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Compare Prediction by Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model from first order with Exponential Weighted Moving Average
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The prediction process of time series for some time-related phenomena, in particular, the autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA) models is one of the important topics in the theory of time series analysis in the applied statistics. Perhaps its importance lies in the basic stages in analyzing of the structure or modeling and the conditions that must be provided in the stochastic process. This paper deals with two methods of predicting the first was a special case of autoregressive integrated moving average which is ARIMA (0,1,1) if the value of the parameter equal to zero, then it is called Random Walk model, the second was the exponential weighted moving average (EWMA). It was implemented in the data of the monthly traffic accidents in the province of Dhi Qar Governorate for the period from (Jan. 2011) to (Aug. 2019). It was found through the research that the model studied is well of the traffic accident, we can predict dangerous traffic accident using this model and reduce the aggravation through Develop plans strategic of the roads.

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Intellectual Capital and Role in Achieving of Management of Customer Experience : A field study of the views of a sample of the leaders of Iraqi banks
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The issue of intellectual capital is a critical issue in the success and excellence of organizations, especially if it is linked to the management of customer experience, and because of the characteristic of the Iraqi environment, which affected all sectors, including the banking sector, it was important to discuss the types of intellectual capital and its relationship to the management of customer experience, especially when managers private banks, the importance of research lies in the linking of its variables to build the strategic capabilities of banks to achieve excellence and sustainability, it aims to diagnose the extent of interest in the types of intellectual capital and management of customer experience in the Iraqi ban

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Publication Date
Wed May 05 2021
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
منهج ابن واصل في تناول الغزو المغولي من خلال كتابه (مفرج الكروب في اخبار بني ايوب)
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The research revolves around the methodology of the historian Ibn Wasil
(d.697 AH) in dealing with the Mongolian invasion through his book
“Mafrej al-Karroub fi Akhbar Bani Ayyub

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 25 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Tax penalties and their effectiveness in reducing the creative accounting practices: An Empirical Study of the General Commission for Taxes
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The research aims to study and definition of the concept of creative accounting and motives adopted by the management of companies to achieve their own goals and their impact on the reliability of the financial statements and the tax settling accounts and whether that tax administration is able to detect and limit the creative accounting practices and impose legal sanctions deterrent against companies The research has come to a set of conclusions, including:

  1. The administration motives in the use of creative accounting methods, some internal motives related to the interests of the administration in maximizing profits to increase incentives and rewards, others are external, such as the impact on stock prices or reduce the am

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2010
Journal Name
مجلة الاستاذ
صعوبات تدريس مادة اللغة العربية في كليتي الادارة والاقتصاد في بغداد من وجهة نظر التدريسيين والطلبة
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Publication Date
Wed Sep 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
تحديد أثر مبادئ إدارة الجودة الشاملة في الأداء الإستراتيجي دراسة استطلاعية لآراء عينة من القيادات الجامعية
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The management of the overall quality (TQM)) of the philosophies that gained the attention of a large number of leaders and managers, practitioners and academics, as one of the prevailing management philosophies and desirable in the current period, is associated with the concept of quality itself, which shows the overall features and characteristics and attributes that related to the service and meet the needs of beneficiaries phenomenon and full, as was the concept of strategic performance with a significant level of interest from organizations because it is closely linked to the success of the organization in light of the changing competitive environment. These were the study in an attempt to see how a clear vision of the unive

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Physical Evidence Of The Product And Its Impact In Attracting The Customer AField research for a sample of private medical clinics in Maysan
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Abstract

     The current research problem includes a variety of research motivations to serve the private health sector, which is witnessing a great competition from internal and external environments. In this regard, private medical clinics are increasingly seeking to attract and retain customers through the quality of their service offerings represented by health services. Innovative and effective marketing methods to improve performance and stay in competition, by relying on the physical evidence of the product as a component of the marketing mix of services and its role in particular in packaging and supporting the health service with concrete evidence that affects the customer an

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 11 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
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   يتناول البحث جمع توجيه العلامة علي النوري الصفاقسي للقراءات، الذي ضمّنه في كتابه (غيث النفع في القراءات السبع) وإفراده في بحث مستقل، والتعليق على ما يحتاج لتعليق وبيان من توجيهه، ويتكون من مقدمة

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
دور بعض الأفعال المنظمية في إدارة الوقت دراسة مسحية في عينة من المكتبات الجامعية في بغداد
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 The organizations recognize what the effective role of time management in achieving competitive advantage and success. But the effectiveness depends on integrating some organization actions which perspective are relating with it by significance relations and high affect. From this the research problem is arising، which descripe the recognizing of libraries managers for the role of some organizational actions. The samples from (40) libraries managers are chosen.

The major results: these organizational actions are related and affected on the time management  if integrated with  one anothers more than if related in separate.  &nbs

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
أثر التوجه السوقي والتعلم المنظمي في أداء الأعمال دراسة استطلاعية لآراء عينة من مدراء المصارف العراقية
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The study tackles the market orientation and the organizational learning as independent variables each included three sub-dimensions, and the variable of business performance as affiliated variable. These three variables have interacted to form the framework around which the study revolves. Since the banking sector has become an important part of which service sector is made, as well as it represents the basic pivot for the process of building and the development of the economies of countries, the Iraqi banking sector have been taken to be the sample of this study. A nonrandom sample of nine Iraqi banks was chosen, including four state banks (Al-Rafdain, Al-RaSheed, Industrial Bank, and Agricultural), and five private banks (Bagh

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 22 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Leadership crisis and environmental pressures A Survey of the views of a sample of administrative leaders at Mosul University and the North technical University
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The administrative leadership relies on a variety of behavioral paths in the functional areas in which it operates, and thus indicates its ability and thus has the upper hand in the organizational events, and in such a way that it can draw lessons and evaluate the results so as to test the expectations within the framework of the changes.

Does the study sample leadership have the characteristics that enable it to contain both crises and environmental stresses?

The aim of the study was to determine the location of the administrative leaders in the system of the study sample from the issue of crises and environmental pressures. The study concluded with a number of conclusions, the m

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