Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-2276
Using a hybrid SARIMA-NARNN Model to Forecast the Numbers of Infected with (COVID-19) in Iraq
...Show More Authors

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an acute disease that affects the respiratory system which initially appeared in Wuhan, China. In Feb 2019 the sickness began to spread swiftly throughout the entire planet, causing significant health, social, and economic problems. Time series is an important statistical method used to study and analyze a particular phenomenon, identify its pattern and factors, and use it to predict future values. The main focus of the research is to shed light on the study of SARIMA, NARNN, and hybrid models, expecting that the series comprises both linear and non-linear compounds, and that the ARIMA model can deal with the linear component and the NARNN model can deal with the non-linear component. The models were applied in the health sector to predict the numbers of people infected with the Covid-19 virus in Iraq where the data were collected via the website of the Iraqi Ministry of Health through the daily epidemiological situation of all Iraqi provinces for the period (2021\3\28 to 2021\8\15). When analyzing, studying, and comparing these models, the researcher noted that the hybrid model outperformed other models because it had the lowest value for the MSE, RMSE, MAE, and MAPE so it was used to predict future values.

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Tue Dec 22 2020
Journal Name
Collaboration And Integration In Construction, Engineering, Management And Technology
A Hybrid Conceptual Model for BIM Adoption in Facilities Management: A Descriptive Analysis for the Collected Data
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Scopus (2)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Feb 28 2023
Journal Name
Tropical Journal Of Natural Product Research
Genetic Association of Angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 ACE-2 (rs2285666) Polymorphism with the Susceptibility of COVID-19 Disease in Iraqi Patients
...Show More Authors

Significant risks to human health are posed by the 2019 coronavirus illness (COVID-19). SARS coronavirus type 2 receptor, also known as the major enzyme in the renin-angiotensin system (RAS), angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE-2), connects COVID-19 and RAS. This study was conducted with the intention of determining whether or not RAS gene polymorphisms and ACE-2 (G8790A) play a part in the process of predicting susceptibility to infection with COVID-19. In this study 127 participants, 67 of whom were deemed by a physician to be in a severe state of illness, and 60 of whom were categorized as "healthy controls" .The genetic study included an extraction of genomic DNA from blood samples of each covid 19 patients and healthy control

... Show More
View Publication
Scopus (8)
Crossref (3)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Sep 01 2018
Journal Name
2018 11th International Conference On Developments In Esystems Engineering (dese)
Natural Rivers Longitudinal Dispersion Coefficient Simulation Using Hybrid Soft Computing Model
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Scopus (17)
Crossref (6)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Thu May 06 2021
Journal Name
International Journal Of Pharmacy Practice
Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare providers: save the frontline fighters
...Show More Authors
Abstract<sec><title>Objectives

The objective of this study was to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare providers (HCPs) at personal and professional levels.

Methods

This was a cross-sectional descriptive study. It was conducted using an electronic format survey through Qualtrics Survey Software in English. The target participants were HCPs working in any healthcare setting across Iraq. The survey was distributed via two professional Facebook groups between 7 April and 7 May 2020. The survey items were adopted with modifications from three previous studies of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) and Avia

... Show More
View Publication
Scopus (9)
Crossref (3)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Thu May 06 2021
Journal Name
International Journal Of Pharmacy Practice
Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare providers: save the frontline fighters
...Show More Authors
Abstract<sec><title>Objectives

The objective of this study was to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare providers (HCPs) at personal and professional levels.

Methods

This was a cross-sectional descriptive study. It was conducted using an electronic format survey through Qualtrics Survey Software in English. The target participants were HCPs working in any healthcare setting across Iraq. The survey was distributed via two professional Facebook groups between 7 April and 7 May 2020. The survey items were adopted with modifications from three previous studies of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) and Avia

... Show More
Scopus (9)
Crossref (3)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Dec 25 2017
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
A new Cumulative Damage Model for Fatigue Life Prediction under Shot Peening Treatment
...Show More Authors

 Abstract

In this paper, fatigue damage accumulation were studied using many methods i.e.Corton-Dalon (CD),Corton-Dalon-Marsh(CDM), new non-linear model and experimental method. The prediction of fatigue lifetimes based on the two classical methods, Corton-Dalon (CD)andCorton-Dalon-Marsh (CDM), are uneconomic and non-conservative respectively. However satisfactory predictions were obtained by applying the proposed non-linear model (present model) for medium carbon steel compared with experimental work. Many shortcomings of the two classical methods are related to their inability to take into account the surface treatment effect as shot peening. It is clear that the new model shows that a much better and cons

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Mar 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Realizing the personality traits of Bisha University Employees during the Covid-19 pandemic
...Show More Authors

The post-Corona Covid-19 world is not the world before it, the problem of perception of personality traits with two axes: the characteristics of psychological and social compatibility, and the second aspect the mental disorder during the pandemic, and the accompanying precautions and prohibitions during the academic year 2020 AD. The aim of the research is to reveal the perception of the personal characteristics of Bisha University employees (students and faculty) during the Corona Covid-19 pandemic, and to reveal statistically significant differences in the perception of the personality traits of Bisha’s members during the Covid 19 according to the scientific qualification variables (female students -faculty members),  marital st

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sat Apr 27 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Legal Sciences
Legal ways to reform the tax system in Iraq
...Show More Authors

The purpose of the state of tax is not only to achieve financial goals but also economic, social and other goals. And if the Iraqi state's orientation today in all its legislative, executive and independent institutions towards maximizing its tax resources, this goal can only be achieved through several legal means in reforming the tax system. This is what we discussed in the research of the six discussions. The first represents the unification of the various tax legislations in one law or two laws. Achieves clarity, certainty, justice and convenience. The second is the unification of the tax appeal bodies in a stable judicial system, the provisions and procedures that work on the consideration of tax deductions of any kind in a way that

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Mar 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Using Quadratic Form Ratio Multiple Test to Estimate Linear Regression Model Parameters in Big Data with Application: Child Labor in Iraq
...Show More Authors

              The current paper proposes a new estimator for the linear regression model parameters under Big Data circumstances.  From the diversity of Big Data variables comes many challenges that  can be interesting to the  researchers who try their best to find new and novel methods to estimate the parameters of linear regression model. Data has been collected by Central Statistical Organization IRAQ, and the child labor in Iraq has been chosen as data. Child labor is the most vital phenomena that both society and education are suffering from and it affects the future of our next generation. Two methods have been selected to estimate the parameter

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Fri Oct 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison between method penalized quasi- likelihood and Marginal quasi-likelihood in estimating parameters of the multilevel binary model
...Show More Authors

Multilevel models are among the most important models widely used in the application and analysis of data that are characterized by the fact that observations take a hierarchical form, In our research we examined the multilevel logistic regression model (intercept random and slope random model) , here the importance of the research highlights that the usual regression models calculate the total variance of the model and its inability to read variance and variations between levels ,however in the case of multi-level regression models, the calculation of  the total variance is inaccurate and therefore these models calculate the variations for each level of the model, Where the research aims to estimate the parameters of this m

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref