Time series have gained great importance and have been applied in a manner in the economic, financial, health and social fields and used in the analysis through studying the changes and forecasting the future of the phenomenon. One of the most important models of the black box is the "ARMAX" model, which is a mixed model consisting of self-regression with moving averages with external inputs. It consists of several stages, namely determining the rank of the model and the process of estimating the parameters of the model and then the prediction process to know the amount of compensation granted to workers in the future in order to fulfil the future obligations of the Fund. , And using the regular least squares method and the frequency squares method by "Kalman filter" and "forgetting factor" to obtain the best predictable way for the future using data from the Social Security Department for workers and from the period 1/2013 to 6/2019 where The method of least squares "OLS" was compared with the method of iterative least squares "RLS" by "Karman Filter" and found that "OLS" method is the best according to the comparison measures "RMSE, MAPE" and it gave accurate results close to the real values
يعد شعر المنفى احد اهم روافد الادب المعاصر فهو يعكس الإبداع الشعري الحقيقي للشاعر المنفي، ويعكس في الوقت ذاته الحنين والألم الذي يعاني منه بسبب البعد عن وطنه. ومن ناحية أخرى، يصور شعر المنفى حالة المقاومة والنضال التي يختزنها الشاعر . نتناول في هذا البحث م وضوع شعر المنفى عند شاعرين منفيين لم يلتقيا في بلد واحد ولم يتبنيا ثقافة فكرية مشتركة, إلا أن الشاعرين تحملا نفس مرارة المنفى التي عبرا عنها بشكل واضح في شعر
... Show MoreThe importance of economic and technical feasibility studies include all of the investor, the society, the banks, the project and the government. As it will assist in achieving the optimal use of the available economic incomes on the national level and arranging the projects in priority which participates in achieving the government benefit without wasting the amounts .This is the research goal So, the research covered its theoretical aspect, of SAIs and the economic and technical feasibility studies then the role of the auditors in auditing those studies Then a mechanism was proposed includes a guidebook that provides guidelines for organizing the process of preparing and auditi
... Show More There are many economic and financial visions that were mentioned in the book (Al-Anis Al-Mutreb in Rawd Al-Qirtas in the News of the Kings of Morocco and the History of the City of Fez). As this valuable book includes between its two covers, narrations that reveal important and pioneering events and practices that took place and were applied in the recent past on the scene of the countries of the Maghreb. This prompted the officials in the Marinid state to take quick measures to address and confront what happened. Despite the large number and severity of these repercussions and interactions, it is not the nature of this research to download texts and visions beyond what they can bear, but
... Show MoreOil industry played a major role in delineating the course and type o development in both imported and exported Arabic countries alike where its revenues has perform an essential role in forming programs and plans of development on both national and international level in addition to anticipation of future consuming.
Iraq, as an oil producer country with a revenues –based economy depends on oil in building its economy totally including its infrastructure having a the greatest conformed reservoir which make the government budget depends largely on oil revenues where its strategic importance lies in funding all aspects of expenders as it is considered the prime source of foreign currency. The chall
... Show MoreThe Andalusi did not leave any poetic art without expressing his psychological and sentimental emotions and the depth of emotions and it sincerity. We found Andalusian translated his emotions into poetry and in many different subjects
يمر عالمنا المعاصر اليوم بمرحلة من التطور والتغيير السريعين لم يسبق له أن مر بهما فـي تاريخ البشرية ، ويشمل مظاهر الحياة الأنسانية والأقتصادية والعلمية والتربويـة والنفسية وغير ذلك . وتختلف سرعة هذا التغيير من مجتمع الـى مجتمع آخر , وأدى هذا الى تراكم كميات كبيرة من المعلومات .
لقد أكد الكثير مـن التربويين أن التطور التكنولوجي فـي ال
... Show Moreه رثا قيقحتلو ،ةيبساحملا تامولعملا ةميق ةمئلام يف قيقدتلا ةنجلل ةيبساحملاو ةيلاملا ةربخلاو ةيللاقتسلاا ثحبلا تايضرف رابتخلا ةمزلالا تانايبلا عمجل ةنابتسا ةرامتسا مادختساب ةثحابلا تماق ةساردلا فده ةللاد وذ رثأ دجوي(يهو ةيبساحملاو ةيلاملا ةربخلل ةيئاصحإ ةللاد وذ رثا دجوي( ، )ةيبساحملا تامولعملا ةميق ةمئلام ىلع قيقدتلا ةنجل ةيللاقتسلا ةيئاصحا )ةيبساحملا تامولعملا ةميق ةمئلام ىلع ( نم تنوكت ةنيع ىلع تعزو ث
... Show Moreيكتسب موضوع تدريب وتطوير العاملين أهمية بالغة في الظروف الاقتصادية الحالية التي تسودها مفاهيم وتوجهات جديدة كعولمة الاقتصاد ورأس المال المعرفي والفكري، وحيث صارت المعارف والمهارات والقابليات التي يمتلكها العاملون محركاً أساسياً باتجاه النجاح، وعنصراً مهماً في زيادة فاعلية منشأة الأعمال، وإدامة وجودها واستمرارها.
إن العاملين المدربين بشكل جيد على عمليات المنشأة وطبيعة المواد التي تستخدمها وإنتاجه
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