يعد تحليل السلاسل الزمنية من المواضـيع الهامة في تفسير الظـواهر التي تحدث خلال فترة زمنية معينة. ان الهدف من هذا لتحليل هو الحصـول على وصف وبنـاء أنموذج مناسب من اجل اعطاء صورة مستقبلية واضحة للسلاسل الزمنية المدروسة وان السلاسل الزمنية اهم الادوات المستخدمة في بناء وتقدير والتنبؤ بالظواهر المختلفة وان الاستدامة المالية هي الحالة التي تكون فيها الدولة قادرة على الوفاء بالتزاماتها الحالية والمستقبلية من غير تغيير سياساتها اذ تعتبر من اهم المشاكل التي تواجه الصندوق لارتفاع اعداد الخارجين من الخدمة وارتفاع اعداد المتقاعدين مما يتسبب في ارتفاع حجم انفاق صندوق التقاعد والضمان الاجتماعي ولاعتماد الصندوق على ايرادات الاشتراكات التي يعتمد عليها بشكل شبه تام في تمويل الصندوق اذ استخدمت خصائص السلاسل الزمنية واختبار التكامل المشترك وانموذج متجه تصحيح الخطأ Vector Error Correction Model ومن ثم المقارنة من خلال المعايير,Sum Square Error Root Mean Square Error لإيجاد افضل انموذج من نماذج التمهيد الاسي للتنبؤ بالقيم المستقبلية، اذ تم التوصل الى ان السلاسل الزمنية (الانفاق والايراد) ساكنة بعد اخذ الفرق الاول وفق Augmented Dickey Fuller وتوصل البحث الى ان فترة الابطاء المثلى هي الفترة الثالثة بالاعتماد على معيار Akaike Information Criterion واشار اختبار Johansen – Juselius الى وجود علاقة توازنية طويلة الاجل بين المتغيرات وان هناك علاقة متجه من الايراد الى الانفاق وفق Vector Error Correction Model لان معلمة تصحيح حد الخطأ سالبة ومعنوية وان انموذج متجه تصحيح الخطأ بين نفقات وايرادات الصندوق خالي من مشكلة الارتباط المتسلسل وخالي من مشكلة عدم تجانس التباين وان افضل انموذج للتنبؤ للمتغيرات البحث هو التمهيد الاسي لمعلمتي هولت لأنه اعطى نتائج دقيقة وقريبة من القيم الحقيقية.
The current research aims to shed light on the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI), which helps to report financial and non-financial information by economic units in general and listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange in particular. The research was based on a main premise that apply the criteria of the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) would provide useful information to users to help them make appropriate decisions. To achieve the goal of the research, the descriptive analysis method was used, and quantitative analysis was used. At the level of the descriptive analysis method, a desk survey was conducted. As for the quantitative analysis, it relied on applied data through a questionnaire form (Questioners) as a research tool, and the
... Show MoreThe research aims to shed light on the financing structure, which is one of the important pillars of financial management in the commercial banking sector, which enhances its financial position through financing its various investments, which is one of the pillars of the successful economy of the commercial banking sector. in which country. The contents of the research variables, which were represented by the independent variable, financing structure, the dependent variable, and investment decisions in commercial banks, which the researcher tried to address, as the research began with a basic variable that depends on diagnosing the impact of the financin
... Show MoreThe research aims to identify the concept of financing structure and what are the determinants that affect it and the goals achieved by financing in commercial banks in addition to the sources upon which the financing structure depends consisting of internal financing sources and external financing sources and their connection to the profits of commercial banks. Baghdad, Khaleeji Commercial Bank) registered in the Iraq Stock Exchange during the period for the years (2011-2020) published in the Iraq Stock Exchange from and the research relied on financial analysis tools to analyze the independent variable the following financing structure (the ratio of equity to total assets, the ratio of deposits to Total liabilities, the ratio of loans
... Show MoreMedia and communication's research are varied in accordance to research approaches' variety which seeks to reach convergent social, psychological, political, economic, and technical point of views. Its main aim is to assimilate all the new variables in the communicative method, especially, social media sites research; concerning their methodology, tools and theories. It is due to their diverse - developed applications and their increased rates of public use becoming irreplaceable in our daily life. It is well reflected by their consequent impact on the the public beside their role in changing its views.
This clarifies the notable increase of scientific research that concern them manifesting the dialectica
... Show MoreConcert place high school in the community Keep pace with societal change and what is going through Iraqi society from the wars and occupation and the sectarian and ethnic conflict and authoritarian policies and Dictator ship .
This is the circumstance of the most important historical stages that require .
Precision sons is Keep up with the progress and development and the advancement of the educational march .
The school is a social institution that organizes the members of society all walks of life and their habitats working on crafting members of the extraordinary alve of progress At the multiplicity of functions and tasks school pequires members qualified scientific and practical Becomes complementary members seek progress a
The problem of informal settlements in Iraqi is one of the most serious problems due
to its economic, social and security impacts which jeopardize the society safety and stability.
This study investigates the present situation of informal settlements in the Baghdad
governorates as well as approaches followed in making decisions to either upgrade or remove
those areas. Requirements of each decision are also discussed.
Study methods relied on both office and field studies to collect data and information
needed. The study revealed important findings that would help take appropriate measures that
deal with the informal settlements in Iraqi. The study also proposes effective mechanisms to
preclude both an increase in c
Man derives his sense of his humanity through contact with others, he needs them to enhance the continued existence and enter into personal relationships in order to enrich his being, it says Murray (in the presence of necessary physical and social cultural center and it cannot be in isolation).
And equal to deprive an individual of talking with others and participation in the life stripped of his humanity, nor has achieved a sense of satisfaction, security, love and friendship, but through belonging to the group, which lies in the psychological composition.
The most important
... Show MoreThe research seeks to measure stigma on the children of kindergarten and get to know the differences between males and females and between kindergarten and preschool in social fear. Has been verified by the researcher was true scale of social fear after the drafting of paragraphs (43) items, and display it on a group of experts , has proven its validity after some amendments , bringing the number of paragraphs in its final form (29) items . was statistical analysis of the paragraphs of the brokered power-discriminatory , it is clear that all paragraphs distinct and statistically significant, as well as to find a relationship degree of para-class items consistency . was to ensure the stability of the scale in a re-test , as the stability
... Show MorePraise be to God, Lord of the worlds, and prayers and peace be upon our master Muhammad and upon his family and companions.
We see human societies differ from one society to another in organizing social life, and each according to the foundations and rules prepared by the main thing in the welfare and prosperity.
That is why we see eastern societies differ from western societies in many patterns and various ways of reaching that sophistication, until Islam came and gave the proper model in raising society at that time to the best and highest social levels, because it is based on heavenly rules and foundations and not status as in previous civilizations.
And when the Islamic community has
The world went through turmoil before the sixth century AD, and human societies were in conflict and rivalry, each strong state is a weak state-dependent, but the dominant societies made the slave societies to them .. And thus made many societies or civilizations system of classes, and differentiation between members of one community, Weakened its strength and go alone. As the Islamic society in the present weak and weak and falling to the lowest levels of civilizational underdevelopment in the organization of society and social security contrary to what it was Islamic civilization, because of our distance from the heavenly instructions, and this prompted many to walk behind Western ideas aimed at the demolition of Islamic civilization,
... Show More