Preferred Language
Articles
/
jih-2631
Bayesian Structural Time Series for Forecasting Oil Prices
...Show More Authors

There are many methods of forecasting, and these methods take data only, analyze it, make a prediction by analyzing, neglect the prior information side and do not considering the fluctuations that occur overtime. The best way to forecast oil prices that takes the fluctuations that occur overtime and is updated by entering prior information is the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) method. Oil prices fluctuations have an important role in economic so predictions of future oil prices that are crucial for many countries whose economies depend mainly on oil, such as Iraq. Oil prices directly affect the health of the economy. Thus, it is necessary to forecast future oil price with models adapted for emerging events. In this article, we study the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) for forecasting oil prices. Results show that the price of oil will increase to 156.2$ by 2035.

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Nov 01 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Impact of functional disability on lifestyle for patients with arthritis
...Show More Authors


A descriptive study, which was using an assessment approach, was conducted for the
determination of the impact of rheumatoid arthritis and osteoarthritis patient’s functional disability
upon their life style. The study was carried out at the Rheumatology and outpatients clinics of ALKarama
Teaching Hospital, Baghdad Teaching Hospital AL-Kindey Teaching Hospital and Specialized
surgeries Teaching Hospital for the period of October 15th 2003 through May 13th 2004 in Baghdad
City. A purposive (non-probability) sample of (245) arthritis patients which was comprised (111)
rheumatoid arthritis patients and (134) osteoarthritis patients, was selected out of the early stated
settings. The questionnaire was comprised of

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Jun 29 2025
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
ELEMENTS OF BUILDING CONTENT FOR GOVERNMENT WEBSITES: : (An Experimental Study)
...Show More Authors

The study dealt with measuring the impact of the availability of each of the content elements of the interaction, electronic services, and information on the evaluation of the users of the government website for its effectiveness in terms of the site’s functions and for measuring the site’s ability to present the organization’s tasks to customer groups.

Authority is concerned with measuring the confidence of customers in the content of the site, and in the organization as a whole. Validity is related to measuring the effectiveness of employing the site’s content to achieve the goal of its creation and in communicating with customers. Availability It is for measuring the ease of use of the site. The relevance, which means

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Feb 18 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Physics
Transition rates and microscopic effective charges for 16C exotic nucleus
...Show More Authors

View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun May 16 2021
Journal Name
Graphs And Combinatorics
Commuting Involution Graphs for Certain Exceptional Groups of Lie Type
...Show More Authors
Abstract<p>Suppose that <italic>G</italic> is a finite group and <italic>X</italic> is a <italic>G</italic>-conjugacy classes of involutions. The commuting involution graph <inline-formula><alternatives><tex-math>$${\mathcal {C}}(G,X)$$</tex-math><math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mrow> <mi>C</mi> <mo>(</mo> <mi>G</mi> <mo>,</mo> <mi>X</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </math></alternatives></inline-formula> is</p> ... Show More
View Publication
Scopus (4)
Crossref (1)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Tue May 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Design of an Optimal Integral Backstepping Controller for a Quadcopter
...Show More Authors

In this paper, an Integral Backstepping Controller (IBC) is designed and optimized for full control, of rotational and translational dynamics, of an unmanned Quadcopter (QC). Before designing the controller, a mathematical model for the QC is developed in a form appropriate for the IBC design. Due to the underactuated property of the QC, it is possible to control the QC Cartesian positions (X, Y, and Z) and the yaw angle through ordering the desired values for them. As for the pitch and roll angles, they are generated by the position controllers. Backstepping Controller (BC) is a practical nonlinear control scheme based on Lyapunov design approach, which can, therefore, guarantee the convergence of the position tracking

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (6)
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Aug 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Economic Analysis for Construction in Ibn Khalduon s’ Muqaddimah
...Show More Authors

The specialist researcher  fined the relations between economic ideas with economic facts in his theory which called humanity building it is appeared clearly ( in Ibn Khalduons’ Muqaddimah) in a clothe of economic  social  phenomenon's as a systematical analysis in all fifty chapters of al Muqaddimah ,therefore this paper deal with  Ibn Khalduon economic thoughts as important says which describe the society building in its economic subjective  and  examine the relationship between The dissert and the city within economic says which are cover  the social analysis ,and determinate   the analysis objects  which clearly in this dualism  model ,between the state and economic bas

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Jan 02 2018
Journal Name
Arab Journal Of Basic And Applied Sciences
Daftardar-Jafari method for solving nonlinear thin film flow problem
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Crossref (15)
Crossref
Publication Date
Thu May 18 2017
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Finite Difference Method for Solving Fractional Hyperbolic Partial Differential Equations
...Show More Authors

    In this paper, the finite difference method is used to solve fractional hyperbolic partial differential equations, by modifying the associated explicit and implicit difference methods used to solve fractional  partial differential equation. A comparison with the exact solution is presented and the results are given in tabulated form in order to give a good comparison with the exact solution

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Jun 30 2002
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Chemical And Petroleum Engineering
Performance of Plate-Electrostatic Precipitator for Removal of R.M.O.C. Dust
...Show More Authors

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2019
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Health Monitoring For Cantilever Crane Frame Using Residual Error Method
...Show More Authors

          In the present research, a crane frame has been investigated by using finite element method. The damage is simulated by reducing the stiffness of assumed elements with ratios (10% and 20 %) in mid- span of the vertical column in crane frame. The cracked beam with a one-edge and non-propagating crack has been used. Six cases of damage are modeled for crane frame and by introducing cracked elements at different locations with ratio of depth of crack to the height of the beam (a/h) 0.1, 0.20. A FEM program coded in Matlab 6.5 was used to model the numerical simulation of the damage scenarios. The results showed a decreasing in the five natural frequencies from undamaged beam which means

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF