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Using Multivariate GARCH Models CCC (Constant Conditional Correlation) and DCC(Dynamic Conditional Correlation) To Forecast Iraqi Dinar Exchange Rate in Dollar

Abstract

Multivariate GARCH Models take several forms , the most important DCC dynamic conditional correlation, and CCC constant conditional correlation , The Purpose of this research is the Comparison for both Models.Using three  financial time series which is a series of daily Iraqi dinar exchange rate indollar, Global daily Oil price in dollar and Global daily gold price in dollarfor the period from 01/01/2014 till 01/01/2016, Where it has been transferred to the three time series returns to get the Stationarity, some tests were conducted including Ljung-Box , JarqueBera  , Multivariate ARCH to Returns Series and Residuals Series for both models In Comparison with the estimation and forecasting based on criteria ,MAE,MSE , mean absolute error and mean Square error ,  respectively  Compared to the Suitability of these two models of the nature of the data and the ability to Capture the volatility. We concluded that CCC is better than DCC

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 30 2006
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The jurisprudence of Imam Yahya bin Moin through his history

Jurisprudential rulings were not once restricted to anyone. Even if some prominent imams were famous in one science, this does not mean that some of them were not very knowledgeable and well versed in another science, but he did not know much about it, given his fame in the first science in which he emerged. It prevailed over him until he became known only through him, and there are a large number of these people, and among them is our imam, the great critic Yahya bin Ma’in, may God be pleased with him. Many people, and even scholars, know about him except that he is the only imam in jarh and ta’deel, and on his words and the words of his strike are relied upon. In terms of the authenticity and weakness of the hadith, he is in this f

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 03 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Educational values when Imam Shafie i through his hair

In this research was the study of the educational values ​​when Shafei, contained in hair Shafi'i, and that what the role of these values ​​in the education of generations, and the possibility of their application in the educational curriculum. Find addressed Shafei life and his time. The values ​​derived from his hair, as well as quoting from the Koran and influenced by it, which is evident in the hair, governance and eating Alomthal.okzlk Find the importance of this thought in modern education, so as to realism and ease of application. It is the search results, the Shafi'i put thought educationally integral based on the Koran rise to the level of theory. Find and conclusions: that education in its present situation

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 28 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
تحقيق تحقيق القسم الثاني من مخطوطة خبرة الفقهاء

In fact, the main idea of ​​the manuscript is to deal with  subdivision science of Islamic jurisprudence, it has a touch of ambiguity that attract all knowledge men , many students like to study it according to its ambiguity and trying to solve

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The concept of sohba when the Golden Imam Through his books

Scientists were interested in the statement of the concept of companions and the definition of the companion in terms of his status or his novel or inherent to the Prophet of Allah (peace be upon him) and was for those who did not walk in the translations and the abundant share in this work, and among these scientists Hafiz Shams al-Din al-Dhahabi, which was translated to the companions His books, indicating their status and effort, and who had a novel of them - what we will see in the folds of the research, God willing -

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 29 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Legal Sciences
International protection of the high seas region from nuclear pollution

        أن مصادر تلوث البيئة البحرية متعددة ,حيث تتعدد استنادا لتنوع الأنشطة المقامة في المنطقة ,منها أنشطة استغلال قاع البحار ؛عملية إغراق النفايات والتخلص منها في البيئة البحرية ؛ أنشطة السفن ؛ من عمليات الإسقاط من الجو ,ويمكن تصنيف مصادر تلوث البيئة البحرية :التلوث من المصادر الأرضية ؛التلوث من الأنشطة في أعالي البحار ؛التلوث من الجو .والتلوث النووي سريع الانتشار ويمتد لمساحات واسعة .

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Publication Date
Fri Aug 31 2012
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Sub–Nyquist Frequency Efficient Audio Compression

This paper presents the application of a framework of fast and efficient compressive sampling based on the concept of random sampling of sparse Audio signal. It provides four important features. (i) It is universal with a variety of sparse signals. (ii) The number of measurements required for exact reconstruction is nearly optimal and much less then the sampling frequency and below the Nyquist frequency. (iii) It has very low complexity and fast computation. (iv) It is developed on the provable mathematical model from which we are able to quantify trade-offs among streaming capability, computation/memory requirement and quality of reconstruction of the audio signal. Compressed sensing CS is an attractive compression scheme due to its uni

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2022
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
PRESS COVERAGE OF CRISES: (A Research Drawn from a Doctoral Thesis)

Media is one of the main and effective factors; and it is a tool of crisis management equipment. Media is one of the most dangerous, effective and decisive weapons in modern conflicts; a tool for making events and influencing their events and trends as a means of reporting as the enormous capabilities of media which help media to move very quickly, and cross borders; and overcome obstacles, through many means of audio, reading and visual. As its ability, moreover, to influence the psychological and intellectual control of communities, and behaviors.

Intelligent media is, then, used in crises management and coverage. Crises have been existed with the presence of man on Earth. Thei

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 19 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
فصول فصول من تاريخ يوحنا النيقي فتح مصر

These Chapters are concerning a lot of information about Islamic conquest of Egypt . The important chapters are the following :- Chapter 111 :- Concerning the first encounter of Amru with the Romans at the city of Heliopolis . Chapter 112:- How all the Jews assembled in the city of manuf owing to their fear of the Muslim . the Jews left the gates of Misr open and fled to Alexandria .

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 17 2014
Journal Name
مجلة دراسات في التاريخ والاثار
نصوص اقتصادية غير منشورة من أرشيف تورام ايلي

يعود الأرشيف إلى تورام ايلي التاجر والذي عرف في النصوص أيضا بوكيل التجار(ugula-dam-gàr)، في دوره هذا له سلطة بين التجار في مجتمعه(مجتمع التجار)، يذكر(Garfinkle) أن التجار غالبا ما اكتسبوا ألقابهم عن طريق الوراثة ذلك قد يمنح التجار حق الدخول إلى حسابات المؤسسات العامة. كان تورام ايلي تاجرا نشيطا في أعمال قروض الفضة في أواخر عهود سلالة أور الثالثة(3)، لمدة (ثمان عشرة) سنة أعتبارا من السنة الرابعة من حكم الملك أمارسن وحتى ا

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Publication Date
Sat Mar 01 2008
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Microcontroller-Based Function Generator

This paper describes a microcontroller-based function generator system. By the function generator sine wave, square wave, quasi-square wave, saw-tooth and triangular waveforms are generated over a wide frequency range according to user requirements. By utilizing processing capabilities of the microcontroller the hardware is minimized exceedingly. The output waveform shapes are digitally-controlled to achieve the required wave shape. The single chip microcomputer of waveform generation equipment offers the possibility of improvements in manufacture reliability, maintenance and servicing and increased control flexibility. The system is built and tested. The results of test were satisfactory and appreciated by test engineers at different ce

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