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Measuring and analyzing the effect of foreign debt on the gross domestic product in Morocco for the period 1990-2017 using the ARDL Test

 

The research aims to identify the magnitude of the impact of external debt on the gross domestic product in Morocco, and the importance of research lies in the role that external debt plays in addressing structural imbalances, if it is best disposed of according to well-studied economic plans by specialists in this regard, especially if these debts are directed with Other resources, as it helps pay the costs of these debts (debt servicing) that the external debt also raises the level of gross domestic product, and the research starts from the hypothesis that: There is an effect of foreign debt on the GDP in Morocco, has contributed in one way or another to The exacerbation of the external debt, which affected the macro variables, of the Moroccan economy, and became unable to fulfill the debt maturities and its assets, and attempted to resort to rescheduling its debts according to unfair terms with the aim of reducing the severity of the debt, as statistical and standard tools were used, represented by testing the unit root to determine the dormancy of the time series and by accreditation On the methodology of (Dickie Fuller) expanded method, and to know the equilibrium relationship between the study variables, as the ARDL model was relied upon, the study found a relationship A long-term equilibrium (joint integration) between the study variables (independent and dependent), the statistical value of (F) reached (6.06), which is greater than the smallest value (3.29) and the maximum (4.37) at a significant level (1%). This indicates the existence of a long-term equilibrium relationship (a co-integration relationship) between the study variables in the long term. The time series of variables (Y, X1, X2, X3) is not stable at the level, while the time series of the independent variable (X4) is stable at the level. With a breaker and without a breaker and a time trend at a significant level (1%, 5%), and after taking the first difference of the variables (Y, X1, X2, X3), it stabilized at a significant level (1%, 5%, 10%) with the presence of a breaker and a breaker and a time trend Without a break and a time trendIt is evident from the two tests (CUSUM) and (CUSUM of Squares) that there are stability and consistency in the model for the short term and there is no stability in the long term.

 The most important recommendations are directing foreign debts to productive economic sectors, in a way that leads to creating added value and paying attention to foreign debts, directing them towards important priorities and maintaining the stability of macroeconomic variables, and moving away from debts with high conditionalities that restrict the country's economy and falling into a debt trap

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2012
Journal Name
Diyala Agricultural Sciences Journal (dasj)
Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Compared to the poverty indicators in Iraq in 2007

 

     There is poverty because of the difference in capacity and material resources, Previously poverty known on the basis of disparity between income and inadequate income. It realize later that fare wore effects of poverty is the erosion of human capital. The human poverty is the loss of food, education, health care and shelter.

     In order to provide a database that target the poor  , it have been propped a document on the features of poverty and the whereabouts of the poor and the rate of disparity between provinces.

    Here the goal of the research is the identify the factors affecti

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Publication Date
Mon May 06 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Physical Education
Designing Teaching Aids and Their Effects on Learning and Retaining Diving and Cartwheel on Floor Exercises in Women’s’ Artistic Gymnastics

Designing Teaching Aids and Their Effects on Learning and Retaining Diving and Cartwheel on Floor Exercises in Women’s’ Artistic Gymnastics

The research aimed at designing teaching aids that develop and help retain diving and cartwheel for third year college of physical education and sport sciences students in women’s artistic gymnastics. In addition to that, the researchers aimed at identifying the effect of these aids on learning and retaining cartwheel and diving in floor exercises. The researchers used the experimental method. The subjects were (20) third year female students from the college of physical education and sport sciences/ university of Baghdad sections K and H. the main experiment lasted for

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 08 2017
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Evaluation of the Genetic Toxicity of Aqueous and Alcoholic Extracts of Seeds of Peganum harmala L. on Onion root (Allium cepa L.)

The genetic toxicity of aqueous and alcoholic extracts of seeds of Peganum harmala L. was evaluated on the onion roots ,using  concentrations 10,25,50,100 and 200 % w/v of extracts and periods of exposure 24,48 and 74 hours. The results indicated that the Peganum harmala significantly decreased root growth rate of onion root at all concentrations and treatment periods in comparison to the control ,  the growth of the root decreased when increasing the extract concentration.The EC50value  of aqueous extracts was 50% and for alcohol extract was 25% ,thus the alcohol extract was most effective in the growth rate of the roots from the aqueous extract. The results also indicated that the mitotic index of Allium cepa was signifi

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Publication Date
Tue Nov 19 2024
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Formulating a strategy for the Northern Oil Company(Case Study)

يهدف البحث الى تقديم استراتيجية مقترحة لشركة نفط الشمال ، وأخذت الاستراتيجية المقترحة بنظر الاعتبار الظروف البيئية المحيطة واعتمدت في صياغتها على اسس وخطوات علمية تتسم بالشمولية والواقعية ، اذ انها غطت الانشطة الرئيسية في الشركة (نشاط الانتاج والاستكشاف , نشاط التكرير والتصفية , التصدير ونقل النفط , نشاط البحث والتطوير , النشاط المالي , تقنية المعلومات , الموارد البشرية ) وقد اعتمد نموذج (David) في التحليل البيئي

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 30 2024
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
ECC Based Encryption for the Secured Proactive Network Forensic Framework

     Elliptic Curve Cryptography (ECC) is one of the public key cryptosystems that works based on the algebraic models in the form of elliptic curves. Usually, in ECC to implement the encryption, the encoding of data must be carried out on the elliptic curve, which seems to be a preprocessing step. Similarly, after the decryption a post processing step must be conducted for mapping or decoding the corresponding data to the exact point on the elliptic curves. The Memory Mapping (MM) and Koblitz Encoding (KE) are the commonly used encoding models. But both encoding models have drawbacks as the MM needs more memory for processing and the KE needs more computational resources. To overcome these issues the proposed enhanced Koblitz encodi

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 01 2023
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Effective Computational Methods for Solving the Jeffery-Hamel Flow Problem

In this paper, the effective computational method (ECM) based on the standard monomial polynomial has been implemented to solve the nonlinear Jeffery-Hamel flow problem. Moreover, novel effective computational methods have been developed and suggested in this study by suitable base functions, namely Chebyshev, Bernstein, Legendre, and Hermite polynomials. The utilization of the base functions converts the nonlinear problem to a nonlinear algebraic system of equations, which is then resolved using the Mathematica®12 program. The development of effective computational methods (D-ECM) has been applied to solve the nonlinear Jeffery-Hamel flow problem, then a comparison between the methods has been shown. Furthermore, the maximum

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2016
Journal Name
Results In Physics
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Publication Date
Thu Dec 29 2016
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Explicit Finite Difference Approximation for the TwoDimensional Fractional Dispersion Equation

  In this paper, we introduce and discuss an algorithm for the numerical solution of two- dimensional fractional dispersion equation.  The algorithm for the numerical solution of this equation is based on explicit finite difference approximation. Consistency, conditional stability, and convergence of this numerical method are described. Finally, numerical example is presented to show the dispersion behavior according to the order of the fractional derivative and we demonstrate that our explicit finite difference approximation is a computationally efficient method for solving two-dimensional fractional dispersion equation

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Publication Date
Mon May 22 2017
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Some Robust Tests for the Correlation Coefficient: A Comparative Study

This paper is Interested with studying the performance of statistic test the hypothesis of independence of the two variables (the hypothesis that there is no correlation between the variables under study) in the case of data to meet the requirement of normal distribution in the case away from the distribution due to the presence of outliers (contaminated values) and compared with the performance of some of the other methods proposed and modified

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