The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in dete

The research aims to present and discuss the accounting bases adopted in accounting for fixed assets in the public sector with an emphasis on its importance in the area of ​​accountability and fixed assets management , based on a realistic problem associated with the use of cash basis accounting in the public sector in Iraq, which are difficult  to provide accounting information useful for many users , including the same units and regulatory departments for the purposes of accountability and management of those assets. Search tool has been the organization questionnaire, its results show the importance of financial reporting for provide accounting information about fixed assets relate to the units of the public sector in Iraq fo

ملخص الدراسة
سعت الدراسة تعرف اثراستعمال الأنموذج المعملي في تصحيح المفاهيم الرياضية شائعة الخطأ لدى طلاب الصف الأول المتوسط بالإجابة عن السؤال "ما اثر استعمال الأنموذج المعملي في تصحيح المفاهيم الرياضية شائعة الخطأ لدى طلاب الصف الأول المتوسط" ولتحقيق هدف الدراسة وضعت الفرضية الصفرية "لايوجد فرق ذو دلالة إحصائية عند مستوى الدلالة (0.05) بين متوسطي درجات طلاب المجموعة التجريبية الذين يدرسون المادة المقرر

Magical realism potential bulwark plastic art and literature، and won great fame and Research cash innumerable، and like other currents of literary found his outlet in the art of cinema، quoted cinema of literature magical realism and influenced his concepts، and Arab cinema، it was necessary to have a vulnerability to stream، either Tools employing magical realism، unintentionally since the early beginnings dating back to the time of World Wars I and II، or in deliberate more mature in the twenty-first century، due to the emergence of film-makers more aware and culture، and more friction global currents.

      But this raises a number of problems that need to be addressed from the maker of

Many undergraduate learners at English departments who study English as a foreign language are unable to speak and use language correctly in their post -graduate careers.  This problem can be attributed to certain difficulties, which they faced throughout their education years that hinder their endeavors to learn. Therefore, this study aims to discover the main difficulties faced by EFL students in language learning and test the difficulty variable according to gender and college variables then find suitable solutions for enhancing learning.  A questionnaire with 15 items and 5 scales were used to help in discovering the difficulties. The questionnaire was distributed to the selected sample of study wh

يهدف البحث الحالي إلى معرفة اثر التدريس بطريقة التنقيب الحواري في حفظ النصوص الأدبية لدى طلبة قسم اللغة الكردية، اختارت الباحثة طلبة المرحلة الثانية في قسم اللغة الكردية بكلية التربية ابن رشد، للعام الدراسي
(2008-2009) ميدان لتطبيق تجربتها.
تألفت عينة الدراسة من (48) طالبا وطالبة، تم توزيعها عشوائيا إلى مجموعتين، مجموعة ضابطة (درست بالطريقة الاعتيادية) تألفت من (23) طالبا وطالبة ومجموعة تجريبية (درست بطريقة الت

_{Die vorliegende Forschung erklärt ein sprachliches Phänomen im Deutschen und Arabischen, dessen Aspekte die Grund-Folge-Relation (Kausalität) im Allgemeinen sowie den wirkungslosen Gegengrund (Konzessivität) im Besonderen behandeln.}

_{In diesem Kontext wird der Unterschied der verschiedenartigen Gründe der Kausalität im Deutschen, wie wirklicher Grund (kausal), möglicher Grund (konditional) und wirkungsloser bzw. unzureichender Gegengrund (konzessiv) gezeigt.}

_{Die theoretischen Darlegungen der konzessiven Ausdrucksmittel in dieser Forschungsarbeit werden durch diverse praktische Beispiele aus der deutschen und arabischen Literatur fundamentiert.}

_{Das Hauptziel dieser For}

مشكلة البحث :

تعد الادارة الجامعية عاملا مهما واساسيا في اكمال البناء المعرفي لشخصية الطالب الجامعي لما يمثله من قدرة على قيادة العملية التربوية والتعليمية والوصول بها الى تحقيق اهدافها . وطالما كانت هذه الادارة ممثلة ابتداء من رئاسات الاقسام ووصولا الى اعلى الهرم الاداري في الجامعة مهمة في تحقيق  الاهداف العلمية والتربوية فان اختيار الاشخاص للقيام بمهامها تاخذ جانبا كبيرا ومهما وذلك للاثر

The research is to use the specifications and detection of the main and secondary causes of the problems that lead to the weakness and low quality of local production in Iraqi companies and develop appropriate solutions to them, as Iraqi companies suffer from the low quality of production, And the adoption of the requirements of ISO 9001: 2008, which contributes to the development of production processes within the company, and through the field co-operation and survey conducted for public companies affiliated to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals, The importance of the research through the statement of the most important problems facing the General Company for vegetable oil industry in terms of low and weak in production qual

   The drawings of The travelers artist is important historical document and sources for  important information about The most of The city and building and different Islamic art which idling  because of different causes like wars and destruction or natural causes and disasters like eruptions and earthquakes and floods  which we cannot make a clear form about the buildings  mapping in later period .