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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 13 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Assessment of the Major Anti-Tuberculosis Drugs Available to Patients at Primary Health Care Centers in Baghdad City
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Objective: To assess the major anti-tuberculosis drugs available to patients at primary health care centers in Baghdad city. Methodology: A descriptive cross-sectional study design is carried out in order to achieve the objectives of the study by using the assessment technique in primary health care centers from December 29th, 2014 to July 10 th, 2015. probability sampling is select based on the study design. Eighteen primary health care centers are select according to criteria of sample to the study and for the purpose of the study, is select (6) sectors and (11) Primary Health Care Centers (PHCC) from Bagh

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
THE PARTICLES OF GRAMATICAL IN The Semitic Languages THE FARM (WAW)
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The Semitic Languages have    her its  Articulatory   That  what  we  attend  to  discuss  In  this  Research  to  Represent the  Relation  Between  them  and  the Light  Of  Semitics   a Comparative Studies  where  ever  It's  Exists   The Semitic languages by comparing the words whish most Semitic languages share with each other. We call such Words the Semitic denominator. We have adopted a comparative framework in our Research, which is based on comparing an Arabic word with its Semitic counterpart in Order to identify the forms that control grammatical  change in both language

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 04 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Effectiveness of Electronic System Based on Cloud Computing to Develop Electronic Tasks for Students of the University of Mosul
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The present research aims to design an electronic system based on cloud computing to develop electronic tasks for students of the University of Mosul. Achieving this goal required designing an electronic system that includes all theoretical information, applied procedures, instructions, orders for computer programs, and identifying its effectiveness in developing Electronic tasks for students of the University of Mosul. Accordingly, the researchers formulated three hypotheses related to the cognitive and performance aspects of the electronic tasks. To verify the research hypotheses, a sample of (91) students is intentionally chosen from the research community, represented by the students of the college of education for humanities and col

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 10 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
ENCAPSULATION OF OMEGA-3 FATTY ACID USING NANOTECHNOLOGY TO IMPROVE ITS THERMAL STABILITY AND USE IT TO ENRICHING THE YOGURT: ENCAPSULATION OF OMEGA-3 FATTY ACID USING NANOTECHNOLOGY TO IMPROVE ITS THERMAL STABILITY AND USE IT TO ENRICHING THE YOGURT
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Concentrations 25, 50 and 100 mg of nano-capsules linolenic acid and non-capsulated fatty acid for 1kg of Milk was used for yogurt manufacture. The results showed no significant differences in the ratio of titration acidity and pH values between all processed treatments at the beginning and during of period storage. The treatments was added to it coated omega-3 by nano method were the least exposed to the oxidation process from the non-capsules omega-3, And for shield of The poly lactic acid had a significant role in the protection of alpha-linolenic acid against lipolysis by the formation of a protective layer to protect the acid from the activity of lipases enzymes, and the addition of fatty acid linolenic to milk was determined the gr

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 30 2024
Journal Name
Association Of Arab Universities Journal Of Engineering Sciences
The impact of flexibility in the design of educational interior spaces (University of Baghdad Studio as a model) (أثر المرونة في تصميم الفضاءات الداخلية التعليمية (مراسم جامعة بغداد أنموذجا
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Publication Date
Thu Jun 29 2017
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The illusion of al-Tabarsi in the kunya of Abi Jaafar in the interpretation of Majma' al-Bayan
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The persons who Allah Ioves them in the holly Quran

Objectivity Study0Dr 0muyad Turky Ali 

Allah men tioned in Auran the loving of benevolent and who Allah loves him gave him everything 0the loving of benevolent came fist and after that the loving of justice who remove injustice and after that loving purified and in noeent 0After that mentioning loving of Knighters ( fighters )The eharity with money and to clear up the justice and loving purified is a reason of accessing paradise 0 

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The Role of Media in Developing the Tax Awareness of the Iraqi Citizen: Applied Study in the General Commission for Taxes
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 Interested in many scholars and reseachers  the subject of the media and means varied his roleinfluential in the definition of the public of issues and political, cultural, social and because of its spread wide and ability to address the people of all levels effect them  in the formation consciousness of those issues and types of this awareness is an awareness of the tax, contribute to media formation consciousness tax through the definition of people what tax and importance of the role of its revenues to supplement the state budget by posting tax laws and regulations of applied and all what respect process account tax, to be in charge of the tax familiar enough about this, which avoid being cheated taxmisleading when rev

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The effect of accounting disclosure in the efficient performance of the tax authority: Applied research in the General Commission for Taxes
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               Starting with a problem of the weakness of accounting disclosure in some companies administration when preparing and presenting the financial reports which are submitted to the Tax authority. This problem impacts on Tax authority performance (The effect on the quality of the performance of the tax authority), because of the lack of conviction for the information contained in those reports, and the  failure to achieve accurate results in tax authority performance that leads to a negative impact on determining taxable income and affect tax revenue, as well as negative impact on  determining taxable income and affect tax revenue, as well as negati

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 08 2022
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Study of Microbial Desalination Cell Performance; Power Generation and Desalination Efficiency using Pure Oxygen in a Cathode Chamber
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Microbial Desalination Cell (MDC) is capable of desalinating seawater, producing electrical power and treating wastewater. Previously, chemical cathodes were used, which were application restrictions due to operational expenses are quite high, low levels of long-term viability and high toxicity. A pure oxygen cathode was using, external resistance 50 and 150 k Ω were studied with two concentrations of NaCl in the desalination chamber 15-25 g/L which represents the concentration of brackish water and sea water. The highest energy productivity was obtained, which amounted to 44 and 46 mW/m3, and the maximum limit for desalination of saline water was (31% and 26%) for each of 25 g / L and 15 g / L, respectively, when using an ex

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
A Laboratory Study Attempt of Flow and Energy Dissipation in Stepped Spillways
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A new laboratory study conducted on stepped spillways in order to investigate their efficiency of dissipating flow energy. All previous study on stepped spillway indicated that the flow energy dissipation decreased as increasing in discharge. Increasing in the step numbers and the spillway slope led to energy dissipation decrease. In this study, an experimental attempt to increase energy dissipation at variable discharges was performed on stepped spillway and that leads to decreasing the cost of initiating the stilling basin or may be ignoring it. Five spillways were constructed from concrete and tested to investigate and compare among them. Three were roughed by gravel with different size for each one, one of them was s

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