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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 10 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The provisions of the autistic in criminal penalties
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  Thankfully Thank meets the grace and pushes us Blaneh and a curse, peace and blessings be upon the Prophet after him, and his family and companions, and after:

    This research deals with the subject of the provisions of the autistic in criminal penalties, one of the important issues, especially after the spread in abundance in our contemporary society, as the patient is characterized by autism in most of spaces of isolation and depression and aggressive behavior, and in some cases try autistic to commit suicide as a result of going through the psychological pressure , was this research to clarify what follows autistic criminal penalties as a result of the capital crime of self or without them, and the stat

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 30 2018
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The semantics of words in the Holy Quran
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The lexical connotation is one of the types of connotation that linguists have dealt with, and stipulated in their studies, meaning access to the real meanings of the words, that the lexicon can address after tracing the real meaning of the metaphorical meanings, if any, and this is known to the semantics additional significance, and the rhetorical meaning Figuratively.
The miraculous Qur'an in its systems often refers to the metaphorical uses of the words as well as the real use. The significance of the words in the Holy Qur'an came in a variety of contexts, making each word a special significance that belongs to it exclusively. This is the miracle of the Holy Qur'an. The coming of the slow walk, with its eight words (came, came, cam

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
Fantasy Parody in the Design of the Advertisement
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This research deals with the topic (Fantasy Parody in the Design of the Advertisement) in view of the important role that fantasia plays in designing the most creative and attractive advertisements to the recipients. The research problem lies in accordance with the following question:
What is the Fantasy Parody in the Design of the Advertisement?
It means the imagination, the unfamiliar; and features that emerge for it that distinguish it from other concepts. Fantasy advertisement is creativity in innovative ways, either through collage, merging, or the use of various artistic expressions in terms of intellectual and cultural awareness. When uses in the parody of advertisement, it has helped to come up with an aesthetic experie

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Legislative miracle in the light of the light
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After the use of trust in God, and after the completion of my research called (the legislative miracle in the light of Surat), which studies the miracle in general and then unique legislative miracle, which was the largest share of the research where I built my research on several topics dealt with in the first topic: definition of miracles language and terminology and address Also discussed the Quran and the challenge and miracles and the status of the Arabs in the eloquence and eloquence, and then the literature in the miracle and dealt with legislation based on the foundations of individual education, family building, community building, and the most important advantages of Islamic legislation and presented some examples of legislativ

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 13 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Assessment of the Major Anti-Tuberculosis Drugs Available to Patients at Primary Health Care Centers in Baghdad City
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Objective: To assess the major anti-tuberculosis drugs available to patients at primary health care centers in Baghdad city. Methodology: A descriptive cross-sectional study design is carried out in order to achieve the objectives of the study by using the assessment technique in primary health care centers from December 29th, 2014 to July 10 th, 2015. probability sampling is select based on the study design. Eighteen primary health care centers are select according to criteria of sample to the study and for the purpose of the study, is select (6) sectors and (11) Primary Health Care Centers (PHCC) from Bagh

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 10 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
ENCAPSULATION OF OMEGA-3 FATTY ACID USING NANOTECHNOLOGY TO IMPROVE ITS THERMAL STABILITY AND USE IT TO ENRICHING THE YOGURT: ENCAPSULATION OF OMEGA-3 FATTY ACID USING NANOTECHNOLOGY TO IMPROVE ITS THERMAL STABILITY AND USE IT TO ENRICHING THE YOGURT
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Concentrations 25, 50 and 100 mg of nano-capsules linolenic acid and non-capsulated fatty acid for 1kg of Milk was used for yogurt manufacture. The results showed no significant differences in the ratio of titration acidity and pH values between all processed treatments at the beginning and during of period storage. The treatments was added to it coated omega-3 by nano method were the least exposed to the oxidation process from the non-capsules omega-3, And for shield of The poly lactic acid had a significant role in the protection of alpha-linolenic acid against lipolysis by the formation of a protective layer to protect the acid from the activity of lipases enzymes, and the addition of fatty acid linolenic to milk was determined the gr

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 03 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Risk-taking Behavior and It's Relationship to Job Satisfaction Among Workers in the Emergency Program in UNRWA in Gaza Governorates
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This research aims to find out the relationship of risk behavior & job satisfaction for workers in the emergency program in the international relief agency (UNRWA) in the Gaza Strip and the level of each of them, and to achieve that we have been conducting research on the strength of "210" sample employees of the emergency program staff in the international relief agency in Gaza governorates, and try to answer the research questions the researcher through the use of measurements of risk behavior and job satisfaction are two of the researcher, The researcher has used several statistical methods to identify the validity and reliability of scales and access to research and interpretations of the results, and these methods: the m

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 22 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Using simulation to compare between parametric and nonparametric transfer function model
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In this paper, The transfer function model in the time series was estimated using different methods, including parametric Represented by the method of the Conditional Likelihood Function, as well as the use of abilities nonparametric are in two methods  local linear regression and cubic smoothing spline method, This research aims to compare those capabilities with the nonlinear transfer function model by using the style of simulation and the study of two models as output variable and one model as input variable in addition t

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The impact of wages and benefits systems on the performance of employees A field study in the General Company for Food Industries in the city of Baghdad
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The research aims to find out the impact of wages and benefits systems on the performance of employees, which included the research community on a sample of employees in the company, and the sample consisted of (50) employees and an employee, A questionnaire composed as prepared (23) paragraph, use the promised statistically methods in data collected by the questionnaire analysis. The research reached a number of results, the most prominent of which were: There is a correlation between wage systems, benefits and performance of employees, and the presence of the impact of the systems of wages and benefits to the performance of employees. The research was presented a set of recommendations including: increasing the effectiveness of

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
The treatment of the output of Marquez novels in the international cinema … Love in the time of cholera: منهل باسم سعيد الطاهر
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Gabriel Garcia Marquez, the Nobel laureate of literature in 1982, is one of the most famous Latin American writers who have been distinguished by the magic of realism. We can say the months in the world and he is almost the most controversial for many reasons and for these reasons he did not accept that his novels turn into movies Marquez agreed to turn one of his most important and most beautiful novels, "Love in the Time of Cholera," which he wrote in 1985 and agreed to convert to a film in 2006 after the novel was bought by the author for $ 3 million. Mike Noel to bring out

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