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jeasiq-567
التنبؤ بقيم السلاسل الزمنية بأستعمال أنموذج (ARMAX) مع تطبيق عملي
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Abstract :

          Researchers have great interest in studying the black box models this thesis has been focused in the study one of the black box models , a ARMAX model which is one of the important models and can be accessed through a number of special cases which models (AR , MA , ARMA, ARX) , which combines method of the time series that depend on historical data and and regression method as explanatory variables addition to that past errors , ARMAX model importance has appeared in many areas of application that direct contact with our daily lives , it consists of constructing ARMAX model several traditional stages of the process , a identification As it was used Final prediction error (FPE) , Akaiki Information Criterion (AIC) and estimate As it was used Recursive least square with Forgetting Factor (RLS – F) and  Recursive pseudolinear regression method (RPLR) which come in the first place and  (RLS – F) which come in the second place  and finally come prediction for (30) value of the daily maximum temperature depending on the daily wind speed .  

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
مقارنة مقدر بيز مع طريقة الامكان الاعظم لتقدير معلمتي معكوس التوزيع الاسي المعمم في حالة ضبابية البيانات
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In this paper, the generalized inverted exponential distribution is considered as one of the most important distributions in studying failure times. A shape and scale parameters of the distribution have been estimated after removing the fuzziness that characterizes its data because they are triangular fuzzy numbers. To convert the fuzzy data to crisp data the researcher has used the centroid method. Hence the studied distribution has two parameters which show a difficulty in separating and estimating them directly of the MLE method. The Newton-Raphson method has been used.

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Publication Date
Sat Apr 05 2025
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages
מסורת ומנהגים יהודי אירן ביצירותה של דורית רביניאן ( עיון ברומן סמטת השקדות בעומריג'אן " , Iranian Jews' Costoms and Traditions in the works of dorit Rabinya ( A Study Of The Persian Brids Novel)
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Publication Date
Thu Feb 15 2024
Journal Name
Journal Of Al-turath University College
A Comparison of Traditional and Optimized Multiple Grey Regression Models with Water Data Application
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Grey system theory is a multidisciplinary scientific approach, which deals with systems that have partially unknown information (small sample and uncertain information). Grey modeling as an important component of such theory gives successful results with limited amount of data. Grey Models are divided into two types; univariate and multivariate grey models. The univariate grey model with one order derivative equation GM (1,1) is the base stone of the theory, it is considered the time series prediction model but it doesn’t take the relative factors in account. The traditional multivariate grey models GM(1,M) takes those factor in account but it has a complex structure and some defects in " modeling mechanism", "parameter estimation "and "m

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 30 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
THE USE OF ULTRAVIOLET RAYS TO PRESERVE FERMENTED GREEN OLIVES AND ITS EFFECTS ON CHEMICAL PROPERTIES OF ITS EXTRACTED OIL : THE USE OF ULTRAVIOLET RAYS TO PRESERVE FERMENTED GREEN OLIVES AND ITS EFFECTS ON CHEMICAL PROPERTIES OF ITS EXTRACTED OIL
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The use of ultraviolet rays is one of the methods of treating surface contamination of many foods especially pickles. however, there are some side effects to its use, especially in high percentage oil food products, it is necessary to determine the appropriate doses and time periods to avoid deterioration of its oil physicochemical characteristics. this study was conducted to see the effect of ultraviolet rays 15W on some chemical properties of olive oil when using it to preserve green olive pickles, treated for 5, 10 and 15 min daily. green olive fruits Iraqi variety (al-ashrasi), in season (2020-2021) were pickled using Spanish style, the best time period to pr

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 19 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Suggested Model to Audit the Health Institutions to Achieve Sustainable Development: Suggested Model to Audit the Health Institutions to Achieve Sustainable Development
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Sustainable development is longer that meet the needs of the present generation without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs as it seeks to harmonize economic, social, Why research aims to check the availability of a proposed program takes into account the evidence and scrutiny of financial commitment and performance audit in accordance with the dimensions of sustainable development (economic, environmental, social and institutional) to measure the extent of the province on the needs of current and future generations, The problem with research that there is no audit program ensures the audit of financial statements, commitment and performance of health services in order to achieve sustainable development

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 30 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
THE INFLUENCE OF SUPPLEMENTING ELLAGIC ACID TO BROILER DIETS ON PRODUCTIVITY AND WHITE BLOOD CELL DIFFERENTIAL COUNTS: THE INFLUENCE OF SUPPLEMENTING ELLAGIC ACID TO BROILER DIETS ON PRODUCTIVITY AND WHITE BLOOD CELL DIFFERENTIAL COUNTS
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This study has been carried out in the animal field of the college of agricultural engineering sciences, university of Baghdad, for the period from 12/15/2021 to 1/26 /2022 for 42 d, to investigate the effect of adding different levels of ellagic acid to the diet of broilers, on some physiological characteristics &  oxidation indicators in meat compared to vitamin C in meat,  225 Ross 308 chicks were used, divided randomly to five treatments such us: T1: control group without additives to diet, &  the other T2, T3, T4 was added  ellagic  acid (

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
مسببات الصراع التنظيمي بين الملاكات التمريضية والطبية والإدارية وتأثيرها في قرارات المستشفى/ بحث تطبيقي
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      يهدف هذا البحث إلى دراسة مسببات الصراع، والتي شملت (المصالح الشخصية، التمايز المهني والوظيفي، ضعف التنسيق والتعاون وسوء تحديد الواجبات ووصف العمل)، وأثرها في قرارات المستشفى التي شملت (مدى تحقيق الأهداف، خدمة المريض وإرضاءه، كفاءة استخدام الموارد المتاحة، ومكافأة العاملين وتحفيزهم).

      لقد تم اختيار مستشفى بغداد التعليمي ومستشفى غازي الحريري التابعتين لدا

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
PART 2 An Experiment on the Box plot
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Abstract

These experiments seek to investigate the effects of the fixed variations to the basic box plot on subjects' judgments of the box lengths. The study consists of two experiments, were constructed as an extension to the experiments carried out previously by Hussin, M.M. (1989, 2006).  Subjects were asked to judge what percentage the shorter represented of the longer length in pairs of box lengths and give an estimate of percentage, one being a standard plot and the other being of a different box length and also varying with respect to other elements such as, box width or whisker length. When he (1989) suggested in the future research points (1, 2), the changing length of the st

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2017
Journal Name
مجلة العلوم الاقتصادية والإدارية
مقارنة بين أنموذج الانحدار اللوجستي وانموذج التحليل المميز الخطي بأستعمال المركبات الرئيسية لبيانات البطالة لمحافظة بغداد
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ان الهدف من الدراسة هو بيان القدرة التنبؤية الافضل بين انموذج الانحدار اللوجستي والدالة المميزة الخطية باستعمال البيانات الاصليه اولا ثم المركبات الرئيسة لتقليص الابعاد بين المتغيرات لبيانات المسح الاجتماعي والاقتصادي للاسرة لمحافظة بغداد لعام 2012 وتضمنت عينة البحث 615 مفردة لـ13 متغير، 12منها متغير توضيحي والمتغير المعتمد شمل العاملين والعاطلين عن العمل، تم اجراء المقارنة بين الطريقتين اعلاه واتضح من خلال

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Publication Date
Mon Aug 01 2022
Journal Name
مجلة الدراسات الاقتصادية والادارية كلية الادارة والاقتصاد الجامعة العراقية
Internet of Things –Based Audit for Safeguarding the Public Funds An Applied Research in A Sample of Audit Teams in FBSA
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