The prediction process of time series for some time-related phenomena, in particular, the autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA) models is one of the important topics in the theory of time series analysis in the applied statistics. Perhaps its importance lies in the basic stages in analyzing of the structure or modeling and the conditions that must be provided in the stochastic process. This paper deals with two methods of predicting the first was a special case of autoregressive integrated moving average which is ARIMA (0,1,1) if the value of the parameter equal to zero, then it is called Random Walk model, the second was the exponential weighted moving average (EWMA). It was implemented in the data of the monthly traffic accidents in the province of Dhi Qar Governorate for the period from (Jan. 2011) to (Aug. 2019). It was found through the research that the model studied is well of the traffic accident, we can predict dangerous traffic accident using this model and reduce the aggravation through Develop plans strategic of the roads.
The Semitic Languages have her its Articulatory That what we attend to discuss In this Research to Represent the Relation Between them and the Light Of Semitics a Comparative Studies where ever It's Exists The Semitic languages by comparing the words whish most Semitic languages share with each other. We call such Words the Semitic denominator. We have adopted a comparative framework in our Research, which is based on comparing an Arabic word with its Semitic counterpart in Order to identify the forms that control grammatical change in both language
... Show MoreFinancial crisis is one of the topics that have attracted the interest of researchers in recently. The research focused on the issue of the crisis of the Asian Tigers and the mortgage crisis and comparing them in terms of causes and repercussions. It may meet most of the financial crises in many of its causes, factors, roots and results in the advanced and the developing countries. This crisis has its own pattern and its causes and nature and it is characterized by a crisis of cash liquidity and the collapse of many banks and declare bankruptcy and a sharp decline in stock prices and indices of the stock market and so far the common denominators among the causes but does not mean this There are differences between the financial c
... Show MoreTake the teacher's key position in the educational system as a foundation stone and primarily responsible for achieving the goals of Education , and efficient teacher conscious is the teacher who prepared educationally and specialized training well add to the enjoyment of a range of features that enable them to adjust and compatibility with educational developments
Hence the problem of the study questioning the Kindergarten Does teacher professional awareness that enable it to perform its work learned from experienceThe research sought to measure
1-Professional awareness among teacher Kindergarten
2-Professional awareness of Kindergarten parameters depending on the type of kindergarten.
Limited search parameters Riyadh govern
اسلوب الحوار في القرآن الكريم اسلوب حياة وفي حقيقة الامر يضم القرآن الكريم بين دفتيه حوارات كثير مابين الله عزوجل وخلقه وما بين الانبياء واقوامهم وما بين الانبياء والطواغيت ومابين المؤمنين والكفار وهكذا ، وبدء الخلق قام على حوار مابين الله عزوجل وآدم وما بين آدم وابليس وما بيا الله جل وعلا والملائكة .
يتناول البحث مدى المسؤولية المدنية المترتبة على وزارة الداخلية عن اعمال منتسبيها
عرفت النظم القانونية انواعا مختلفة من الشركات اذ تعتبر الشركة الوعاء القانوني الاكثر ملائمة لغرض توظيف اموال المستثمرين في مشاريع ذات اهمية والذي يحقق نفا لاصحاب رؤوس الاموال المستثمرة فضلا عن اثرها البالغ على اقتصاد الدول وقد كان للشركة القابضة نصيب من هذا الاهتمام منذ القدم لدى العديد من الدول ووضعت لها احكاما تفصيلية تتناسب مع الاهمية التي يحظى بها هذا النوع من الشركات كونها تجمع لعدة شركات فرعية تسيطر ع
... Show MoreThe research problem boils question is there in Riyadh organizational climate that enables them to do their work properly and whether there are differences between the government and private Riyadh depending on the organizational climate has sought Find measure: 1 regulatory climate for kindergarten 2. The difference between government and private Riyadh depending on the organizational climate. Limited research on the (200) parameter of the Riyadh government and private parameters for the year (20,142,015) In order to achieve the research objectives the researchers built a regulatory climate in accordance with the scientific steps to build a psychological scales measure After the formulation of climate regulation paragraphs of the (30) p
... Show MoreIn this paper was discussed the process of compounding two distributions using new compounding procedure which is connect a number of life time distributions ( continuous distribution ) where is the number of these distributions represent random variable distributed according to one of the discrete random distributions . Based on this procedure have been compounding zero – truncated poisson distribution with weibell distribution to produce new life time distribution having three parameter , Advantage of that failure rate function having many cases ( increasing , dicreasing , unimodal , bathtube) , and study the resulting distribution properties such as : expectation , variance , comulative function , reliability function and fa
... Show More