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العلاقة السببية بين منهج التخطيط والتنمية – بحث تحليلي للتجربة الماليزية –

 ٳن العلاقة بين التخطيط والتنمية، تكتسب᾽ شكلها وطبيعتها من خلال دور التخطيط في ٳخضاع عملية التغيير والتحوّل للأوضاع الاقتصادية من وضع الى وضع آخر أكثر تقدما̋ عن طريق ٳعتماد منهج التخطيط لتحديد معالم خطوط السير المجدول زمنيا̋ لعملية التغيير والتحوّل وفقا̋ لرؤية الحكومة وفلسفتها باتجاه الانتقال من وضع ٳقتصادي وٳجتماعي متخلف الى وضع ٳقتصادي وٳجتماعي آخر يسمح بجعل عملية النمو مستمرة، ويمكن تبيّن تلك العلاقة من خلال دراسة تجارب الشعوب قاطبة̋ ولمختلف المراحل التاريخية للتطور وللمستويات المختلفة للتخطيط، وليس ٳختيارنا للتجربة الماليزية في التنمية هو محاولة لاثبات أهمية التخطيط أيا̋ كانت مستوياته؍ وأيا̋ كانت الأنظمة التي يعمل في ظلها، بقدر ماهو محاولة لتبيّن وٳثبات العلاقة بين التخطيط والتنمية التي ترتقي الى مصاف العلاقة السببية، وليس العلاقة التفاعلية والقرينية كما يعتقد بعض المهتمين والمفكرين الاقتصاديين. حيث أدركت الحكومات الماليزية المتعاقبة في ٳطار سعيها لتعزيز ٳستقلالها وتعزيز وحدتها الوطنية وتحقيق التنمية والدخول في الحداثة، ضرورة ٳنتهاج التخطيط في تحديد ٳتجاهات وخطوط السير للمجتمع المنشود وفق منهج تنموي مجدول زمنيا̋ محددا̋ بتوجهات وأهداف مرحلية بعيدة ومتوسطة الأمد في حدود الامكانيات والموارد المادية والمالية والبشرية المتاحة محدثة تحولات تنموية على المستويين الاقتصادي والاجتماعي. ٳقتصاديا̋ بتحول هيكلها الاقتصادي من ٳقتصاد أولي الى ٳقتصاد صناعي متنوع ومتقدم تكنولوجيا، مكنها من تنويع صادراتها، محققة بذلك تنوعا̋ في مصادر الدخل القومي وٳقتصاد قادر على التنافس عالميا̋. الى جانب ٳعادة توزيع الثروات والدخول بين مجتمع متعدد الاعراق والاثنيات عن طريق تحقيق نمو ٳقتصادي مستدام دون اللجوء لمصادرة الثروات بأساليب قسرية، وتخفيض نسب الفقر بين أفراد مجتمعه من خلال توفير فرص العمل المنتج والسعي لاكتساب المهارات عن طريق الانتقال بالتعليم من التلقين الى التعليم الفني المواكب لمتطلبات سوق العمل المنتج، ٳجتماعيا̋. 

 

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 02 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The effectiveness of educational design design according to the theory of Ozbal in the acquisition of geographical concepts among the pupils of the fourth primary in the geography and development of their habits of mind

Summary The objective of the research is to learn the design of a learning educational learning according to the theory of Ausubel in the acquisition of geographical concepts among the students of the fourth primary in the field of geography and the development of their habits of mind. To achieve this, the researcher relied on the two hypotheses the researcher used the design of equal groups the first experimental group was studied according to the design educational educational learning according to the theory and the other is an officer according to the traditional method. The research community consists of fourth grade pupils in primary school day for girls in the Directorate of Education Baghdad, Al-Rusafa, the third academic year 20

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 20 2020
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Comparison Among Three Estimation Methods to Estimate Cascade Reliability Model (2+1) Based On Inverted Exponential Distribution

      In this paper, we are mainly concerned with estimating cascade reliability model (2+1) based on inverted exponential distribution and comparing among the estimation methods that are used . The maximum likelihood estimator and uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimators are used to get  of the strengths  and the stress ;k=1,2,3 respectively then, by using the unbiased estimators, we propose Preliminary test single stage shrinkage (PTSSS) estimator when a prior knowledge is available for the scale parameter as initial value due past experiences . The Mean Squared Error [MSE] for the proposed estimator is derived to compare among the methods. Numerical results about conduct of the considered

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison Ridge regression method with some classical methods to estimate the parameters of Lomax distribution by simulation

Abstract

In this research provide theoretical aspects of one of the most important statistical distributions which it is Lomax, which has many applications in several areas, set of estimation methods was used(MLE,LSE,GWPM) and compare with (RRE) estimation method ,in order to find out best estimation method set of simulation experiment (36) with many replications  in order  to get mean square error and used it to make compare , simulation experiment  contrast with (estimation method, sample size ,value of location and shape parameter) results show that estimation method effected by simulation experiment factors and ability of using other estimation methods such as(Shrinkage, jackknif

