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العلاقة السببية بين منهج التخطيط والتنمية – بحث تحليلي للتجربة الماليزية –

 ٳن العلاقة بين التخطيط والتنمية، تكتسب᾽ شكلها وطبيعتها من خلال دور التخطيط في ٳخضاع عملية التغيير والتحوّل للأوضاع الاقتصادية من وضع الى وضع آخر أكثر تقدما̋ عن طريق ٳعتماد منهج التخطيط لتحديد معالم خطوط السير المجدول زمنيا̋ لعملية التغيير والتحوّل وفقا̋ لرؤية الحكومة وفلسفتها باتجاه الانتقال من وضع ٳقتصادي وٳجتماعي متخلف الى وضع ٳقتصادي وٳجتماعي آخر يسمح بجعل عملية النمو مستمرة، ويمكن تبيّن تلك العلاقة من خلال دراسة تجارب الشعوب قاطبة̋ ولمختلف المراحل التاريخية للتطور وللمستويات المختلفة للتخطيط، وليس ٳختيارنا للتجربة الماليزية في التنمية هو محاولة لاثبات أهمية التخطيط أيا̋ كانت مستوياته؍ وأيا̋ كانت الأنظمة التي يعمل في ظلها، بقدر ماهو محاولة لتبيّن وٳثبات العلاقة بين التخطيط والتنمية التي ترتقي الى مصاف العلاقة السببية، وليس العلاقة التفاعلية والقرينية كما يعتقد بعض المهتمين والمفكرين الاقتصاديين. حيث أدركت الحكومات الماليزية المتعاقبة في ٳطار سعيها لتعزيز ٳستقلالها وتعزيز وحدتها الوطنية وتحقيق التنمية والدخول في الحداثة، ضرورة ٳنتهاج التخطيط في تحديد ٳتجاهات وخطوط السير للمجتمع المنشود وفق منهج تنموي مجدول زمنيا̋ محددا̋ بتوجهات وأهداف مرحلية بعيدة ومتوسطة الأمد في حدود الامكانيات والموارد المادية والمالية والبشرية المتاحة محدثة تحولات تنموية على المستويين الاقتصادي والاجتماعي. ٳقتصاديا̋ بتحول هيكلها الاقتصادي من ٳقتصاد أولي الى ٳقتصاد صناعي متنوع ومتقدم تكنولوجيا، مكنها من تنويع صادراتها، محققة بذلك تنوعا̋ في مصادر الدخل القومي وٳقتصاد قادر على التنافس عالميا̋. الى جانب ٳعادة توزيع الثروات والدخول بين مجتمع متعدد الاعراق والاثنيات عن طريق تحقيق نمو ٳقتصادي مستدام دون اللجوء لمصادرة الثروات بأساليب قسرية، وتخفيض نسب الفقر بين أفراد مجتمعه من خلال توفير فرص العمل المنتج والسعي لاكتساب المهارات عن طريق الانتقال بالتعليم من التلقين الى التعليم الفني المواكب لمتطلبات سوق العمل المنتج، ٳجتماعيا̋. 

 

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 04 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Evaluation of Baghdad water quality using Fuzzy logic

Fuzzy measures are considered important tools to solve many environmental problems. Water pollution is one of the environmental problems, which has negatively effect on the health of consumers. In this paper, a mathematical model is proposed to evaluate water quality in the distribution networks of Baghdad city. Fuzzy logic and fuzzy measures have been applied to evaluate water quality with respect to chemical and microbiological contaminants. Our results are evaluate water pollution of some chemical and microbiological contaminants, which are difficult to evaluation through traditional methods.

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 19 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
An Analysis of Stress Distribution in a Spline Shaft Subjected to Cycilc Impulsive Load

In this paper the effect of engagement length, number of teeth, amount of applied load, wave propagation time, number of cycles, and initial crack length on the principal stress distribution, velocity of crack propagation, and cyclic crack growth rate in a spline coupling subjected to cyclic torsional impact have been investigated analytically and experimentally. It was found that the stresses induced due to cyclic impact loading are higher than the stresses induced due to impact loading with high percentage depends on the number of cycles and total loading time. Also increasing the engagement length and the number of teeth reduces the principal stresses (40%) and
(25%) respectively for increasing the engagement length from (0.15 to 0

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Building standardized Growth Curves for Iraqi Children Under Five Years

