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jeasiq-1218
Using the Box Jenkins models to predict Iraq's cement production and to demonstrate its adequacy under future construction projects
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تعد صناعة السمنت في العراق من اقدم الصناعات الحديثة واكثرها تطورا وتقدما ومن اقواها تاثيرا في الاقتصاد القومي. واذ توفر في صناعة السمنت العراقي كافة المستلزمات الناجحة من حيث توفر المواد الاولية والخبرات الفنية والتقنية واسواق ثابتة وراسخة محليا وعالميا فقد كان من المفروض ان يتم التوسع في هذه الصناعة، وان التخطيط لهذه الصناعة امرا ضروريا خاصة وان مادة السمنت هي احدى اهم المواد الرئيسة التي يؤثر توفرها بشكل كبير على انجاز المشاريع العمرانية والاقتصادية ومن هذا المنطلق فقد تم اعداد الدراسات لمستقبل هذه الصناعة من اجل النهوض بها وتطويرها وتوسيعها.

 وان هدف البحث هو التنبؤ بكميات انتاج السمنت العراقي للمدة المستقبلية (2003 - 2013) باستخدام افضل نماذج بوكس جينكنز الملائمة (B -J).

 وقد توصل البحث الى جملة من الاستنتاجات وهي: باستخدام طريقة بوكس جينكنز وجد ان السلسلة غير مستقرة وبذلك تم اخذ الفرق الاول بهدف تحقيق الاستقرارية. وكذلك من سلوك معاملات الارتباط الذاتي والجزئي استنتجنا انه امكن تحديد واختيار النموذج الملائم لتمثيل السلسلة، حيث كان النموذج الملائم هو  ARIMA (2, 1, 0) وكذلك وجدنا ان الحدود الدنيا للتنبؤ قد تكون سالبة، وهذا مما يدل على انه في حالة الحاجة الماسة الى هذه المادة فأن الانتاج المحلي قد لا يكفي لذلك يلجأ البلد الى سد النقص الحاصل عن طريق الاستيراد.

 اما التوصيات فهي: نوصي باعتماد النموذج الذي تم التوصل اليه في طريقة بوكس – جينكنز بغية الاستفادة منها في التخطيط والتنبؤ للفترات القادمة. وكذلك نوصي الشركة العراقية لانتاج السمنت ان تعتمد على القيم التنبئية المستخرجة من تطبيق النموذج برسم خططها المستقبلية. وكذلك ان البلد في الوقت الحالي بحاجة الى عملية اعمار واسعة لذلك نوصي بزيادة الطاقة الانتاجية من هذه المادة لغرض سد النقص الحاصل.

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Effect of mother in development of nutritional education for her children
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Reprehensible during the period of human life ,particular in child hood and after weaning
baby,analmeating habits have acquired his remaining life time and here high Iights,the role of
the mother in the childs education,dietar habits, and health methods and what is beneficial to
his health and in sufficien quantities for the baby .brooze trails are learned by the childin the
home with animportant and significant role in the future,inacht.aaralgame course wisely,after
becoming more in dependent in its delision-making an choices beyond the control of parents.
The present study aimed to message measure the awareness of food the mother and her role in
the development of food awareness sons, and its relation ship with som

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
ملامح دلالية في موشحات صدر الدين ابن الوكيل 665-716 هـ
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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
المتغیرات الجدیدة في سیاسة روسیا الاتحادیة تجاه منطقتي آسیا الوسطى والقوقاز
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Federal Russia remains the central player in the space of post-Soviet Union,
particularly in the regions of Middle Asia and the Caucasus , which set standard for
the local transformations of the two regions.
The Russian concern continued about the shift of power in the
world, as long as Russia is concerned with limiting the action of the United States
in the area in which Russia sees as vital area to its national interests. Russia's
nationalists play a main role in reviving Russia's influence in Middle Asia as a vital
area and the natural ally of Russia, but without resorting to the old ways of using
the threat of military force.
The idea of the return of Russia as a superpower in the global arena in
Middle