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Publication Date
Tue Nov 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Proposal of Using Principle of Maximizing Entropy of Generalized Gamma Distribution to Estimate the Survival probabilities of the

Abstract

In this research we been estimated the survival function for data suffer from the disturbances and confusion of  Iraq Household Socio-Economic Survey: IHSES II 2012 , to data from a five-year age groups follow the distribution of the Generalized Gamma: GG. It had been used two methods for the purposes of estimating and fitting which is the way the Principle of Maximizing Entropy: POME, and method of booting to nonparametric smoothing function for Kernel, to overcome the mathematical problems plaguing integrals contained in this distribution in particular of the integration of the incomplete gamma function, along with the use of traditional way in which is the Maximum Likelihood: ML. Where the comparison on t

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Publication Date
Thu Apr 28 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Determination of the shape for (54Xe and 82pb) nuclei from deformation parameters ( , )

The shape for even-even (54Xe 118≤ A ≤ 140 and 82Pb 204 ≤ A ≤ 210 ) nuclei have been studied and investigated through the deformation parameters and δ , these deformation parameters were calculated by two different methods. The first one is nucleus quadrupole deformation parameter β2 from reduced transition probability B(E2)↑ for 0+→2+1 transitions and the second is nucleus quadrupole deformation parameters δ from quadrupole moment Qo.The relationship between two deformation parameters ( , ) and neutrons magic number (N=82 & 126) was studied through plotting the deformation parameters ( , ) as a function of neutrons number , from this relationship we can see very cleary that the deformation of nucleus decreased when th

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Doubly Type II Censoring of Two Stress-Strength System Reliability Estimation for Generalized Exponential-Poisson Distribution

 In this paper, a Bayesian analysis is made to estimate the Reliability of two stress-strength model systems. First: the reliability  of a one component strengths X under stress Y. Second, reliability  of one component strength under three stresses. Where X and Y are independent generalized exponential-Poison random variables with parameters (α,λ,θ) and (β,λ,θ) . The analysis is concerned with and based on doubly type II censored samples using gamma prior under four different loss functions, namely   quadratic loss function, weighted loss functions,  linear and non-linear exponential loss function. The estimators are compared by mean squared error criteria due to a simulation study. We also find that the mean square error is

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 20 2019
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
On Shrinkage Estimation for R(s, k) in Case of Exponentiated Pareto Distribution

   This paper concerns with deriving and estimating the reliability of the multicomponent system in stress-strength model R(s,k), when the stress and strength are identical independent distribution (iid), follows two parameters Exponentiated Pareto Distribution(EPD) with the unknown shape and known scale parameters. Shrinkage estimation method including Maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), has been considered. Comparisons among the proposed estimators were made depending on simulation based on mean squared error (MSE) criteria.

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 30 2016
Journal Name
International Business Management
ESTIMATE OF THE MULTIPLIER EFFECT OF THE MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY ON NON-OIL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT IN THE IRAQI ECONOMY FOR THE PERIOD OF 1990-2014

The monetary policy is a vital method used in implementing monetary stability through: the management of income and adjustment of the price (monetary targets) in order to promote stability and growth of real output (non-cash goals); the tool of interest rate and direct investment guides or movement towards the desired destination; and supervisory instruments of monetary policy in both quantitative and qualitative. The latter is very important as a standard compass to investigate the purposes of the movement monetary policy in the economy. The public and businesses were given monetary policy signals by those tools. In fiscal policy, there are specific techniques to follow to do the spending and collection of revenue. This is done in order to

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 02 2022
Journal Name
Al-manhaj
Mathematical Statistics - Second Edition

This Book is the second edition that intended to be textbook studied for undergraduate/ postgraduate course in mathematical statistics. In order to achieve the goals of the book, it is divided into the following chapters. Chapter One introduces events and probability review. Chapter Two devotes to random variables in their two types: discrete and continuous with definitions of probability mass function, probability density function and cumulative distribution function as well. Chapter Three discusses mathematical expectation with its special types such as: moments, moment generating function and other related topics. Chapter Four deals with some special discrete distributions: (Discrete Uniform, Bernoulli, Binomial, Poisson, Geometric, Neg

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Bayes Analysis for the Scale Parameter of Gompertz Distribution

In this paper, we investigate the behavior of the bayes estimators, for the scale parameter of the Gompertz distribution under two different loss functions such as, the squared error loss function, the exponential loss function (proposed), based different double prior distributions represented as erlang with inverse levy prior, erlang with non-informative prior, inverse levy with non-informative prior and erlang with chi-square prior.

The simulation method was fulfilled to obtain the results, including the estimated values and the mean square error (MSE) for the scale parameter of the Gompertz distribution, for different cases for the scale parameter of the Gompertz distr

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