The growth curves of the children are the most commonly used tools to assess the general welfare of society. Particularity child being one of the pillars to develop society; through these tools, we can path a child's growth physiology. The Centile line is of the important tools to build these curves, which give an accurate interpretation of the information society, also respond with illustration variable age. To build standard growth curves for BMI, we use BMI as an index. LMSP method used for finding the Centile line which depends on four curves represents Median, Coefficient of Variation, Skews, and Kurtosis. These can be obtained by modeling four parameters as nonparametric Smoothing functions for the illustration variable. Ma

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 20 2021
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Bayesian Estimation for Two Parameters of Weibull Distribution under Generalized Weighted Loss Function

In this paper, Bayes estimators for the shape and scale parameters of Weibull distribution have been obtained using the generalized weighted loss function, based on Exponential priors. Lindley’s approximation has been used effectively in Bayesian estimation. Based on theMonte Carlo simulation method, those estimators are compared depending on the mean squared errors (MSE’s).

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 20 2023
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Bayesian Approach for estimating the unknown Scale parameter of Erlang Distribution Based on General Entropy Loss Function

We are used Bayes estimators for unknown scale parameter  when shape Parameter  is known of Erlang distribution. Assuming different informative priors for unknown scale  parameter. We derived The posterior density with posterior mean and posterior variance using different informative priors for unknown scale parameter  which are the inverse exponential distribution, the inverse chi-square distribution, the inverse Gamma distribution, and the standard Levy distribution as prior. And we derived Bayes estimators based on the general entropy loss function (GELF) is used the Simulation method to obtain the results. we generated different cases for the parameters of the Erlang model, for different sample sizes. The estimates have been comp

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 02 2012
Journal Name
Education College Journal/al-mustansiriyah University
On Significance Testimator in Pareto Distribution Via Shrinkage Technique

In this paper, preliminary test Shrinkage estimator have been considered for estimating the shape parameter α of pareto distribution when the scale parameter equal to the smallest loss and when a prior estimate α0 of α is available as initial value from the past experiences or from quaintance cases. The proposed estimator is shown to have a smaller mean squared error in a region around α0 when comparison with usual and existing estimators.

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 20 2020
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Bayesian Inference for the Parameter and Reliability Function of Basic Gompertz Distribution under Precautionary loss Function

     In this paper, some estimators for the unknown shape parameter and reliability function of Basic Gompertz distribution have been obtained, such as Maximum likelihood estimator and Bayesian estimators under Precautionary loss function using Gamma prior and Jefferys prior. Monte-Carlo simulation is conducted to compare mean squared errors (MSE) for all these estimators for the shape parameter and integrated mean squared error (IMSE's) for comparing the performance of the Reliability estimators. Finally, the discussion is provided to illustrate the results that summarized in tables.

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Physics
The effect of short range correlation on the inelastic C4 form factors of 18O nucleus

The effect of short range correlations on the inelastic longitudinal
Coulomb form factors for different states of J   4 , T  1with
excitation energies 3.553,7.114, 8.960 and 10.310 MeV in 18O is
analyzed. This effect (which depends on the correlation parameter )
is inserted into the ground state charge density distribution through
the Jastrow type correlation function. The single particle harmonic
oscillator wave function is used with an oscillator size parameter b.
The parameters  and b are considered as free parameters, adjusted
for each excited state separately so as to reproduce the experimental
root mean square charge radius of 18O. The model space of 18O does
not contribute to the tra

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 31 2024
Journal Name
Mathematical Modelling Of Engineering Problems
Investigating the Effects of Canard Dihedral Angle on the Wing Span Loading in a Forward-Swept Wing Aircraft at Transonic Speeds at Steady State Conditions Using Computational Fluid Dynamics

Forward-swept wings were researched and introduced to improve maneuverability, control, and fuel efficiency while reducing drag and they are often used alongside canards, to further enhance their characteristics. In this research, the effects of canard dihedral angles on the wing loading of a forward-swept wing in transonic flow conditions were studied, as the wing loading provides a measure of wing’s efficiency (lift/drag). A generic aircraft model from literatures was selected, simulated, and compared to, using CFD software ANSYS/Fluent where the flow equations were solved to calculate the aerodynamic characteristics. The research was carried at two different Mach numbers, 0.6 and 0.9, for five different canard dihedral angles which tra

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 20 2021
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
An Estimation of Survival and Hazard Rate Functions of Exponential Rayleigh Distribution

In this paper, we used the maximum likelihood estimation method to find the estimation values ​​for survival and hazard rate functions of the Exponential Rayleigh distribution based on a sample of the real data for lung cancer and stomach cancer obtained from the Iraqi Ministry of Health and Environment, Department of Medical City, Tumor Teaching Hospital, depending on patients' diagnosis records and number of days the patient remains in the hospital until his death.

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