Time series have gained great importance and have been applied in a manner in the economic, financial, health and social fields and used in the analysis through studying the changes and forecasting the future of the phenomenon. One of the most important models of the black box is the "ARMAX" model, which is a mixed model consisting of self-regression with moving averages with external inputs. It consists of several stages, namely determining the rank of the model and the process of estimating the parameters of the model and then the prediction process to know the amount of compensation granted to workers in the future in order to fulfil the future obligations of the Fund. , And using the regular least squares method and the frequency squares method by "Kalman filter" and "forgetting factor" to obtain the best predictable way for the future using data from the Social Security Department for workers and from the period 1/2013 to 6/2019 where The method of least squares "OLS" was compared with the method of iterative least squares "RLS" by "Karman Filter" and found that "OLS" method is the best according to the comparison measures "RMSE, MAPE" and it gave accurate results close to the real values
ناولت هذه الدراسة إحدى الشخصيات الأمريكية التي تأثرت بواقع السود. كان بوكر تاليافيرو واشنطن أحد الأمريكيين السود ، الذين ولدوا في ظل العبودية وتعرضوا للاضطهاد بعد إلغاء حقوق التصويت وإطلاق قوانين جيم كرو من قبل الولايات الجنوبية. ورأى واشنطن خلال عمليات إعادة الإعمار أحوال السود وكيف كانت معاناتهم قبل الحرب الأهلية في ظل ظروف العبودية التي شملت الإذلال ، والحرمان من حقوقهم المدنية والسياسية، فيما لم يختلف
... Show MoreSome great families in England had competed for the sake of getting authority and power in England.
This competition turned to be a bloody civil war which extended till 1455 and ended with the victory of Henry Tudor whose judgment in England started from 28th of August 1458, consequently a new dynast which is known as (the Tudor)has established
تعد دراسة التراث العلمي العربي من الدراسات التي تلقي الضوء على التطور التاريخي للعلوم العربية وما أنجزته العقلية العربية في هذا الميدان للمدة التاريخية التي ابتدأت بعصر صدر الإسلام وانتهت بالخلافة ويرى الكثير من العلماء سواء كان
يُعدّ الأشخاص ذوو الإعاقة أكبر أقلية في العالم وأكثرها حرمانًا، حيث تشير الإحصاءات إلى أن نحو مليار شخص، أي ما يعادل 15% من سكان العالم، يعانون من بعض أشكال الإعاقة، مع تزايد معدلاتها في البلدان النامية. وتشير الدراسات العلمية إلى أن ذوي الإعاقة قادرون على مزاولة العمل بإتقان ومثابرة، بل وقد تتفوق مهاراتهم أحيانًا على مهارات الأشخاص غير المعاقين، إذا تم اختيار العمل المناسب لقدراتهم ومواهبهم. كما أن حق العمل
... Show MorePraise be to Allah and peace and blessings be upon our Prophet Muhammad and on his family and companions
Yet,
The prophets (peace be upon them) urged all thevalues and one of these is the value of work which is of a great importance, that all nations have gathered against us as the eaters gather at a bowl. One of the reasons of our weakness and the strength of our enemy is that we have neglected the value of work. And rather a large number of ignorant and uneducatedpeople started to believe that the means of living, triumph, gaining power, and establishing a civilization are given by Allah with neithergainingnoreffort from us. While we find in the past that Allah the Almighty narrated to us the story of Mary (Peace be upon her) and
objective of this research is to identify some of the obstacles that face secondary school teachers of the Arabic language courses in using modern teaching methods in class.
The research focuses on secondary school teachers of the Arabic language courses at the central region of Nineveh Governorate for the school year (2008-2009). 30 teachers out of 792, were randomly chosen to apply the research tool upon.
To fulfill the objective of this research, the researcher first surveyed a number of teachers , he then identified four categories of obstacles; obstacles related to school administrative system and environment, the teacher, courses and pupils, and the nature of teaching method
... Show MoreThe study aims to identify the symptoms of PTSD among displaced Yazidi women according to age, marital status, educational level, and type of status (displaced or survivor). The study also seeks to identify the effect of the relaxation program on reducing PTSD among displaced Yazidi women. The research sample included (60) Yazidis for the statistical analysis sample and (5) for the experimental sample in the Dohuk governorate. For achieving the research objectives, a scale was used from the PTSD Checklist for DSM-5 (PCL-5), as well as a relaxation program was prepared. The researchers reached the following results that there is an average level of PTSD symptoms among displaced Yazidi women, there are no statistically significant differen
... Show MoreThe followers of the reality of the decision application faculty in departments of faculties of education of the University of Baghdad, it is noted that there are many shortcomings, which relate to Path, management, design, and evaluation, Coming from the work of the researcher as a teacher and supervisor, as well as to inform the researcher on many of the studies and literature, luck researcher on the article there are no courses are clear in theory and in practice the decision of the applications teaching, and often puts the teacher education curriculum, which lacks the link between the theoretical and practical, either in relation to its management, there is no office for the management and coordination at the University of Baghdad or
... Show MoreThe historian, Professor Dr. Abdullah Al-Fayyad, left a huge legacy of knowledge product that scholars and stakeholders benefited from in the field of Islamic historical and modern studies,
Abstract:
The research sought to identify the crises that occurred during the research period and their reflection on the performance of the hotel Research sample as well as to identify the reality of auditing the hotel Research sample and the preparation of a performance audit program can be adopted in auditing the performance of hotels in light of crises, and the problem of the research lies in the lack of a program to audit the performance of hotels that takes into account the crises experienced by the hotel sector, The research was based on solving its problems on three hypotheses, the first is that the performance audit in light of the Covid-19 pand
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