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jeasiq-1839
Use A State Space Model and Forecast House Prices in Baghdad.
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The purchase of a home and access to housing is one of the most important requirements for the life of the individual and the stability of living and the development of the prices of houses in general and in Baghdad in particular affected by several factors, including the basic area of the house, the age of the house, the neighborhood in which the housing is available and the basic services, Where the statistical model SSM model was used to model house prices over a period of time from 2000 to 2018 and forecast until 2025 The research is concerned with enhancing the importance of this model and describing it as a standard and important compared to the models used in the analysis of time series after obtaining the series of time above prices of houses in two decades in the Mansour district of Baghdad, It was chosen for being an important neighborhood of Baghdad and services are available that are ideal compared to other neighboring neighborhoods Which lies within the province of Baghdad The possibility of applying the SSM model to the time series analysis and the prediction was achieved. The statistical analysis was carried out using the E-views version 9 program and the Kalman filter was applied in the construction of the case space model, prediction and update after estimating the state variable in the model to enhance the quality And the efficiency of this type of modeling and representation of the best representation of the data studied.

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Publication Date
Wed Aug 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
On the Stability of Four Dimensional Lotka-Volterra Prey-Predator System
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The aim of this work is to study a modified version of the four-dimensional Lotka-Volterra model. In this model, all of the four species grow logistically. This model has at most sixteen possible equilibrium points. Five of them always exist without any restriction on the parameters of the model, while the existence of the other points is subject to the fulfillment of some necessary and sufficient conditions. Eight of the points of equilibrium are unstable and the rest are locally asymptotically stable under certain conditions, In addition, a basin of attraction found for each point that can be asymptotically locally stable. Conditions are provided to ensure that all solutions are bounded. Finally, numerical simulations are given to veri

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Publication Date
Sat Apr 30 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Comparison Different Estimation Method for Reliability Function of Rayleigh Distribution Based On Fuzzy Lifetime Data
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    In this study, we present different methods of estimating fuzzy reliability of a two-parameter Rayleigh distribution via the maximum likelihood estimator, median first-order statistics estimator, quartile estimator, L-moment estimator, and mixed Thompson-type estimator. The mean-square error MSE as a measurement for comparing the considered methods using simulation through different values for the parameters and unalike sample sizes is used. The results of simulation show that the fuzziness values are better than the real values for all sample sizes, as well as  the fuzzy reliability at the estimation  of the Maximum likelihood Method, and Mixed Thompson Method perform better than the other methods in the sense of MSE, so that

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Publication Date
Thu May 18 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Behavior of Partially Saturated Cohesive Soil under Strip Footing
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In this paper, a shallow foundation (strip footing), 1 m in width is assumed to be constructed on fully saturated and partially saturated Iraqi soils, and analyzed by finite element method. A procedure is proposed to define the H – modulus function from the soil water characteristic curve which is measured by the filter paper method. Fitting methods are applied through the program (SoilVision). Then, the soil water characteristic curve is converted to relation correlating the void ratio and matric suction. The slope of the latter relation can be used to define the H – modulus function. The finite element programs SIGMA/W and SEEP/W are then used in the analysis. Eight nodded isoparametric quadrilateral elements are used for modeling

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 04 2018
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Solving Fuzzy Games Problems by Using Ranking Functions
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In this paper, we deal with games of fuzzy payoffs problem while there is uncertainty in data. We use the trapezoidal membership function to transform the data into fuzzy numbers and utilize the three different ranking function algorithms. Then we compare between these three ranking algorithms by using trapezoidal fuzzy numbers for the decision maker to get the best gains

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 14 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Identifying Digital Forensic Frameworks Based on Processes Models
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Digital forensic is part of forensic science that implicitly covers crime related to computer and other digital devices. It‟s being for a while that academic studies are interested in digital forensics. The researchers aim to find out a discipline based on scientific structures that defines a model reflecting their observations. This paper suggests a model to improve the whole investigation process and obtaining an accurate and complete evidence and adopts securing the digital evidence by cryptography algorithms presenting a reliable evidence in a court of law. This paper presents the main and basic concepts of the frameworks and models used in digital forensics investigation.

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Publication Date
Wed May 25 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Estimates of Coefficient for Certain Subclasses of k-Fold Symmetric Bi-Univalent Functions
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         In the present paper, the authors introduce and investigates two new subclasses and,  of the class k-fold bi-univalent functions in the open unit disk. The initial coefficients for all of the functions that belong to them were determined, as well as the coefficients for functions that belong to a field determining these coefficients requires a complicated process. The bounds for the initial coefficients and are contained among the remaining results in our analysis are obtained. In addition, some specific special improver results for the related classes are provided.

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 30 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Estimating the Reliability Function of some Stress- Strength Models for the Generalized Inverted Kumaraswamy Distribution
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This paper discusses reliability of the stress-strength model. The reliability functions 𝑅1 and 𝑅2 were obtained for a component which has an independent strength and is exposed to two and three stresses, respectively. We used the generalized inverted Kumaraswamy distribution GIKD with unknown shape parameter as well as known shape and scale parameters. The parameters were estimated from the stress- strength models, while the reliabilities 𝑅1, 𝑅2 were estimated by three methods, namely the Maximum Likelihood,  Least Square, and Regression.

 A numerical simulation study a comparison between the three estimators by mean square error is performed. It is found that best estimator between

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 20 2023
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Bayesian Approach for estimating the unknown Scale parameter of Erlang Distribution Based on General Entropy Loss Function
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We are used Bayes estimators for unknown scale parameter  when shape Parameter  is known of Erlang distribution. Assuming different informative priors for unknown scale  parameter. We derived The posterior density with posterior mean and posterior variance using different informative priors for unknown scale parameter  which are the inverse exponential distribution, the inverse chi-square distribution, the inverse Gamma distribution, and the standard Levy distribution as prior. And we derived Bayes estimators based on the general entropy loss function (GELF) is used the Simulation method to obtain the results. we generated different cases for the parameters of the Erlang model, for different sample sizes. The estimates have been comp

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 01 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Placement Inverse Source Problem under Partition Hyperbolic Equation
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In this article, the inverse source problem is determined by the partition hyperbolic equation under the left end flux tension of the string, where the extra measurement is considered. The approximate solution is obtained in the form of splitting and applying the finite difference method (FDM). Moreover, this problem is ill-posed, dealing with instability of force after adding noise to the additional condition. To stabilize the solution, the regularization matrix is considered. Consequently, it is proved by error estimates between the regularized solution and the exact solution. The numerical results show that the method is efficient and stable.

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Doubly Type II Censoring of Two Stress-Strength System Reliability Estimation for Generalized Exponential-Poisson Distribution
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 In this paper, a Bayesian analysis is made to estimate the Reliability of two stress-strength model systems. First: the reliability  of a one component strengths X under stress Y. Second, reliability  of one component strength under three stresses. Where X and Y are independent generalized exponential-Poison random variables with parameters (α,λ,θ) and (β,λ,θ) . The analysis is concerned with and based on doubly type II censored samples using gamma prior under four different loss functions, namely   quadratic loss function, weighted loss functions,  linear and non-linear exponential loss function. The estimators are compared by mean squared error criteria due to a simulation study. We also find that the mean square error is

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