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jeasiq-2089
Predicting Social Security Fund compensation in Iraq using ARMAX Model
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Time series have gained great importance and have been applied in a manner in the economic, financial, health and social fields and used in the analysis through studying the changes and forecasting the future of the phenomenon. One of the most important models of the black box is the "ARMAX" model, which is a mixed model consisting of self-regression with moving averages with external inputs. It consists of several stages, namely determining the rank of the model and the process of estimating the parameters of the model and then the prediction process to know the amount of compensation granted to workers in the future in order to fulfil the future obligations of the Fund. , And using the regular least squares method and the frequency squares method by "Kalman filter" and "forgetting factor" to obtain the best predictable way for the future using data from the Social Security Department for workers and from the period 1/2013 to 6/2019 where The method of least squares "OLS" was compared with the method of iterative least squares "RLS" by "Karman Filter" and found that "OLS" method is the best according to the comparison measures "RMSE, MAPE" and it gave accurate results close to the real values

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2022
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Assessment of Air Pollution around Durra Refinery (Baghdad) from Emission NO2 Gas at April Month
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Nitrogen dioxide NO2 is one of the most dangerous contaminant in the air, its toxic gas that cause disturbing respiratory effects, most of it emitted from industrial sources especially from the stack of power plants and oil refineries. In this study Gaussian equations modelled by Matlab program to state the effect of pollutant NO2 gas on area around Durra refinery, this program also evaluate some elements such as wind and stability and its effect on stacks height. Data used in this study is the amount of fuel oil and fuel gas burn inside refinery at a year 2017. Hourly April month data chosen as a case study because it’s unsteady month. After evaluate emission rate of the all fuel and calculate exit velocity from

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 06 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
رؤية وانموذج- مقترح للارشاد النفسي والتوجيه التربوي في ظل نظام ادارة الجودة الشاملة
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The global challenges of contemporary facing societies urge to seek and move to adopt the style conscious in the face of these challenges and work on the investment of human resources and energies humanitarian efficient and effective for the development of the institutional and Management and make it more efficient and effective and meets the requirements and keep pace with global developments , and more aspects of managerial aim is Total Quality Management , as it has become thanks to the sheer amount and large accelerated technical developments and information and communication technologies , which feature of this era , and in the field of education , the charge of it are seeking through the application of total quality management to b

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
« L'agressivité de la parole et de l'acte » dans Haute Surveillance et Les Bonnes de Jean Genet
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Sommaire

                      La question de la violence et de l'agressivité  porte une importance remarquable dans l’esprit de Jean Genet qui estime le crime   en le considérant comme beau. Il lui donne une valeur suprême. Il le glorifie avec ses personnages criminels.   Le langage théâtral genétien est violent qui conduit à la fin à l’acte agressif, le crime et la mort. Ce théâtre qui aborde la condition humaine retrace sur la scène le chemin tragique de l’homme moderne.               

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Publication Date
Sat Jul 01 2017
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
The effects of Internet use on university’s students: “A Study on a Sample of Jordanian University’s students "
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The effects of Internet use on university’s students:The effects of Internet use on university’s students:“A Study on a Sample of Jordanian University’s students "This survey aims to identify the most important effects of Internet use on Jordanian public and private universities’ students by monitoring and analyzing a set of indicators that show the quality of the effects on specific fields such as  cultural, social, psychological, moral and political effects .To achieve these goals, the study attempts to answer the following questions:1.   What are the effects of Internet’s use on students?2. What is   the relationship between the effects and demographic variables such as  gender, age, family size an

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 15 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Rhetoric Effect of Ibn Al Faridh’s Poetry Counterparts: اسماء خليل ابراهيم, فرج منسي محمد
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 The Sufi poetry of Ibn Al-Faridh represents a true image of the spiritual  experience, in which he presented the bright aspects of  his experience, and his suffering in it, by formulating it in a poetic form, because the Sufi poetry is the result of an experience in which the Sufi seeks to achieve his goal of reaching the truth, and this is why Ibn Al-Faridh made his poetry a tool for expression on his own experience, the poet reflected his Sufi life in which he moved rhymes and weights.

