. The purpose of this study is to identify the importance of LptD; which is involved in the translocation of LPS from the inner membrane to the outer membrane in compartment with LptA and LptC of A. baumannii and its indispensable role as a virulence factor, and the efficiency of colistin as a monotherapy. In the current research, two isolates of A.baumannii were used, the local isolate HHR1 isolated from urine sample and the global strain ATCC 17904, and three antibiot

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 11 2017
Journal Name
Al-academy
Regularity Relations Signals According Pillars Expressive Between the Narrator and Narrative Discourse Alcinmatugrave Legend Movie In 1900 A Model
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This study is concerned with the concept of offering a point of view as a narrative construction element, especially the element and point of view of the novel to the letter Alcinmatugrave both business taken from masterpieces and literary works in the foundation or set of cinema. On the whole, the narrator participate in mock narrative process and support the narrator visual image, especially stories that need to exist scenes prove added to the image that uses signs of reality to take those marks a new dimension not only across the image, but also the intervention of the narrator in the re-formation of this realism marks surrounding Palms perceived and visible and put markers regularly between what the narrative of privacy and image, fo

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 19 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Effect of the Active Reading Strategy on the Achievement of the Second Year Middle School Students in Biology
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Abstract

The aim of the current research is to identify the effect of the effective reading strategy on the achievement of second-middle students in biology, as well as the imaginative thinking skills of students. The researcher adopted the experimental design with partial control to achieve the goal of the research. The current research community identified the second-middle students in the government schools of the Baghdad Education Directorate / Rusafa I for the academic year (2021-2022 AD). The Safina Intermediate School for Girls was chosen to be the research sample in the form of intentionally, two classes were randomly selected from a total of four classes, one of them is experimental and the other is con

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