Preferred Language
Articles
/
bsj-7489
Building a Sustainable GARCH Model to Forecast Rubber Price: Modified Huber Weighting Function Approach
...Show More Authors

The unstable and uncertain nature of natural rubber prices makes them highly volatile and prone to outliers, which can have a significant impact on both modeling and forecasting. To tackle this issue, the author recommends a hybrid model that combines the autoregressive (AR) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. The model utilizes the Huber weighting function to ensure the forecast value of rubber prices remains sustainable even in the presence of outliers. The study aims to develop a sustainable model and forecast daily prices for a 12-day period by analyzing 2683 daily price data from Standard Malaysian Rubber Grade 20 (SMR 20) in Malaysia. The analysis incorporates two dispersion measurements (IQR/3 and Sn) and three levels of IO contamination 0%, 10%, and 20%. The results indicate that using the Huber weighting function with the IQR/3 measurement to build the AR(1)-GARCH(2,1) model leads to better sustainability. These findings have the potential to enhance the GARCH model by modifying the weighting function of the M-estimator

Scopus Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Aug 28 2020
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
The Local Bifurcation of an Eco-Epidemiological Model in the Presence of Stage- Structured with Refuge
...Show More Authors

In this paper, we establish the conditions of the occurrence of the local bifurcations, such as saddle node, transcritical and pitchfork, of all equilibrium points of an eco-epidemiological model consisting of a prey-predator model with SI (susceptible-infected) epidemic diseases in prey population only and a refuge-stage structure in the predators. It is observed that there is a transcritical bifurcation near the axial and free predator equilibrium points, near disease-free equilibrium point is a saddle-node bifurcation and near positive (coexistence) equilibrium point is a saddle-node bifurcation, a transcritical bifurcation and a pitchfork bifurcation. Further investigations for Hopf bifurcation near coexistence equilibrium point

... Show More
Crossref (1)
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed May 10 2017
Journal Name
Australian Journal Of Basic And Applied Sciences
Block-based Image Steganography for Text Hiding Using YUV Color Model and Secret Key Cryptography Methods
...Show More Authors

Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sat Jan 01 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Pharmaceutical Negative Results
Gentiopicroside ameliorates lipopolysaccharide-induced acute kidney injury by inhibiting TLR4/NF-κB signaling in mice model
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Scopus (6)
Crossref (5)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Nov 01 2021
Journal Name
Energy Reports
Global solar radiation prediction over North Dakota using air temperature: Development of novel hybrid intelligence model
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Scopus (75)
Crossref (77)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Fri Jul 01 2022
Journal Name
Iop Conference Series: Earth And Environmental Science
Computer Model Application for Sorting and Grading Citrus Aurantium Using Image Processing and Artificial Neural Network
...Show More Authors
Abstract<p>This study was conducted in College of Science \ Computer Science Department \ University of Baghdad to compare between automatic sorting and manual sorting, which is more efficient and accurate, as well as the use of artificial intelligence in automated sorting, which included artificial neural network, image processing, study of external characteristics, defects and impurities and physical characteristics; grading and sorting speed, and fruits weigh. the results shown value of impurities and defects. the highest value of the regression is 0.40 and the error-approximation algorithm has recorded the value 06-1 and weight fruits fruit recorded the highest value and was 138.20 g, Gradin</p> ... Show More
View Publication
Scopus (3)
Crossref (1)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Apr 30 2025
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
The Influence of Fear on the Dynamics of Harvested Prey-Predator Model with Intra-Specific Competition
...Show More Authors

The influence of fear on the dynamics of harvested prey-predator model with intra-specific competition is suggested and studied, where the fear effect from the predation causes decreases of growth rate of prey.  We suppose that the predator attacks the prey under the Holling type IV functional response. he existence of the solution is investigated and the bounded-ness of the solution is studied too. In addition, the dynamical behavior of the system is established locally and globally. Furthermore, the persistence conditions are investigated. Finally, numerical analysis of the system is carried out.

View Publication
Scopus (1)
Crossref (1)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Sep 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
Exposure and its working mechanisms in theatrical multi-scene model "critical dramaturgy study": يوسف رشيد جبر
...Show More Authors

The concept of intertextuality was one of the problems that occupied the attention of critics and critics in targeting the structure of textual intertextuality between texts and their overlap in the process of producing meaning. Until intertextuality became a stable term and it can be monitored in the structure of the theatrical text and determining the mechanisms of this intertextuality between texts through fields and classifications agreed upon by the most important critics who wrote and considered intertextuality. Perhaps our previous research (the approach of exposure in the epistemological hallway to intertextuality) was an attempt to interview a terminology, which the researcher intended to monitor, through the mechanisms of inter

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Mar 07 2010
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Study of the properties of Ru-isotopes using the proton-neutron interacting boson model (IBM-2)
...Show More Authors

The proton-neutron interacting boson model (IBM-2) has been used to make a schematic study of the Ruthenium ( ) isotopes of mass region around with and . For each isotope of the values of the IBM-2 Hamiltonian parameters, which yield an acceptable results for excitation energies in comparison with those of experimental data, have been determined. Fixed values of the effective charges ( ) and of the proton and neutron g factors ( and ) have been chosen for all isotopes under study. The calculated electric quadrupole moments of state, transitions, the magnetic dipole moments transitions and mixing ratios are in reasonable agreement with the experimental data.

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Mar 01 2020
Journal Name
Iop Conference Series: Materials Science And Engineering
Spectral fluctuations in <sup>24</sup>Mg nucleus using the framework of the nuclear shell model
...Show More Authors
Abstract<p>Random matrix theory is used to study the chaotic properties in nuclear energy spectrum of the <sup>24</sup>Mg nucleus. The excitation energies (which are the main object of this study) are obtained via performing shell model calculations using the OXBASH computer code together with an effective interaction of Wildenthal (W) in the isospin formalism. The <sup>24</sup>Mg nucleus is assumed to have an inert <sup>16</sup>O core with 8 nucleons (4protons and 4neutrons) move in the 1d<sub>5/2</sub>, 2s<sub>1/2</sub> and 1d<sub>3/2</sub> orbitals. The spectral fluctuations are studied by two statistical measures: the nearest neighb</p> ... Show More
View Publication
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Sep 01 2020
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Decolorization of Phenol Red Dye by Immobilized Laccase in Chitosan Beads Using Laccase - Mediator - System Model
...Show More Authors

This work describes the enhancement of phenol red decolorization through immobilizing of laccase in chitosan and enzyme recycling. Commercial laccase from white rot fungus, Trametesversicolor (Tvlac), was immobilizedin to freshly prepared chitosan beads by using glutaraldehyde as a cross linker. Characterization of prepared chitosan was confirmed by FTIR and scanning electron microscope (SEM). Tvlac (46.2 U/mL) immobilized into chitosan beads at 0.8 % glutaraldehyde (v/v) within 24 hrs. Synthetic (HBT) and natural (vanillin) mediators were used to enhance dye decolorizoation. It was found that 89 % of phenol red was decolorized by chitosan beads within 180 min. in the absence of enzyme and mediator, while decolorization percenta

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Scopus (9)
Crossref (4)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref