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bsj-7489
Building a Sustainable GARCH Model to Forecast Rubber Price: Modified Huber Weighting Function Approach
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The unstable and uncertain nature of natural rubber prices makes them highly volatile and prone to outliers, which can have a significant impact on both modeling and forecasting. To tackle this issue, the author recommends a hybrid model that combines the autoregressive (AR) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. The model utilizes the Huber weighting function to ensure the forecast value of rubber prices remains sustainable even in the presence of outliers. The study aims to develop a sustainable model and forecast daily prices for a 12-day period by analyzing 2683 daily price data from Standard Malaysian Rubber Grade 20 (SMR 20) in Malaysia. The analysis incorporates two dispersion measurements (IQR/3 and Sn) and three levels of IO contamination 0%, 10%, and 20%. The results indicate that using the Huber weighting function with the IQR/3 measurement to build the AR(1)-GARCH(2,1) model leads to better sustainability. These findings have the potential to enhance the GARCH model by modifying the weighting function of the M-estimator

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 23 2019
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
New Approach for Solving Three Dimensional Space Partial Differential Equation
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This paper presents a new transform method to solve partial differential equations, for finding suitable accurate solutions in a wider domain. It can be used to solve the problems without resorting to the frequency domain. The new transform is combined with the homotopy perturbation method in order to solve three dimensional second order partial differential equations with initial condition, and the convergence of the solution to the exact form is proved. The implementation of the suggested method demonstrates the usefulness in finding exact solutions. The practical implications show the effectiveness of approach and it is easily implemented in finding exact solutions.

       Finally, all algori

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Publication Date
Sat Jul 09 2022
Journal Name
Wireless Communications And Mobile Computing
An Optimized Approach for Industrial IoT Based on Edge Computing
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The Internet of Things (IoT) is an information network that connects gadgets and sensors to allow new autonomous tasks. The Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) refers to the integration of IoT with industrial applications. Some vital infrastructures, such as water delivery networks, use IIoT. The scattered topology of IIoT and resource limits of edge computing provide new difficulties to traditional data storage, transport, and security protection with the rapid expansion of the IIoT. In this paper, a recovery mechanism to recover the edge network failure is proposed by considering repair cost and computational demands. The NP-hard problem was divided into interdependent major and minor problems that could be solved in polynomial t

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 31 2013
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Enhancing Stud Arc Welding Technique Vai Utilizing FuzzyLogic Approach (FLA)
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A fuzzy logic approach (FLA) application in the process of stud arc welding environment was implemented under the condition of fuzziness input data. This paper is composed of the background of FLA, related research work review and points for developing in stud welding manufacturing. Then, it investigates thecase of developingstud arc welding process on the controversial certaintyof available equipment and human skills.Five parameters (welding time, sheet thickness, type of coating, welding current and stud shape) were studied.A pair of parameter was selected asiteration whichis welding current and welding time and used fo

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Publication Date
Tue Nov 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Hydraulic Characteristics and Discharge of Canal Sluice Gate: Practical Approach
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Simplifying formulas that are used for calculations and design are the aim of researchers. For present work, the approach to distinguish the flow under sluice gate was conducted in a laboratory. The extensive experimental program was done to collect fifty-four data points for both free and submerged flow conditions. The data included different discharges, gate openings, flow depths at upstream as well as the flow depths represent a tail water and at a contracted section for downstream. The collected data are analyzed according to a problematic that may encounter in the field, to present a more straightforward (but with acceptable accurate) practical features equations and charts. Based on the proposed formulas, five meth

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2019
Journal Name
مجلة البحوث والدراسات الإسلامية
اثر الفكر الاصولي اللغوي في بناء المجتمع الاسلامي
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يعد علم أصول الفقه السبيل إلى استنباط الأحكام من النصوص الشرعية، وبقواعده يسدد المجتهد نظره في أحكام الشريعة ويعينه على الوصول إلى الحقيقة. فهو علم دقيق المسلك، يقصده كل من يتحاشى السطحية في فهم النصوص الشرعية وتفسيرها وتكييف الوقائع والتصرفات الشرعية على النصوص تكييفا صحيحا يعصم العقل عن الخطأ، فهو بالنسبة إلى العلوم الشرعية كالنحو بالنسبة إلى العلوم العربية. وقد نال هذا العلم من جهد العلماء الحظ الأكبر وا

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 02 2008
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
اثر المحددات الخارجية والداخلية في بناء االدولة لعراقية
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اثر المحددات الخارجية والداخلية في بناء الدولة العراقية

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2012
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
دور الحكومات في بناء الدولة ضمن اطار الدستور
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دور الحكومات في بناء الدولة ضمن اطار الدستور

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2001
Journal Name
Alustath Journal For Human And Social Sciences
بناء خرائط مفاهيم لكتاب الفيزياء للصف الثاني المتوسط
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Publication Date
Mon Oct 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
بناء وتطبيق مقياس مفهوم المواطنة لدى طلبة الجامعة
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تعد المواطنة مبدأ ومرجعية دستورية وسياسية لا تلغي عملية التدافع والتنافس في الفضاء الاجتماعي ، نضبطها بضوابط الوطن ووحدته القائمة على احترام التنوع وليس على نفيه ، والساعية بوسائل قانونية وسلمية للافادة من هذا التنوع في تمتين قاعدة الوحدة الوطنية ، بحيث يشعر الجميع بان مستقبلهم مرهون بها ، وانها لاتشكل نفيا لمحو حياتهم ، وانما مجالا للتعبير عنها بوسائل منسجمة وناموس الاختلاف وافاق العصر ومكتسبات الح

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 03 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Constructing The Psychological Tranquility Scale of the University of Baghdad Students
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Constructing The Psychological Tranquility Scale of the University of Baghdad Students
The research aimed to :
- Constructing the Psychological Tranquility Scale of the University of Baghdad Students.
- Appointing the psychological content standard for the accepting Answer of student about the scale.
The research Sample was (414) boy and girl from Baghdad University Students for the Studying year (2008-2009), So the Scale of the Psychological Tranquility Scale was bilt on them in good psychometric properties from truth Factor analyzing which was its super saturation was reached to (50) item from its items a value more than the super sutution norm (0,30) for kaizer, also the firm value was Relaibility for the scale by the way

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