   The poet Ibn Al-Faridh stands as a witness to his making of  Sufi poetry in the service of the purpose of who said, it is the embodiment of the Sufi journey in the stages, and the fluctuation in the places and si

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2019
Journal Name
مؤتمرات الآداب والعلوم الانسانية والطبيعية
تحليل واقع السياسات التعليمة العربية المتبعة في التعليم العالي وامكانيات تطويرها والنهوض بها
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هذه الورقة البحثية تهدف الى مناقشة سبل تطوير التعليم العالي في العالم العربي والارتقاء به لخلق راسمال بشري وثقافي قادر على مواجهة تحديات العصر، فالتنمية الاقتصادية في العصر الحالي ما عادت تعتمد على المواد الاولية بل على القيمة الابداعية للانسان التي اصبحت اساسية في المنافسة الحالية بين الشعوب الانسانية و اصبح الفكر المبدع هو المنافس الحقيقي المهم حيث تصنع احدث الاجهزة الحديثة باحجام صغيرة ومواد اولية اقل

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
ORGANIZATIONAL VALUES AND ITS IMPACT ON STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE A field study a comparison between Two Universities of Baghdad & Al-Nahrain
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ABSTRACT

     The researcher seeks to shed light on the relationship analysis and the impact between organizational values in all its dimensions (Administration Management, Mission, relationship management, environmental management) and strategic performance (financial perspective, customer perspective, the perspective of internal processes, learning and development) in the presidency of Two Universities of Baghdad & Al-Nahrain, it has been formulating three hypotheses for this purpose.

      The main research problem has been the following question: Is there a relationship and the impact of bet

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 02 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The objective Effect of Internal and External Environment and its Psychological & Practical Reflection on the Political Decision-Making Process
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The objective Effect of Internal and External Environment and its Psychological & Practical Reflection on the Political Decision-Making Process

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
اثـر انمــوذج 4EX2 في تعديل الفهم الخاطئ للمفاهيم الكيميائية لطلاب الصف الثالث المتوسط
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The Current research aims to identify ( The effects of 4EX2 Model in Misconception of Chemical concepts and Higher Order Thinking for the Students of the Third grade average ) , To verify the objective of this research , the researchers added nul hypothesis following : There is no difference is statistically significant at the level of ( 0.05 ) between the average scores of students who studied 4EX2 Model and the average students who studied by using the Misconception of Chemical concepts and Higher Order Thinking test. The research was conducted on a sample of the average Third grade students in a Baghdad secretary for boys affiliated to the General Directorate for Educational in Baghdad Al – karkh 3 and for academic year ( 2015 – 2

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Publication Date
Thu Aug 01 2019
Journal Name
International Journal Of Research - Granthaalayah
CALCULATION OF MULTIPLE MIXING RATIOS OF GAMMA RAYS FROM 𝑵𝒅(𝒏,𝒏)𝟔𝟎 𝟏𝟒𝟐−𝟏𝟓𝟎 ) 𝟔𝟎𝑵𝒅 𝟏𝟒𝟐−𝟏𝟓𝟎 INTERACTION
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In the current research, multiple mixing ratios of gamma -transitions of the energy levels 60𝑁𝑑 142−150 isotopes populated in 𝑁𝑑(𝑛, 𝑛 ˊ 60 142−150 ) 60𝑁𝑑 142−150 interaction are calculated using the constant statistical tensor (CST) method. The results obtained are, in general, in good agreement or consistent, within the experimental error, with the results published in the previously researches. Existing discrepancies result from inaccuracies in the experimental results of previous works. The current results confirm the validity of the constant statistical tenser method of calculating the values of mixing ratios and its predictability of errors in experimental results