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Using the Box Jenkins models to predict Iraq's cement production and to demonstrate its adequacy under future construction projects
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تعد صناعة السمنت في العراق من اقدم الصناعات الحديثة واكثرها تطورا وتقدما ومن اقواها تاثيرا في الاقتصاد القومي. واذ توفر في صناعة السمنت العراقي كافة المستلزمات الناجحة من حيث توفر المواد الاولية والخبرات الفنية والتقنية واسواق ثابتة وراسخة محليا وعالميا فقد كان من المفروض ان يتم التوسع في هذه الصناعة، وان التخطيط لهذه الصناعة امرا ضروريا خاصة وان مادة السمنت هي احدى اهم المواد الرئيسة التي يؤثر توفرها بشكل كبير على انجاز المشاريع العمرانية والاقتصادية ومن هذا المنطلق فقد تم اعداد الدراسات لمستقبل هذه الصناعة من اجل النهوض بها وتطويرها وتوسيعها.

 وان هدف البحث هو التنبؤ بكميات انتاج السمنت العراقي للمدة المستقبلية (2003 - 2013) باستخدام افضل نماذج بوكس جينكنز الملائمة (B -J).

 وقد توصل البحث الى جملة من الاستنتاجات وهي: باستخدام طريقة بوكس جينكنز وجد ان السلسلة غير مستقرة وبذلك تم اخذ الفرق الاول بهدف تحقيق الاستقرارية. وكذلك من سلوك معاملات الارتباط الذاتي والجزئي استنتجنا انه امكن تحديد واختيار النموذج الملائم لتمثيل السلسلة، حيث كان النموذج الملائم هو  ARIMA (2, 1, 0) وكذلك وجدنا ان الحدود الدنيا للتنبؤ قد تكون سالبة، وهذا مما يدل على انه في حالة الحاجة الماسة الى هذه المادة فأن الانتاج المحلي قد لا يكفي لذلك يلجأ البلد الى سد النقص الحاصل عن طريق الاستيراد.

 اما التوصيات فهي: نوصي باعتماد النموذج الذي تم التوصل اليه في طريقة بوكس – جينكنز بغية الاستفادة منها في التخطيط والتنبؤ للفترات القادمة. وكذلك نوصي الشركة العراقية لانتاج السمنت ان تعتمد على القيم التنبئية المستخرجة من تطبيق النموذج برسم خططها المستقبلية. وكذلك ان البلد في الوقت الحالي بحاجة الى عملية اعمار واسعة لذلك نوصي بزيادة الطاقة الانتاجية من هذه المادة لغرض سد النقص الحاصل.

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2023
Journal Name
Physical Mesomechanics Of Condensed Matter: Physical Principles Of Multiscale Structure Formation And The Mechanisms Of Nonlinear Behavior: Meso2022
Optimal control strategy applied to diabetes model
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Publication Date
Wed Nov 30 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Semisimple Modules Relative to A Semiradical Property
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    In this paper, we introduce the concept of s.p-semisimple module. Let S be a semiradical property, we say that a module M is s.p - semisimple if for every submodule N of M, there exists a direct summand K of M such that K ≤ N and N / K has S. we prove that a module M is s.p - semisimple module if and only if for every submodule A of M, there exists a direct summand B of M such that A = B + C and C has S. Also, we prove that for a module M is s.p - semisimple if and only if for every submodule A of M, there exists an idempotent e ∊ End(M) such that e(M) ≤ A and (1- e)(A) has S. 

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2015
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Chemistry
Adsorption of Cefixime on to Iraqi Bentonite
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In this study the adsorption of cefixime on to selected Iraqi clay bentonite. The aim of this study is to search for selective active surface in adsorption of the drug and to act as physical antidotes in treatment of poisoning if the drug is taken in quantities higher than the recommended dosages. Quantitative estimation of the drug adsorption has been done by utilizing the technique of UV spectrophotometry in λmax (273) nm at different conditions of temperature (25, 37, 45) ˚C found the adsorption decrease with increase the temperature. Study of clay weight of bentonite (0.1-1.5) gm found the adsorption increase with increase of clay weight, study effect of pH (1.2, 3, 5, 7) on adsorption of bentonite found the optimum adsorption

