The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results
Современные исследователи газетного речи много пишу об активном использовании разговорной и даже разговорно-сниженной, жаргонной лексики в общественно-политической публицистике. Это вызвано тем, что «…в силу того контраста, который невольно возникает при соприкосновении разговорных элементов с привычно книжными словами и построениями языка газеты, они были сразу осмыслены как сильное средство созд
... Show Moreالمستخلص ان هدف التنقيب عن الآثار هو في الأساس لحماية الآثار التي في باطن الارض وذلك لغرض دراستها والتعرف عليها للوصول الى الحقائق التي تخص مختلف العصور التي مرت على تلك المنطقة الأثرية ، وانطلاقا من هذا الهدف ستكون الطرق والوسائل العلمية المساعدة في عمليات التنقيب والحفر بأسلوب يضمن سلامة الأثر وحفظ المعلومات عنه وصيانته هي موضوع بحثنا هذا وسنحاول ان نركز على أهم الطرق العلمية الحديثة التي ظهرت في الف
... Show MoreIn this paper, the researcher suggested using the Genetic algorithm method to estimate the parameters of the Wiener degradation process, where it is based on the Wiener process in order to estimate the reliability of high-efficiency products, due to the difficulty of estimating the reliability of them using traditional techniques that depend only on the failure times of products. Monte Carlo simulation has been applied for the purpose of proving the efficiency of the proposed method in estimating parameters; it was compared with the method of the maximum likelihood estimation. The results were that the Genetic algorithm method is the best based on the AMSE comparison criterion, then the reliab
... Show MoreA sense of job security for divorced female teachers is one of the basic and very important requirements for enjoying the mental health that a person needs in order to be positive, balanced and productive. job security is one of the important things that workers must feel not only to ensure interaction and harmony between them and officials, but to ensure their satisfaction and increasing their motivation towards work, as job security is one of the most important indicators of job satisfaction and optimism in life, and it leads to the experience of psychological reassurance, which affects the building of individuals' personalities, the development of their intellectual competence and the identification of their psychological characteristic
... Show MoreThis paper is devoted to the discussion the relationships of connectedness between some types of graphs (resp. digraph) and Gm-closure spaces by using graph closure operators.
The purpose of this research is to suggest a model which may be used by law enforcement to broaden individual and organizational creativity while providing a more inclusive, holistic view of management within our internal and external organizational structures. This project introduces alternatives to traditional management, leadership styles and problem solving strategies. Law enforcement organizations in the 21st century will face many challenges. Much like community policing impacted the nation in the mid 1980's through the 1990's, the systems thinking approach offers a philosophy for the new millennium.
Most organizations will face many challenges in the next decade of the twentieth first century. Just
... Show MoreThe primary aim of this paper, is to introduce the rough probability from topological view. We used the Gm-topological spaces which result from the digraph on the stochastic approximation spaces to upper and lower distribution functions, the upper and lower mathematical expectations, the upper and lower variances, the upper and lower standard deviation and the upper and lower r th moment. Different levels for those concepts are introduced, also we introduced some results based upon those concepts.
In this research the Empirical Bayes method is used to Estimate the affiliation parameter in the clinical trials and then we compare this with the Moment Estimates for this parameter using Monte Carlo stimulation , we assumed that the distribution of the observation is binomial distribution while the distribution with the unknown random parameters is beta distribution ,finally we conclude that the Empirical bayes method for the random affiliation parameter is efficient using Mean Squares Error (MSE) and for different Sample size .
قد صيغت مشكلة البحث بالتساؤل الآتي : ما الاداء الوظيفي والجمالي للعلاقات بين البنى التصميمية ؟ وهل كانت التصاميم تضم علاقات تصميمية ملائمة لحاجات وتطلعات المستخدمين من الناحيتين الوظيفية والجمالية
المقدمة وأهمية البحث : يشهد العالم تقدما في كافة مجالات الحياة المختلفة وتزداد الحياة صعوبة يوما بعد يوم ، ويزداد البحث في كافة المجالات التي تعمل على خدمة الإنسان ولقد طال هذا التقدم النشاط الرياضي ،فقد يكون لتطور التدريب الرياضي وتنوع أساليبه الدور الكبير في تحقيق اللياقة البدنية التي تعد إحدى أهم الأهداف التي يرمي إليها الدرس في كلية التربية الرياضية . واللياقة البدنية تستمد أهميتها من كونها إحدى مكونات ا
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