Time series have gained great importance and have been applied in a manner in the economic, financial, health and social fields and used in the analysis through studying the changes and forecasting the future of the phenomenon. One of the most important models of the black box is the "ARMAX" model, which is a mixed model consisting of self-regression with moving averages with external inputs. It consists of several stages, namely determining the rank of the model and the process of estimating the parameters of the model and then the prediction process to know the amount of compensation granted to workers in the future in order to fulfil the future obligations of the Fund. , And using the regular least squares method and the frequency squares method by "Kalman filter" and "forgetting factor" to obtain the best predictable way for the future using data from the Social Security Department for workers and from the period 1/2013 to 6/2019 where The method of least squares "OLS" was compared with the method of iterative least squares "RLS" by "Karman Filter" and found that "OLS" method is the best according to the comparison measures "RMSE, MAPE" and it gave accurate results close to the real values
ABSTRACT
Learning vocabulary is a challenging task for female English as a foreign language (EFL) students. Thus, improving students’ knowledge of vocabulary is critical if they are to make progress in learning a new language. The current study aimed at exploring the vocabulary learning strategies used by EFL students at Northern Border University (NBU). It also aimed to identify the mechanisms applied by EFL students at NBU University to learn vocabulary. It also aimed at evaluating the approaches adopted by EFL female students at Northern Border University (NBU) to learn a language. The study adopted the descriptive-analytical method. Two research instruments were developed to collect data namely, a survey qu
... Show Moreاقيمت الكنائس على جانبي مدينة بغداد الغربي(الكرخ) والشرقي(الرصافة)، أما الأديرة فقد انشئت في موضع مدينة بغداد قبل بنائها وبعد البناء حافظ البعض منها على مكانته وانشئ البعض الآخر، في جانبيها الغربي(الكرخ) والشرقي(الرصافة)، وهو ما سنركز عليه في بحثنا عن كنائس وأديرة بغداد لمختلف الطوائف المسيحية فيها، فضلاً عن تسليط الضوء على دورها الإجتماعي والإقتصادي والثقافي، وإن كان محدوداً جداً وقاصراً على الأديرة أكثر
... Show MoreThe research aimed to identify and build two specialized scales for cognitive load and mental stress and to identify the level of each of them among 110-meter steeplechase runners among youth, and to prepare a psychological counseling approach to reduce the level of cognitive load and mental stress among 110-meter steeplechase runners among youth, so that the two research hypotheses are that there are differences. There are statistically significant differences between the results of the pre- and post-tests of the experimental group in measuring cognitive load. There are statistically significant differences between the results of the pre- and post-tests of the experimental group in measuring mental stress. The experimental method w
... Show MoreThe book "News of Time in the History of Bani Abbas" for Khazraji of important historical books, because of the news of the sons of Abbas, which is part of the book (Alosdp Almstok in the history of Islam, the layers of kings, ranked on the years starting from the emergence of Islam
تعتبر كرة القدم لعبة شعبية معروفة في جميع أنحاء العالم، وهناك العديد من المباريات تلعب يوميا بمختلف المستويات، ولقد فتن الناس بلعبة لا يمكن التنبؤ بنتائجها، ويمكن تحديد نتيجتها في ثوان معدودة عن طريق التحركات غير العادية للخصم أو الأخطاء الدفاعية القاتلة وغالبا ما يلعب حارس المرمى دورا حاسما في نتيجة المباراة ، حيث تعتمد كرة القدم بشكل اساسي على الامكانيات المهارية للاعبين واستغلال هذه الامكانيات بالشكل ا
... Show Moreالمقدمة
تمثل الأسعار تعبيرا" نقدياً لقيمة السلع والخدمات المقدمة للزبون، وتعد عملية التسعير من العمليات المهمة وذات الأثر البالغ على نجاح واستمرار منظمات الأعمال، نظراً لما لها من تأثير على المقدرة الربحية وإعادة توزيع الدخل القومي المخصص للاستهلاك، إذ أنه بتحديد الأسعار يستطيع الفرد أن يوزع دخله بين ما يعده ضرورياً من السلع وما يعد كمالياً.
وعموماً فإن لعملية التسعير م
... Show MoreThe study aimed to identify the E-leadership practice at Princess Nora Bint Abdul Rahman University and to explore the obstacles that are facing the leaders in the implementation of E-leadership, in addition to find mechanisms to improve the practice of electronic driving at the university in light of the Corona pandemic. A descriptive analytical approach was used by depending on a questionnaire to collect the needed data. The study sample consisted of (139) heads of departments, attorneys' colleges and support Deanships universities. The study results showed that E-leadership employment recorded a medium to high degree. Especially at university, that publishing decisions electronically and uses technical means in providing its services.
... Show MoreThe research aims to achieve a set of objectives, the most important of which is to educate the management of companies operating in the private sector about the advantages and risks of using creative accounting practices, as on the one hand they serve the interests of the company and improve its image, and on the other hand it exposes it to the risks of non-compliance with tax laws and legislation or the risks of default and bankruptcy as a result of exploiting gaps and flexibility in the application Accounting standards, and in line with the objectives and through the research problem that was formulated in the form of a question (Are their creative accounting practices that are reflected in the honesty and fairness of financia
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