تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.
Studying and considering the text of the holy Quran is a task of necessity which needs a valuable as well as reliable contribution from all the concerned parties because of the greatness of this holy and scared text. The text of the holy Quran
The current research studies (representations of metaphysics in the works of potter Jason Walker) a concept that refers to To a large extent, by conveying a sense of reality to the recipient by conveying ideas, contents, and connotations. A variety of center hit, dispersion, and rejection of everything that prevails, so our position on the closed text has shifted To the open text, through the role played by cross-pollination in the works of the potter (Jason Walker), which established a clear hypothetical vision of the image represented in the construction of the ceramic work and the thought that was embodied in that image represented by the nature of its unrealistic formations for those ceramic artworks. It is thus considered a logical
... Show Moreان العولمة هي ظاهرة العصر وبحكم شمولية ابعادها وعمق اثارها اصبحت قضيتها تثير جدلا واسعا بين الباحثين (واصحاب القرار) متضمنا المصطلح والمفهوم والتجليات والمضمون والوسائل والاهداف، ولقد بدأت ملامح وخصائص هذه الظاهرة تتسارع لتشكل الهندسة الجديدة لاقتصاد القرن الحادي والعشرين وفي ظل هذا الاتجاه نحو تقسيم العمل الدولي ظهرت نتائج ومزايا عكست مديات التغيرات على مجمل الحياة الاقتصادية والاجتماعية للمجتمعا
... Show MoreThe current study aims to test the impact of green training and development on sustainable performance and explore its effects within and outside the Iraqi Ministry of Environment. The main research problem revolves around the question of the extent of implementing green training and development and sustainable performance in the ministry (What is the nature of the relationship between green training and development and sustainable performance in the ministry?). To clarify the relationship between the research variables, two main hypotheses were formulated along with sub-hypotheses. The study also aims to assess the level of the ministry's interest in the research variables and provide key recommendations to enhance sustainable performan
... Show MoreIt is well-known that the existence of outliers in the data will adversely affect the efficiency of estimation and results of the current study. In this paper four methods will be studied to detect outliers for the multiple linear regression model in two cases : first, in real data; and secondly, after adding the outliers to data and the attempt to detect it. The study is conducted for samples with different sizes, and uses three measures for comparing between these methods . These three measures are : the mask, dumping and standard error of the estimate.
the subject of medical activity in eras Rashidi and Umayyad is one of the most important for study because Medicine is related to human life and health Medicine is important science which should be identified and interested. the Prophet Muhammad emphasized God bless him and to pay attention to the study of medicine through the Hadith.
Urban wetlands are one of the complex systems that provide many economic, social and environmental services to the city. In this research, the most important services provided by urban wetlands from the point of view of the urban planner were reviewed, and the types of these lands and their divisions according to the type of services provided by each type were presented. Environmental is represented in its ability to reduce the dangers of floods, mitigate the climate and reduce its negative impacts, purify water and deplete a lot of suspended impurities and pollutants, and social services such as recreational areas and beautiful landscapes that inspire joy and reassurance in the soul, as well as cultural areas and sports activities for m
... Show MoreThe indicators were important core for any work, and may be occurring this indicators way of communicating among planers and decision makers, even also for public participating, do make any decision. The urban and regional planning is one of those science highly depending on using indictors, for two reasons, first, way to communicating ideas between specialist and non-specialist, (politician and decision makers), the second one, this field are multidisciplinary science, so the need indictors to clearing thoughts among different backgrounds in one team, as common language.
This research tries to clear importance of GIS in forming and building Spatial Planning Indicators, to cross communication problem among planning g
... Show MoreThe historical documentation of the architectural archeology has a fundamental and great importance in evaluating the architectural product that has suffered from neglect
Music and singing are always associated with the movement of society and the emergence of cultural and artistic activities other.
The social and political transformations of the 1930s helped to disseminate the study Music and music in the city of Baghdad and across Iraq This is the beginning of a new era of musical art alongside other arts.
While achieving musical arts A new step was advanced by publishing a technical study among the younger generation they were looking for to contribute to the musical field On the other hand, the city of Baghdad during the period of research many musical and musical performances Egyptian teams have provided many artistic activities and events which have had a significant impact on the development