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jeasiq-1925
Compare Prediction by Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model from first order with Exponential Weighted Moving Average
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The prediction process of time series for some time-related phenomena, in particular, the autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA) models is one of the important topics in the theory of time series analysis in the applied statistics. Perhaps its importance lies in the basic stages in analyzing of the structure or modeling and the conditions that must be provided in the stochastic process. This paper deals with two methods of predicting the first was a special case of autoregressive integrated moving average which is ARIMA (0,1,1) if the value of the parameter equal to zero, then it is called Random Walk model, the second was the exponential weighted moving average (EWMA). It was implemented in the data of the monthly traffic accidents in the province of Dhi Qar Governorate for the period from (Jan. 2011) to (Aug. 2019). It was found through the research that the model studied is well of the traffic accident, we can predict dangerous traffic accident using this model and reduce the aggravation through Develop plans strategic of the roads.

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 20 2024
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Derivation of Embedded Diagonally Implicit Methods for Directly Solving Fourth-order ODEs
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EDIRKTO, an Implicit Type Runge-Kutta  Method of Diagonally Embedded pairs, is a novel approach presented in the paper that may be used to solve 4th-order ordinary differential equations of the form . There are two pairs of EDIRKTO, with three stages each: EDIRKTO4(3) and EDIRKTO5(4). The derivation techniques of the method indicate that the higher-order pair is more accurate, while the lower-order pair provides superior error estimates. Next, using these pairs as a basis, we developed variable step codes and applied them to a series of -order ODE problems. The numerical outcomes demonstrated how much more effective their approach is in reducing the quantity of function evaluations needed to resolve fourth-order ODE issues.

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2016
Journal Name
International Journal Of Advanced Research
ON STABILITY AND THE BOUNDEDNESS OF THE ZERO SOLUTION OF FIFTH ORDER
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This paper is illustrates the sufficient conditions of the uniformly asymptotically stable and the bounded of the zero solution of fifth order nonlinear differential equation with a variable delay τ(t)

Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2019
Journal Name
Science International.(lahore)
GALERKIN'S METHOD TO SOLVE THE LINEAR SECOND ORDER DELAY MULTI-VALUE PROBLEMS
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Publication Date
Sun Apr 30 2017
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Jour. For Pure & Appl. Sci.
Solution of High Order Ordinary Boundary Value Problems Using Semi-Analytic Technique
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The aim of this paper is to present a method for solving high order ordinary differential equations with two point's boundary condition, we propose semi-analytic technique using two-point oscillatory interpolation to construct polynomial solution. The original problem is concerned using two-point oscillatory interpolation with the fit equal numbers of derivatives at the end points of an interval [0 , 1] . Also, many examples are presented to demonstrate the applicability, accuracy and efficiency of the method by comparing with conventional methods.

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 04 2016
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Classification of Elliptic Cubic Curves Over The Finite Field of Order Nineteen
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Plane cubics curves may be classified up to isomorphism or projective equivalence. In this paper, the inequivalent elliptic cubic curves which are non-singular plane cubic curves have been classified projectively over the finite field of order nineteen, and determined if they are complete or incomplete as arcs of degree three. Also, the maximum size of a complete elliptic curve that can be constructed from each incomplete elliptic curve are given.

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 06 2025
Journal Name
Aip Conference Proceedings
Solving 5th order nonlinear 4D-PDEs using efficient design of neural network
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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2024
Journal Name
Materials Letters
Determination of third order susceptibility of carbon quantum dots at different concentrations
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The nonlinear refractive (NLR) index and third order susceptibility (X3) of carbon quantum dots (CQDs) have been studied using two laser wavelengths (473 and 532 nm). The z-scan technique was used to examine the nonlinearity. Results showed that all concentrations have negative NLR indices in the order of 10−10 cm2/W at two laser wavelengths. Moreover, the nonlinearity of CQDs was improved by increasing the concentration of CQDs. The highest value of third order susceptibility was found to be 3.32*10−8 (esu) for CQDs with a concentration of 70 mA at 473 nm wavelength.

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 30 2017
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Solution of High Order Ordinary Boundary Value Problems Using Semi-Analytic Technique
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  The aim of this paper is to present a method for solving high order ordinary differential equations with two point's boundary condition, we propose semi-analytic technique using two-point oscillatory interpolation to construct polynomial solution. The original problem is concerned using two-point oscillatory interpolation with the fit equal numbers of derivatives at the end points of an interval [0 , 1] .  Also, many examples are presented to demonstrate the applicability, accuracy and efficiency of the method by comparing with conventional methods.

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 06 2011
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
The Approximated Solution for The Nonlinear Second Order Delay Multi-Value Problems
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This paper is attempt to study the nonlinear second order delay multi-value problems. We want to say that the properties of such kind of problems are the same as the properties of those with out delay just more technically involved. Our results discuss several known properties, introduce some notations and definitions. We also give an approximate solution to the coined problems using the Galerkin's method.

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of King Saud University - Science
Three iterative methods for solving second order nonlinear ODEs arising in physics
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