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Investment Perspective According to Behavioral Finance Science
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The first thing that comes to mind is the highly important question of whether there were some effects of human behavior and its fluctuations on the theories of the efficient market and the contemporary investment portfolio. According to what has been said by the proponents of these two theories; when the optimal return is realized, the efficiency of the market is achieved in terms of perfect information on prices and risk that supposed to be predetermined in a rational way.

he other question that imposed here is “at what time people should be rational in their investments in the security markets ?”. This means that investors are rational for their efforts devoted to utility maximization, which are p

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 18 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Barriers to Dietary Compliance among Diabetic Patients
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The aim of the study is to identify the barriers to dietary compliance among diabetic patients.
Methodology: The sample of the study consist of 100 patients who were divided into two groups according to
the type of diabetes mellitus; type 1 (Insulin-dependent diabetic mellitus), and type n (Non-Insulin dependent
diabetes mellitus). Each group consists of 50 patient selected randomly at each visit to Al-Waffa center in Mosul
city during the period from (1-12-2005) to (1-2-2006).
The steps of the study include recording the different barriers for diabetic patients. The questionnaire
was used and special list was utilized for such purpose.
Results: The results shows that there were some barriers most common such as both

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Publication Date
Thu Apr 20 2023
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Convergence To Approximate Solutions of Multivalued Operators
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The goal of this study is to provide a new explicit iterative process method  approach for solving maximal monotone(M.M )operators in Hilbert spaces utilizing a finite family of different types of  mappings as( nonexpansive mappings,resolvent mappings and projection mappings. The findings given in this research strengthen and extend key previous findings in the literature. Then, utilizing various structural conditions in Hilbert space and variational inequality problems, we examine the strong convergence to nearest point projection for these explicit iterative process methods Under the presence of two important conditions for convergence, namely closure and convexity. The findings reported in this research strengthen and extend

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 01 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Applying Similarity Measures to Improve Query Expansion
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The huge evolving in the information technologies, especially in the few last decades, has produced an increase in the volume of data on the World Wide Web, which is still growing significantly. Retrieving the relevant information on the Internet or any data source with a query created by a few words has become a big challenge. To override this, query expansion (QE) has an important function in improving the information retrieval (IR), where the original query of user is recreated to a new query by appending new related terms with the same importance. One of the problems of query expansion is the choosing of suitable terms. This problem leads to another challenge of how to retrieve the important documents with high precision, high recall

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
MEASUREMENT OF TRANSMITED VIBRATION TO TRACTOR SEAT
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A field experiment was conducted at experimental field of Mechanization Agriculture , the
College of Agriculture , Abu – Ghraib , University of Baghdad .To measure transmitted vibration to
seat tractor during operation tillage , mold board plow with New Holland 66-S- 80 tractor as one
machinery unit , Soil was treated at soil constant moisture ( 18 – 20 % ) with two depths of plowing
(15 and 20 cm ) and three speed of tractor 2.0 , 3.5, 6.8 km / h . Three main dimensions in seat
tractor measurement vertical, longitudinal and lateral acceleration. Split plot design under
completes block design with three replicates

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 17 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
MEASUREMENT OF TRANSMITED VIBRATION TO TRACTOR SEAT
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A field experiment was conducted at experimental field of Mechanization Agriculture , the College of Agriculture , Abu – Ghraib , University of Baghdad .To measure transmitted vibration to seat tractor during operation tillage , mold board plow with New Holland 66-S- 80 tractor as one machinery unit , Soil was treated at soil constant moisture ( 18 – 20 % ) with two depths of plowing (15 and 20 cm ) and three speed of tractor 2.0 , 3.5, 6.8 km / h . Three main dimensions in seat tractor measurement vertical, longitudinal and lateral acceleration. Split plot design under completes block design with three replicates .

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Target cost tool to achieve competitive advantage
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Target costing is one of the modern techniques in strategic Management accounting, Is has shown active adoption to changes in current business environments, In addition, is has seen a growth in strategic approach, The goal of using target costing is to build and strengthen competition abilities of economic units through introducing appropriate ways to decrease cost values while maintaining and improving quality of product, So this study is aim to show how can  economic units use target costing to achieve competitive advantages .

 

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