The prediction process of time series for some time-related phenomena, in particular, the autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA) models is one of the important topics in the theory of time series analysis in the applied statistics. Perhaps its importance lies in the basic stages in analyzing of the structure or modeling and the conditions that must be provided in the stochastic process. This paper deals with two methods of predicting the first was a special case of autoregressive integrated moving average which is ARIMA (0,1,1) if the value of the parameter equal to zero, then it is called Random Walk model, the second was the exponential weighted moving average (EWMA). It was implemented in the data of the monthly traffic accidents in the province of Dhi Qar Governorate for the period from (Jan. 2011) to (Aug. 2019). It was found through the research that the model studied is well of the traffic accident, we can predict dangerous traffic accident using this model and reduce the aggravation through Develop plans strategic of the roads.
يعد الكيمياء من العلوم المهمة التي تدرس في جميع مراحل التعليم الاساسي ومراحل التعليم العالي في كليات (الزراعة ، العلوم ، الصيدلة ، التربية الاساسية ، الطب ، طب الاسنان ، الطب البيطري) لأنها تدخل في الكثير من مفاصل الحياة اليومية وما لها من تأثير في تقدم المجتمعات من الناحية الصناعية والاقتصادية حيث تدخل الكيمياء في الصناعات الغذائية ، والصناعات الدوائية او صناعة الاقمشة والزراعة وتطوير الثروة الحيوانية عن ط
... Show MoreThe research aims to know the concept of politic behavior as one of the important behaviours in the different fields and sectors. It is considered to be part of the organizatial work to face the expected risks. It includes two group of factors personal (self –monitors, locus of control ,expectation s of success, perceived job alternatives)and organizational(promotion ,division resources,role ambiguity ,democratic decision)studied by the researcher in the frame of the relationship with the variable of display continuous trust matain which includes two variable (build trust mantain, display trust continuouness)through applied frame by random sample consists of (90)employee at Farouq State
... Show MoreThe purpose of this research shed light on the analysis of the relationship between the knowledge gap and the strategic performance gap and diagnose the level of impact this relationship in building a learning organization, and sought search to achieve a number of goals, cognitive and Applied been tested nature of the relationship and effect between variables in a sample size (62) of the managers of banks civil in Baghdad (Baghdad, Gulf, Assyria, Union, Elaf) and focused research problem in question is bold is whether the analysis of the relationship between the knowledge gap and the performance gap strategic leads to recognize organizations need to shift to organizations educated, either in the side of the field was the pr
... Show MoreThis research aims to shed light on the necessity of establishing an information security management system through which banking security risks are managed in the light of the ISO (IEC 27001) standard, through which bank departments seek to demonstrate the management of their security systems and their controls in accordance with the specifications of the standard to obtain an internationally recognized security certificate And the need for senior management in banks to an independent person with scientific and practical qualification and who has accredited certificates in the field of information technology for the purpose of helping them to verify the level of compatibility between the policies and procedures applied and the p
... Show MoreResearch on the role of organizational change in easing the organizational conflict focuses for being one of the important topics and relatively modern and which have a significant impact on the future of organizations, so this study was to identify the relationship and the impact of organizational change and of deportation (technological, organizational structure, human resources, the change in the task) at the organizational conflict in the Earth company link Iraq, in order to reach the goals of the research, it has been the development of a questionnaire distributed to a random sample of (100) composed employees from managers and heads of departments and the people and staff at the Earth company link Iraq, the study found: the
... Show Moreيختلف دور العلاقات العامة (PR) وأهميتها من مجتمع إلى آخر، تبعاً لاختلاف ثقافات هذه المجتمعات عموماً, ولاختلاف القيم الأخلاقية المعمول بها من ممارسيها في منظمات هذه المجتمعات, فالعلاقات العامة في المجتمعات المتقدمة وبعض الدول النامية قد خطت خطوات جبارة ووصلت إلى مرحلة المساهمة في التخطيط الاستراتيجي وعملية اتخاذ القرار, في إطار التزام إداراتها بقيم ومعايير أخلاقية محددة لممارسيها, وبالمقابل نجد أن تطبيقها في
... Show MoreRole of public relations (PR) and from one community to another, depending on the different cultures of these societies in General, and different ethical values established by their practitioners in these communities organizations , public relations in developed societies, and in some developing countries have taken great strides to contribute to the strategic planning and decision-making, in the framework of their commitment to the values and ethical standards for practitioners, In contrast, we find that applied in Iraq still skips phase coordinate with different communication means with the aim of advertising and publicity for the organization. As a result of the limited recognition of the strategic and vital
... Show MoreThe current research aims to shed light on the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI), which helps to report financial and non-financial information by economic units in general and listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange in particular. The research was based on a main premise that apply the criteria of the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) would provide useful information to users to help them make appropriate decisions. To achieve the goal of the research, the descriptive analysis method was used, and quantitative analysis was used. At the level of the descriptive analysis method, a desk survey was conducted. As for the quantitative analysis, it relied on applied data through a questionnaire form (Questioners) as a research tool, and the
... Show MoreAcute myeloid leukemia (AML) represents the most prevalent type of acute leukemia in adults and is responsible for approximately 80% of all cases. The tumor suppressor gene (TP53) is a gene that has been frequently studied in cancer, and mutations in this gene account for about 50% of human cancers. This study aims to evaluate the correlation between two single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the gene: rs1042522 and rs1642785, and a group of Iraqi patients suffering from pre-diagnostic acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Blood samples were collected from sixty patients (26 males and 34 females) and sixty controls (26 males and 34 females); these subjects were matched in gender, age, and ethnicity. Genomic DNA has been extracted fro
... Show MoreThis research is aimed at identifying the communicative habits and the impact of the content on the communicative process, especially the youth audience, which is one of the most important categories to which the advertisement is directed, as young people face life with passion and aspiration that make then responsive to all the influences used by the media in designing advertisements which use all the techniques and methocls to attract young people, such as relying on drama , artistic tricks, musical phrases and advertising slogans that respond to the desire of young people in entertainment.
The research aims to identify the reflection of television advertising and its impact on the development of the cognitive abilities of universi