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العلاقة السببية بين منهج التخطيط والتنمية – بحث تحليلي للتجربة الماليزية –
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 ٳن العلاقة بين التخطيط والتنمية، تكتسب᾽ شكلها وطبيعتها من خلال دور التخطيط في ٳخضاع عملية التغيير والتحوّل للأوضاع الاقتصادية من وضع الى وضع آخر أكثر تقدما̋ عن طريق ٳعتماد منهج التخطيط لتحديد معالم خطوط السير المجدول زمنيا̋ لعملية التغيير والتحوّل وفقا̋ لرؤية الحكومة وفلسفتها باتجاه الانتقال من وضع ٳقتصادي وٳجتماعي متخلف الى وضع ٳقتصادي وٳجتماعي آخر يسمح بجعل عملية النمو مستمرة، ويمكن تبيّن تلك العلاقة من خلال دراسة تجارب الشعوب قاطبة̋ ولمختلف المراحل التاريخية للتطور وللمستويات المختلفة للتخطيط، وليس ٳختيارنا للتجربة الماليزية في التنمية هو محاولة لاثبات أهمية التخطيط أيا̋ كانت مستوياته؍ وأيا̋ كانت الأنظمة التي يعمل في ظلها، بقدر ماهو محاولة لتبيّن وٳثبات العلاقة بين التخطيط والتنمية التي ترتقي الى مصاف العلاقة السببية، وليس العلاقة التفاعلية والقرينية كما يعتقد بعض المهتمين والمفكرين الاقتصاديين. حيث أدركت الحكومات الماليزية المتعاقبة في ٳطار سعيها لتعزيز ٳستقلالها وتعزيز وحدتها الوطنية وتحقيق التنمية والدخول في الحداثة، ضرورة ٳنتهاج التخطيط في تحديد ٳتجاهات وخطوط السير للمجتمع المنشود وفق منهج تنموي مجدول زمنيا̋ محددا̋ بتوجهات وأهداف مرحلية بعيدة ومتوسطة الأمد في حدود الامكانيات والموارد المادية والمالية والبشرية المتاحة محدثة تحولات تنموية على المستويين الاقتصادي والاجتماعي. ٳقتصاديا̋ بتحول هيكلها الاقتصادي من ٳقتصاد أولي الى ٳقتصاد صناعي متنوع ومتقدم تكنولوجيا، مكنها من تنويع صادراتها، محققة بذلك تنوعا̋ في مصادر الدخل القومي وٳقتصاد قادر على التنافس عالميا̋. الى جانب ٳعادة توزيع الثروات والدخول بين مجتمع متعدد الاعراق والاثنيات عن طريق تحقيق نمو ٳقتصادي مستدام دون اللجوء لمصادرة الثروات بأساليب قسرية، وتخفيض نسب الفقر بين أفراد مجتمعه من خلال توفير فرص العمل المنتج والسعي لاكتساب المهارات عن طريق الانتقال بالتعليم من التلقين الى التعليم الفني المواكب لمتطلبات سوق العمل المنتج، ٳجتماعيا̋. 

 

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 26 2020
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
On Estimation of P(Y_1<X<Y_2 ) in Cased Inverse Kumaraswamy Distribution
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This paper deals with the estimation of the stress strength reliability for a component which has a strength that is independent on opposite lower and upper bound stresses, when the stresses and strength follow Inverse Kumaraswamy Distribution. D estimation approaches were applied, namely the maximum likelihood, moment, and shrinkage methods. Monte Carlo simulation experiments were performed to compare the estimation methods based on the mean squared error criteria.

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Publication Date
Fri Sep 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Estimation of Reliability through the Wiener Degradation Process Based on the Genetic Algorithm to Estimating Parameters
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      In this paper, the researcher suggested using the Genetic algorithm method to estimate the parameters of the Wiener degradation process,  where it is based on the Wiener process in order to estimate the reliability of high-efficiency products, due to the difficulty of estimating the reliability of them using traditional techniques that depend only on the failure times of products. Monte Carlo simulation has been applied for the purpose of proving the efficiency of the proposed method in estimating parameters; it was compared with the method of the maximum likelihood estimation. The results were that the Genetic algorithm method is the best based on the AMSE comparison criterion, then the reliab

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Theoretical and Experimental Investigation of Transient Temperature Distribution in Friction Stir Welding of AA 7020-T53
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Finite element modeling of transient temperature distribution is used to understand physical phenomena occurring during the dwell (penetration) phase and moving of welding tool in friction stir welding (FSW) of 5mm plate made of 7020-T53 aluminum alloy at 1400rpm and 40mm/min.
Thermocouples are used in locations near to the pin and under shoulder surface to study the welding tool penetration in the workpiece in advance and retreate sides along welding line in three positions (penetrate (start welding) , mid, pullout (end welding)).
Numerical results of ANSYS 12.0 package are compared to experimental data including axial load measurements at different tool rotational speeds (710rpm.900rpm.1120rpm and 1400rpm) Based on the experiment

