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إعداد خطة قبول خمسية للطلبة في كلية الإدارة والاقتصاد/ جامعة بغداد باستخدام منهجية (بوكس – جينكنز) لتحليل السلاسل الزمنية
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المستخلص:

 إن من أهم عوامل نجاح أي مؤسسة (سواء كانت مؤسسة تعليمية أم غيرها من المؤسسات) هو التخطيط الاستراتيجي السليم المبني على أساس علمي ونظام واقعي متكامل بعيداً عن التخمين والحدس.

تتمثل مشكلة البحث بوجود تفاوت بين أعداد الطلبة المقبولين فعلاً والطلبة المخطط قبولهم في الدراسات الأولية بكلية الإدارة والاقتصاد بجامعة بغداد في كل عام دراسي حيث غالباً كانت أعداد الطلبة المقبولين فعلاً أكثر من المخطط قبولهم مما يشير إلى عدم وجود آلية علمية واضحة للتنبؤ بأعداد الطلبة المتوقع قبولهم (المخطط قبولهم) لكل عام دراسي، وهذا بدوره أدى إلى عدم تطوير الطاقة الاستيعابية للكلية بشكل يتناسب مع الزيادة الحاصلة في أعداد الطلبة المقبولين فعلاً في كل عام دراسي.

لقد جاء هذا البحث بهدف إعداد خطة قبول خمسية لطلبة الدراسات الأولية في الكلية المذكورة باستخدام منهجية (بوكس – جنيكنز) في تحليل السلاسل الزمنية كونها لا تزال تعتبر من الأساليب الحديثة المعتمدة في العديد من الدراسات في الوقت الراهن.

تم تحليل السلسلة الزمنية المتمثلة بأعداد الطلبة المقبولين فعلاً في الدراسة الأولية بالكلية المذكورة للأعوام الدراسية السابقة (من 1990/1991 إلى 2014/2015). لقد خلص البحث إلى أن أنموذجARIMA ( 3,1,0 )  هو الأنموذج الوحيد الممثل لبيانات السلسلة الزمنية تمثيلاً جيداً حيث كانت جميع معلماته معنوية، فضلاً عن اجتيازه لاختبارات الدقة. وقد أوصى البحث باعتماده في إعداد خطط القبول المستقبلية.

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Fri Jun 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Analysis of liquidity and profitability of general price level changes Applied Study State company for Glass and Ceramic industry
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     The accountants are preparing the financial statements under the Monetary Unit Stability Assumption without taking into consideration the changement of prices for the monetary unit. The income statement accounts containing different items of expenses and revenues. These items are not paid or obtained at one date, because the value of monetary unit is changing from one date to another , also the financial position contains different items of current and fixed assets, also contains different items of long-term liabilities and ownership rights, the continuity of applying historical cost principle will make the financial statements misleading, The adoption of financial analyst of these statements will affects

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Commercial banks in Iraq had applied in practice different forms of its activities upon surplus funds that deposited from individual, firms and many governments units
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Publication Date
Mon Jun 01 2009
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Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Use sensitivity analysis in evaluating projects Investment under the conditions of risk and uncertainty Case study of glass bottles project in Anbar province
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After applying sensitivity analysis we found that the glass bottles project  sensitive to the following factors (cash flow, the cost of investment, and the pro

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2022
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Employing Statistical Analysis in Public Relations Researches: (An Analytical Study of the Theses and Dissertations of Public Relations for the Period from 2005 to 2012)
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Public relations are amongst the social sciences that rely on scientific methods in achieving new knowledge or resolving existing problems by means of its scientific researches that are often applied and require a classification in terms of their results’ analysis. It also requires subtle statistical processes whether in constructing their material or in analyzing and interpreting their results.

This research seeks to identify the relation between public relations and statistics, and the significance a researcher or practitioner in the domain of public relations should assign to statistics being one of the important criteria in identifying the accuracy and object

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Publication Date
Sun May 08 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
spatial analysis of health services in wasit governorate
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The spatial variation of regional development means that some regions to be a center of activities and services and job opportunities and economic development, and are usually in major urban centers, while lacking in other regions to such activities and services. Perhaps the studies of spatial variation SPATIAL INEQUALITY, regional development, REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT has had the greatest impact on the operations of regional planning in particular the study of the regional dimension of any city requires that you review the basis and theoretical framework, which refers to the inevitability of the existence of disparities across regions, due to the properties of the regions population and economic political and environmental The study

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 02 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
تحليل محتوى كتاب الرياضيات للصف الاول المتوسط على وفق مكونات المعرفة
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هدفت الدراسة الى تحليل محتوى كتاب الرياضيات للصف الاول متوسط على وفق مكونات المعرفة الرياضية (المفاهيم الرياضية , التعميمات الرياضية, المهارات الرياضية والمسائل الرياضية )

وتفرعت منه الاسئلة الاتية :

مانسبة المفاهيم الرياضية المتضمنة في كل فصل من فصول كتاب الرياضيات للصف الاول متوسط  وللكتاب ككل ؟

مانسبة المهارات الرياضية المتضمنة في كل فص

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Assessing Service Quality using Data Envelopment analysis Case study at the Iraqi Middle East Investment Bank
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The use of data envelopment analysis method helps to improve the performance of organizations in order to exploit their resources efficiently in order to improve the service quality. represented study a problem in need of the Iraqi Middle East Investment Bank to assess the performance of bank branches, according to the service quality provided, Thus, the importance of the study is to contribute using a scientific and systematic method by applying  the data envelopment analysis method in assessing the service quality provided by the bank branches, The study focused on achieving the goal of determining the efficiency of the  services quality provided by the bank branches manner which reflect the extent of utilization of a

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Publication Date
Fri Jul 01 2016
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
A Semiotic Approach to the Analysis of the News Story
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This study attempts to provide an approach analysis for the news, depending on the bases and principles which conceptuality semiotic researchers of this field first of them «A. J. Gremas» for the theory of «narrative discourse analysis», to more clarify we tried to apply it on a published press- news, to concludes the most important steps and methods that are necessary to follows gain more understanding of the press- news.

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 08 2026
Journal Name
Al-rafidain University College For Sciences
“Simple Regression Analysis by using Linear Programming Technique and illustration of Absolute Residuals method with another Estimation Techniques”
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This research deals with unusual approach for analyzing the Simple Linear Regression via Linear Programming by Two - phase method, which is known in Operations Research: “O.R.”. The estimation here is found by solving optimization problem when adding artificial variables: Ri. Another method to analyze the Simple Linear Regression is introduced in this research, where the conditional Median of (y) was taken under consideration by minimizing the Sum of Absolute Residuals instead of finding the conditional Mean of (y) which depends on minimizing the Sum of Squared Residuals, that is called: “Median Regression”. Also, an Iterative Reweighted Least Squared based on the Absolute Residuals as weights is performed here as another method to

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 04 2022
Journal Name
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Analyzing the Content of the Chemistry Book for the Fifth Grade of Preparatory School According to Imaginative Thinking Skills
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The aim of the research is to identify the imaginative thinking skills included in the content of the chemistry textbook for fifth-grade students in biological sciences at the preparatory stage, which is approved by the Ministry of Education, General Directorate of Curricula in the academic year 2020-2021. To achieve the objective of the study, the researcher depends on the previous studies in the field and content of imaginative thinking skills for preparing a list of skills that includes (3) essential skills and (11) sub-skills and (28) items related to all skills. The researcher adopted the analytical descriptive approach because of its appropriation of the goals of the research. Then the researcher analyzed the content of the book de

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