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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 06 2020
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
The effect of the media in forming knowledge and political awareness
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Abstract The dissemination of knowledge is no longer confined to schools and universities, not even books. For nearly two centuries, the media have become prominent in disseminating knowledge and culture, in its public and particularly political aspects. After the development of the media from newspapers and magazines to the visual media, their role has increased from the dissemination of abstract information and abstract knowledge towards the process of forming new knowledge through what it publishes and broadcasts from different programs such as drama, news and talk shows. The impact of the media has changed the overall community awareness. Half a century ago the media was not so powerful and widespread. The evolution of the 1990s made

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 30 2021
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Problems distorting the divine books in the light of revealing interpretation
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Abstract

The research is presented according to an objective study on the ideological problems, especially the distortions that the divine scriptures have been subjected to under a false pretext that does not pertain to religion, namely that the heavenly books of the Torah and the Bible have been damaged or lost as a result of apostasy and persecution, and the writing of these books has been entrusted by people who have been bestowed Holiness, they have the testimony of the Church, so they distorted and omitted it in a manner suitable for securing their good and worldly gains, and the Holy Qur’an mentioned this explicitly, and they continued later, especially the Jews, in distorting the verses of the Holy Qur’an. This researc

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 21 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
"An analytical study of The New Urbanism in the urban suburbs
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                 The research deals with the concept of a New Urbanism as an urban development strategy in the suburbs of cities or in its centers that are affected by pedestrian-oriented design and the possibility of walking, as well as integrating economic classes through the diversity of housing and its costs, and this works to facilitate access to jobs and services while providing more diverse neighborhoods and reducing the use of cars , As designing separate houses in the suburbs and increasing car trips poses a threat to the environment and the quality of urban life, and thus the new urban provides a good strategy for developing

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 31 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Iraqi-US relations in the light of the strategic framework agreement
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The United States has stood by Iraq and supported militarily and morally, but the relationship did not quickly be strained again before August 1990, when the oldest former political system in Iraq after Iraqi troops entered the territory of Kuwait, the United States stood beside Kuwait because the two parties link military ties opted States United to support the Kuwaiti side relying on the resolutions passed by the UN security Council, the United States and found in this issue right opportunity to execute the mechanics of meddling in Iraqi affairs and the various means of political, economic, military, and methods for dealing with Iraq, especially after finding the impediment standing in front of the implementation of its goals The strat

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 28 2023
Journal Name
مجلة الجامعة العراقية
The emergence of the Vietnamese National Movement in China 1921-1946
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The research, which was drawn from his doctoral thesis (People's Policy towards Vietnam 1949-1979), discussed the roots of the connections between the Chinese and Vietnamese communists since the 1920s, the presence of Ho Chi Minh and other Vietnamese communists in China, their influence by the revolutionary struggle of the Chinese Communist Party and their establishment of a group of The Vietnamese Revolutionary Societies and the Indo-Chinese Communist Party until the outbreak of the Vietnamese Revolution and their success in declaring the establishment of the Democratic Republic of Vietnam in 1946. Keywords: Ho Chi Minh, Chinese Communist Party, Indo-Chinese Communist Party, Democratic Republic of Vietnam, Chou En Lai.

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The impact of the major doctrinal rules in Some Judicial Matters
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Jurisprudential rules, a broad section to lower the legitimacy of the ruling on the developments of politics, which is increasing day by day, and developments of complex judicial issues, provided that the rule derived from the texts of the legitimate or verbal significance.
      And the introduction of jurisprudence rules in the provisions concerning the legitimate policy, the first to take from the provisions of the situation; because the rules of jurisprudence is a summary of the provisions reached by the scholars of the nation after study and scrutiny, which is qualified and largely to cover the need of the owners of public mandates.

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 05 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The requirements of curriculum development for the public stage in Iraq
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 Chapter One : the importance of research and the need for it .
       He has developed the concept of the curriculum has evolved as other educational concepts . Because the world has become a small village due to modern technology and are used in various aspects of life , and the rapid communication between the world can be accessed easily and conveniently . And that the purpose of education citizens who create social functions which ones to keep the culture , upgrade and repair flaws, and aims to develop the capacity of the individual and the preparations in the footsteps of scientific and technological development .
- The goal of research : The research aims to:
1 . What is the

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 14 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Administrative Applications of Expert Systems in Educational Leadership Departments in the Light of the Systems Approach
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Abstract

The aim of the current research is to identify the level of administrative applications of expert systems in educational leadership departments in light of the systems approach. To achieve the objectives of the research, the descriptive-analytical and survey method was adopted. The results showed that the level of availability of the knowledge base for expert systems in educational leadership departments (as inputs) was low. The level of availability of resources and software for expert systems in educational leadership departments (as transformational processes) came to be low, as well as the level of availability of the user interface for expert systems in educational leadership departments (as outputs

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The problem of elevating the status of values in scienceStudy in economic thought and macro analysis
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ان من اهم القضايا التي تثيرها المعرفة البشرية في تجلياتها، وتعبيراتها المفاهيمية، تكمن في مدى تأصلها وانتمائها الى البنى والتشكيلات الموضوعية (في مستوياتها التاريخية) التي تسعى لتفسيرها وادراكها ومضاهاتها. فالينبوع الذي يغرف منه الفكر مادته هو الكيان الاجتماعي المتموضع خارج الوعي والايدولوجيا.

ان قدرة الوعي على ادراك الواقع الموضوعي بخصائصه العامة يشكل الشرط  الضروري لاكتساب الوعي ل

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 02 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Employment Listening Skills in The Teaching Of Recitation: Employment Listening Skills in The Teaching Of Recitation
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Abstract
We Can Summarize This Research According To the Following Points
A- result
1- We conclude a new method to teach the recitation we call it (listening
method) which consist of four steps (introduction , listening ,continuity,
evaluation )
2- This research get many listening skills that educated need it when
listen to (holy quran) beside to many propositions that help to develop
it.
3- This research briefs some principles that help the teacher when use
listening method.
B- conclusion
1- The best way to teach and learn the recitation of holy quran is by
using listening skill because the prophet (pease be upon him )learn
the holy quran by it from jebrel (pease be upon him ) and then
teach

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