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
A Realistic Aggregate Load Representation for A Distribution Substation in Baghdad Network
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Electrical distribution system loads are permanently not fixed and alter in value and nature with time. Therefore, accurate consumer load data and models are required for performing system planning, system operation, and analysis studies. Moreover, realistic consumer load data are vital for load management, services, and billing purposes. In this work, a realistic aggregate electric load model is developed and proposed for a sample operative substation in Baghdad distribution network. The model involves aggregation of hundreds of thousands of individual components devices such as motors, appliances, and lighting fixtures. Sana’a substation in Al-kadhimiya area supplies mainly residential grade loads. Measurement-based

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 27 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Physical Simulation for the Flow in Straight and Rectangular Loop Manifolds
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The flow in a manifolds considered as an advanced problem in hydraulic engineering applications. The objectives of this study are to determine; the uniformity qn/q1 (ratio of the discharge at last outlet, qn to the discharge at first outlet, q1) and total head losses of the flow along straight and rectangular loop manifolds with different flow conditions. The straight pipes were with 18 m and 19 m long and with of 25.4 mm (1.0 in) in diameter each. While, the rectangular close loop configuration was with length of 19 m and with diameter of 25.4 mm (1.0 in) also. Constant head in the supply tank was used and the head is 2.10 m. It is found that outlets spacing and manifold configuration are the main factors aff

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Publication Date
Thu May 18 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Spatial Prediction of Monthly Precipitation in Sulaimani Governorate using Artificial Neural Network Models
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ANN modeling is used here to predict missing monthly precipitation data in one station of the eight weather stations network in Sulaimani Governorate. Eight models were developed, one for each station as for prediction. The accuracy of prediction obtain is excellent with correlation coefficients between the predicted and the measured values of monthly precipitation ranged from (90% to 97.2%). The eight ANN models are found after many trials for each station and those with the highest correlation coefficient were selected. All the ANN models are found to have a hyperbolic tangent and identity activation functions for the hidden and output layers respectively, with learning rate of (0.4) and momentum term of (0.9), but with different data

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2018
Journal Name
International Journal Of Science And Research (ijsr)
Height-to-Length Ratio Effect on the Response of Unreinforced Masonry Wall Subjected to Vertical Load Using Detailed-Micro Modeling Approach
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This paper aimed to investigate the effect of the height-to-length ratio of unreinforced masonry (URM) walls when loaded by a vertical load. The finite element (FE) method was implemented for modeling and analysis of URM wall. In this paper, ABAQUS, FE software with implicit solver was used to model and analysis URM walls subjected to a vertical load. In order to ensure the validity of Detailed Micro Model (DMM) in predicting the behavior of URM walls under vertical load, the results of the proposed model are compared with experimental results. Load-displacement relationship of the proposed numerical model is found of a good agreement with that of the published experimental results. Evidence shows that load-displacement curve obtained fro

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 07 2010
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Comparison of Mercury Intrusion and Nitrogen Adsorption Measurements for the Characterization of Certain Natural Raw Materials Deposits
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The porosity of materials is important in many applications, products and processes, such as electrochemical devices (electrodes, separator, active components in batteries), porous thin film, ceramics, soils, construction materials, ..etc. This can be characterized in many different methods, and the most important methods for industrial purposes are the N2 gas adsorption and mercury porosimetry. In the present paper, both of these techniques have been used to characterize some of Iraqi natural raw materials deposits. These are Glass Sand, Standard Sand, Flint Clay and Bentonite. Data from both analyses on the different types of natural raw materials deposits are critically examined and discussed. The results of specific surface are

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
A field study of the problems of queues at some checkpoints in the city of Baghdad
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Abstract

Due to the momentum of winning in the streets of the city of Baghdad as a result of the large number of checkpoints so felt researcher to conduct a field visit to find out the main reasons that led to this congestion and to find practical solutions to mitigate wastage winning the arrival time citizen to where you want the least possible time.

This research aims to overcome the difficulties experienced by citizens to reach their places of work and reduce waste at the time of service and waiting time as well as reduce the cost of waiting.

Has emerged study a set of conclusions, including the use of model queue (G / G / C) and the mome

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
حول توزيع الطلب خلال فترة الانتظار عند خضوع الطلب لتوزيع گاما وفترة الانتظار للتوزيع اللوغاريتمي الطبيعي (I)
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سنقوم في هذا البحث باشتقاق توزيع الطلب خلال فترة الانتظار لنظام سيطرة على الخزين يخضع فيه الطلب لتوزيع گاما فيما يخضع وقت الانتظار للتوزيع اللوغايتمي الطبيعي، كما سيتم استخراج العزوم الأساسية لهذا المتغير ، الضرورية بدورها لاستخراج بعض مؤشرات النظام المذكور.

 

المصطلحات المستخدمة: التكامل المحيط، المستوي المركب، تكامل هانكيل، مستوى إعادة الطلب، الوقاية.

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