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jeasiq-567
التنبؤ بقيم السلاسل الزمنية بأستعمال أنموذج (ARMAX) مع تطبيق عملي
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Abstract :

          Researchers have great interest in studying the black box models this thesis has been focused in the study one of the black box models , a ARMAX model which is one of the important models and can be accessed through a number of special cases which models (AR , MA , ARMA, ARX) , which combines method of the time series that depend on historical data and and regression method as explanatory variables addition to that past errors , ARMAX model importance has appeared in many areas of application that direct contact with our daily lives , it consists of constructing ARMAX model several traditional stages of the process , a identification As it was used Final prediction error (FPE) , Akaiki Information Criterion (AIC) and estimate As it was used Recursive least square with Forgetting Factor (RLS – F) and  Recursive pseudolinear regression method (RPLR) which come in the first place and  (RLS – F) which come in the second place  and finally come prediction for (30) value of the daily maximum temperature depending on the daily wind speed .  

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Adoption of the IFRS11 Financial Reporting Standard for Oil Service Contracts Costs and its Reflection on Measurement and Disclosure for National Oil Companies: بحث تطبيق في شركة نفط ميسان (ش . ع)
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The research seeks to clarify the problems related to the aspects of the financial and accounting process resulting from entering into contractual arrangements with a period of more than 20 years, among which is the research problem represented by the lack of clarity of the foundations and procedures for the recognition of oil costs and additional costs borne by foreign invested companies, which led to a weakening of their credibility and reflection. Negatively "on the measurement and accounting disclosure of financial reports prepared by oil companies, and the research aims to lay down sound procedures for measuring and classifying oil costs and additional costs paid to foreign companies, and recognizing and recording them in th

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Harold pinter and Iraq: An analysis of war(2003)
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Publication Date
Tue Jun 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Bayes Estimator as a Function of Some Classical Estimator
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Maximum likelihood estimation method, uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimation method and minimum mean square error estimation, as classical estimation procedures, are frequently used for parameter estimation in statistics, which assuming the parameter is constant , while Bayes method assuming the parameter is random variable and hence the Bayes estimator is an estimator which minimize the Bayes risk for each value the random observable and for square error lose function the Bayes estimator is the posterior mean. It is well known that the Bayesian estimation is hardly used as a parameter estimation technique due to some difficulties to finding a prior distribution.

The interest of this paper is that

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Publication Date
Mon May 11 2020
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
New Concepts of Fuzzy Local Function: Types of fuzzy local function
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The main idea of this paper is to define other types of a fuzzy local function and study the advantages and differences between them in addition to discussing some definitions of finding new fuzzy topologies. Also in this research, a new type of fuzzy closure has been defined, where the relation between the new type and different types of fuzzy local function has been studied

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Measuring and Analyzing of the Relationship between the Financial Development, Economic growth, and Poverty in Iraq with the Autoregressive Distributed lag Model framework for the period (1980-2010)
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The developed financial system is essential for increasing economic growth and poverty reduction in the world. The financial development helps in poverty reduction indirectly via intermediate channel which is the economic growth. The financial development enhancing economic development through mobilization of savings and channel them to the most efficient uses with higher economic and social returns. In addition, the economic growth reduces the poverty through two channels. The first is direct by increasing the introduction factors held by poor and improve the situations into the sectors and areas where the poor live. The second is indirect through redistribution the realized incomes from the economic growth as well as the realiz

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
تحلیل محادثة منتدى: نص مختار من مجلة بول كیمب الالكترونیة: تحلیل محادثة منتدى: نص مختار من مجلة بول كیمب الالكترونیة
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الخلاصة:
ان المحادثة كانت الشغل الشاغل لكثیر من العلماء المھتمین بدراستھم بھذا المجال من امثال ساكس
.( واخرون ( ١٩٧٤ ) وغرایس ( ١٩٧٥ ) و شكلوف و اخرون ( ١٩٧٧ ) و دانكن ( ١٩٧٢ ) و بیرتن ( ١٩٨٠
قدمت بیرتن ( ١٩٨٠ ) تحلیلا لمسرحیة النادل الابكم لغرض تقدیم طریقتھا. تتوخى الباحثة من
تقدیم ھذا البحث تحلیل تركیب المحادثة منتدى حول القصة الادبیة و القصة الروائیة باستعمال نموذج بیرتن
١٩٨٠ ). و یمیل البحث الى الاجابة عن ا

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 01 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Physics
FTIR and Electrical Behavior of Blend Electrolytes Based on (PVA/PVP)
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Polymer electrolytes were prepared using the solution cast technology. Under some conditions, the electrolyte content of polymers was analyzed in constant percent of PVA/PVP (50:50), ethylene carbonate (EC), and propylene carbonate (PC) (1:1) with different proportions of potassium iodide (KI) (10, 20, 30, 40, 50 wt%) and iodine (I2) = 10 wt% of salt. Fourier Transmission Infrared (FTIR) studies confirmed the complex formation of polymer blends. Electrical conductivity was calculated with an impedance analyzer in the frequency range 50 Hz–1MHz and in the temperature range 293–343 K. The highest electrical conductivity value of 5.3 × 10-3 (S/cm) was observed for electrolytes with 50 wt% KI concentration at room

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 02 2024
Journal Name
Entrepreneurship Journal For Finance And Business
Causes of drug abuse, its harms, and ways to prevent it
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Publication Date
Sun Jan 13 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
Antibacterial activity of Bacteriocins isolated from infant Lactobacillus against Listeria monocytogenes
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تم الحصول على ثلاث عزلات من بكتريا Lactobacillus  من عينات براز لأطفال ألرضاعه ألطبيعيه ، والعزلات صنفت للأنواع :   (Lf)L. fermentum ،و   (La)L. acidophilus، و . (Lr)  L. reuteri أظهرت العزلات الثلاث ألقدره على أ نتاج البكتريوسينات ضد بكتريا الأختبار Listeria monocytogenes  

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 02 2025
Journal Name
Ivy Lee For Public Relations
Contents of social marketing campaign advertisements )for community police analytical study)
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The research aims to achieve several goals، which are to reveal the issues that the social marketing campaigns organized by the community police in the Iraqi Ministry of Interior focus on، and to identify the communication methods that are used in the social marketing campaigns، as well as to reveal the audience groups that are targeted by the social marketing campaigns organized by them. Community police، as well as identifying the slogans that community police used in their campaigns، and revealing the extent to which community police use new ideas in social marketing campaigns ،The researcher adopted the survey method، relying on content analysis in form and content، to analyze the publications related to social marke

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