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
الحیوانات والطیور والحشرات والزواحف في كتاب الفندیداد (احد كتب الافستا الزردشتیة)
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The book of Alphendidad is considered as an important part of the holy book of
Avesta in the Zoroastrian religion. It is a religious and urbanization book that consists of a
number of chapters dealing with the creation. The book includes 22 chapters, mostly edited
as a dialogue between Ahuaramzda the god of goodness and his prophet Zoroaster. The
biggest chapter deals with the rules of purification of vices of the devil and dismissing it of
the places around, hence it is the book of law of Zoroastrian about the important animals,
birds , insects, and reptiles and their categorization according to their creation; creatures of
the spirit of goodness and creatures of the spirit of evilness.
Some of these creatures ar

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 28 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
العالم العالم ابن خلدون ( ت 808 هـ ) (نظريته في السياسة والعصبية)
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Ibn Khaldun is one of the best Arab Muslims scientists who participated in establishing Arabic Muslims heritage in all different disciplines & directions specially in sociology, neurological & his political theories which showed the development of Arabic philosophy in all scientific disciplines specially his introduction

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
الهــــــــــدم الخــــــــــــلاق Creative Destruction وإمكانية اعتماد كنموذج ابداعي في المنظمات العربية
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أن هذه الدراسة هي دراسة نظرية اهتمت بتقديم مدخل معاصر لمنظمات الأعمال، يمكن أن يعتمد علية من أجل تحقيق الريادة و البقاء. وذلك من خلال اعتماد مدخل الهدم الخلاق و تقديم أنموذج قادر على التفاعل مع البيئة بكل ما تقدمه من فرص وتحديات.

وتم تقسيم هذه الدراسة إلى ثلاثة مباحث،تناول المبحث الأول منهجية الدراسة. وبينما تناول المبحث الثاني توضيح مفهوم الهدم الخلاق والعناصر المكونة لهذا المدخل وأخيراً

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 28 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
اعتراضات اعتراضات الـخوارزمي الـنحوية في كتـابه التخمـير عـلى الـزمـخشـري ( قسم الأسماء )
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Abook of alzmkchri (AL-Mefsal) considers one of the most book familiarities among grammarians whom begin to explain it importance kitab AL-Takhmair for Khwarizmi separated opinions in grammatical schools that dealt with.

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Publication Date
Fri Nov 09 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Assessment of Pregnant Women's Knowledge about Tetanus Toxoid Vaccination in Karbala City
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Objectives of the study: Assess pregnant women's knowledge about tetanus toxoid vaccination, to find out the
relationship between pregnant women's knowledge and some variables which included: (age, level of
education, occupational status, socio-economic level, gravidity, parity, following visits of antenatal care,
tetanus toxoid vaccination coverage).
Methods and Materials: Descriptive analytic study conducted on multistage probabilistic sample of 130
pregnant women during period from 30th January 2012 to the 24th April 2013 was carried out in the six primary
health care centers at Karbala city. The questionnaire was consisted of four parts which include of: sociodemographic
characteristics, reproductive information,

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
تأثير تقيم اداء اعضاء قنوات التوزيع في رضا الزبون–بحث ميداني
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Abstract

The distribution is one of the elements of the marketing mix key by which companies can to deliver their products through private channels to all customers in right time and right place to check though in which the levels desired by customer satisfaction, the and purpose of the discussion dealt with the preparation of analytical studies to explain the impact of live performance of distribution channels in achieve customer satisfaction in industrial companies, as well as the diagnosis and the reality of the research variables in companies under study and describe the kind of relationship between changers Home on the one hand and the relationship between the variables sub on the other hand, represe

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 03 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
اثر الاسئلة السابرة في تحصيل طلاب الصف الرابع العام لمادة التاريخ
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The importance of teaching methods and procedures comes from the nature and significance of the questions raised inside the classroom. That is, because questions, in fact, are the means of communication and interaction in the class situation. Therefore they are considered as indispensible elements in any teaching approach. Furthermore, it is noticeable that the majority of teachers fail in using them, for questions are often casted spontaneously and without pre-planning. Hence, a delay may occur in realizing the pre-set objectives, and let alone the dominance of stereotyped questions, especially when the teachers focus on a type of question which can be directly answered from the text-book.

      &nb

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