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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Teachers and Headmasters’ Perspectives toward the Application of the Organizational Culture in the Intermediate and Secondary Schools in Arar city
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The aim of the current research is to identify the level of organizational culture among the headmasters and teachers of intermediate and secondary schools in Arar city. It also aims to identify the effect of job variables, qualifications, educational stage, and years of experience on the level of organizational culture and its domains. The research sample consisted of 62 participants divided into 7 headmasters and 55 teachers. The researcher used the questionnaire of the organizational culture. The researcher used also statistical methods such as mean, standard deviation, t-test, and One way ANOVA. The results revealed that the level of organizational culture and its four domains were high, and there was no effect of the variables (teac

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 29 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
On the Use of the First-Person Pronoun ‘we’ in Final-Year Master Projects of South Algerian EFL Students
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Literature on the use of the first-person pronoun in abstracts and conclusion sections of final-year projects is limited. In case of Algerian Master students, it is too scant. The present paper aims at filling this gap through a study concerned with students’ and engagement in their final projects (memoirs). This quantitative study examines the use of “we” and its various types, “our- us-I, my, the researcher” in memoirs chosen at random from the d-space portal of the University of Adrar, southern Algeria. Sixty-five papers, submitted in the fields of Linguistics or didactics between 2015 and 2020 and representing nearly half of the whole memoirs’ depository at the library’s d-space, constituted the corpus of study. The des

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Publication Date
Thu Aug 31 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Legal Sciences
The Legal Qualification of the Marriage Mediation Contract
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Although the profession of a marriage mediator is dominated by a social character, and it is also characterized by its practice in the midst of strict secrecy, because Eastern societies innately reject this method of searching for a life partner. The two parties play a prominent role of the will in the events of legal effects, and the obligations and rights owed by the contracting parties, which leads us to consider the agreement between the mediator and the one who wants to marry going to the purely contractual nature, and thus requires the correct legal adaptation on the contractual relationship that is achieved between the marriage mediator and his clients from Those who want to get married and therefore we will divide this research into

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 02 2025
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
"THE COMMUNICATOR AND THE FACTORS INFLUENCING HIS JOB IN UNIVERSITY PRESS": " A survey study of the managers of administrative departments of public relations and media at Iraqi Universities. "
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The research problem lies in the lack of accurate scientific perceptions concerning the reality of the communicator and the factors influencing his job. The research is aimed at introducing the communicator in the university press, clarifying the obstacles facing him, and uncovering the level of his job satisfaction and his visions of developing his work.

The researcher adopted the survey method in the collection, analysis, and interpretation of the data using a questionnaire.

 A set of results and conclusions has been reached, most importantly are:

 

*The communicator performs multiple missions including writing, editing, and collecting info

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 30 2016
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Message in detail what was said in the parents of the Prophet  Ibn Kamal Pasha (d. 940 e) study and investigation
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After Hamdallah and his success on the realization of this manuscript (a letter in detail what was said in the parents of the Prophet  Ibn Kamal Pasha (d. 940 e) study and investigation I will review some of the results reached in the realization of this manuscript:
1. The hadiths mentioned in this manuscript are mostly placed or weak.
2 - We are not entitled to speak about the silence of the law for saying Almighty ﭽ ﮮ ﮯ ﮰ ﮱ ﯓ ﯔ ﯕ ﯖ ﯗ ﯘ ﯙ ﭼ Table: 101.
3 in which harm to our Holy Prophet  وله تع ﮂ ﮃ ﮄ ﮅ ﮆ ﮈ ﮉ ﮊ ﮋ ﮌ ﮍ ﮎ ﭼ parties: 57.
4 Because the parents of the Prophet  of the people of the period ordered them to God for the Almighty ﭽ ﯨ ﯩ ﯪ ﯫ ﯬ

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Presupposition in Fitzgerald the Rough Crossing
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Presupposition in Fitzgerald the Rough Crossing

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
The Expectation in ( Why did you leave the horse alone ) By Mahmoud Darwish
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Expectation in poetry is  the ability of the poet to exceed the existence of the universe . It is the revealing of the hidden and the familiar. This feature of expecting is not related to the modern poetry only . It is a well - known feature that has long been assigned to old poetry like Al-Mutannabi  an Al-Mu`arri  who had their own unique ways of expecting and going beyond the current time  and touching the future and making it a reality. Based on their awareness ,mature thinking and talent , they had the ability of reading what is to come ,even if they were mere suppositions and tentative readings. As for the modern poetry , we have poets like Amal Dunqil , Adonis ,and Al-Sayyab whose poems became expectati

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 20 2018
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Reduction in the design structure ofThe emblems ofIraqi sports clubs is amodel
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   Singled current study on the subject of shorthand in structure designs logos (Iraqi sports clubs model), as the current study Tdmt four chapters, was in the first chapter defines the research problem and its significance, as well as the aim of the research in the know shorthand formal in structure designs logos (Iraqi sports clubs model ), and identifies Find time limits: - slogans Iraqi sports clubs for the years (1956 - 1970), because it represented the years to include designs slogans official Iraqi sports clubs that have been elected in this period for the purpose of examining the reality of the design in the current search. And it represented the spatial limits: - the Republic of Iraq - Iraqi slogans designs sports

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
The Existential Dilemma as a Philosophical Problem in The Beggar by Naguib Mahfouz
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     The Beggar (1965) is a story of isolation and depression which is written by the Egyptian novelist Naguib Mahfouz who is considered the father of Arabic Literature in the modern era. Specifically, he refers in his great novel called The Beggar that the man unable to achieve psychological revival after Nasser’s revolution, the man sacrificed his own job and his family for a desire that increases his feelings of alienation and depression which leads him to an emotional outcry against the indifferent. The main aim of the study highlights the concept of existential dilemma as a philosophical problem and personality crisis by the protagonist of The Beggar novel, Omer Al-Hamzawi who had acc

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 05 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Basic Science
Loss in the Translation of Colour Euphemstic Expressions in the Qur’an: A Pragmatic Analysis
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