Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-1218
Using the Box Jenkins models to predict Iraq's cement production and to demonstrate its adequacy under future construction projects
...Show More Authors

تعد صناعة السمنت في العراق من اقدم الصناعات الحديثة واكثرها تطورا وتقدما ومن اقواها تاثيرا في الاقتصاد القومي. واذ توفر في صناعة السمنت العراقي كافة المستلزمات الناجحة من حيث توفر المواد الاولية والخبرات الفنية والتقنية واسواق ثابتة وراسخة محليا وعالميا فقد كان من المفروض ان يتم التوسع في هذه الصناعة، وان التخطيط لهذه الصناعة امرا ضروريا خاصة وان مادة السمنت هي احدى اهم المواد الرئيسة التي يؤثر توفرها بشكل كبير على انجاز المشاريع العمرانية والاقتصادية ومن هذا المنطلق فقد تم اعداد الدراسات لمستقبل هذه الصناعة من اجل النهوض بها وتطويرها وتوسيعها.

 وان هدف البحث هو التنبؤ بكميات انتاج السمنت العراقي للمدة المستقبلية (2003 - 2013) باستخدام افضل نماذج بوكس جينكنز الملائمة (B -J).

 وقد توصل البحث الى جملة من الاستنتاجات وهي: باستخدام طريقة بوكس جينكنز وجد ان السلسلة غير مستقرة وبذلك تم اخذ الفرق الاول بهدف تحقيق الاستقرارية. وكذلك من سلوك معاملات الارتباط الذاتي والجزئي استنتجنا انه امكن تحديد واختيار النموذج الملائم لتمثيل السلسلة، حيث كان النموذج الملائم هو  ARIMA (2, 1, 0) وكذلك وجدنا ان الحدود الدنيا للتنبؤ قد تكون سالبة، وهذا مما يدل على انه في حالة الحاجة الماسة الى هذه المادة فأن الانتاج المحلي قد لا يكفي لذلك يلجأ البلد الى سد النقص الحاصل عن طريق الاستيراد.

 اما التوصيات فهي: نوصي باعتماد النموذج الذي تم التوصل اليه في طريقة بوكس – جينكنز بغية الاستفادة منها في التخطيط والتنبؤ للفترات القادمة. وكذلك نوصي الشركة العراقية لانتاج السمنت ان تعتمد على القيم التنبئية المستخرجة من تطبيق النموذج برسم خططها المستقبلية. وكذلك ان البلد في الوقت الحالي بحاجة الى عملية اعمار واسعة لذلك نوصي بزيادة الطاقة الانتاجية من هذه المادة لغرض سد النقص الحاصل.

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Veterinary Sciences
The histological and histochemical features of the esophagus in local breed dogs (Canis familiaris)
...Show More Authors

Scopus (5)
Crossref (1)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Sat May 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Physics: Conference Series
The influence of temperature and size on the absorption coefficient of CdSe quantum dots
...Show More Authors
Abstract<p>Because of Cadmium selenide quantum dots (CdSe quantum dots) has a tuning energy gap in the visible light range, therefore; it is provided a simple theoretical model for the absorption coefficient of CdSe quantum dots, where the absorption coefficient determines the extent to which the light of a material can penetrate a specific wavelength before it is absorbed. CdSe quantum dots have an energy gap can be controlled through two effects: the temperature and the dot size of them. It is found that; there is an absorption threshold for each directed wavelength, where CdSe quantum dots begin to absorb the visible spectrum at a size of 1.4 nm at room temperature for a directed wavelength 3</p> ... Show More
View Publication
Crossref (1)
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Sep 06 2022
Journal Name
International Journal Of Professional Business Review
The Relationship Between Audit Services and Non-Audit Actuarial Services in the Auditor’s Report
...Show More Authors

Purpose: In view of the trend toward using international financial reporting standards when generating financial statements, we looked at the interaction between audit services and non-audit services for auditors in the context of actuarial services for insurance firms. CPAs are authorized to work in banks and insurance businesses, but those with a practicing license obtained after earning a higher academic degree are not. Design/methodology/approach: A small number of auditing firms control the decisions issued by the Iraqi Accountants Association, monopolizing audit services in banks and insurance businesses. In the case of actuarial services used in reserve estimation, they are credited to an external party's account withou

... Show More
View Publication
Scopus (43)
Crossref (9)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Feb 02 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Behavioral Disorders of Primary School pupils the son of Alcohol and Non Alcoholic
...Show More Authors

The Behavioral Disorders of Primary School pupils the son of Alcohol and Non Alcoholic

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Dec 02 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Big five personality factors and relationship the Academic procrastination among Baghdad university students
...Show More Authors

The aimed of the research was recognize the Big five personality factors and Academic procrastination among Baghdad university students, recognized differences between the gender according to   Big five personality factors and Academic procrastination , to recognized differences between specialization (scientific, human), and to recognize the relationship Between the variables of the research, and the extend of contribution Big five personality factors in Academic procrastination , to achieve these aims , Adopt scale to measure the Big five personality factors for (John Danahue & Kentle) , As we as the preparation of scale Based on An amber of previous scales to measure Academic procrastination, After processing the data st

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Mar 20 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
Design trends of the counterfeit product and the original competition: عبد الخالق سمين فتاح
...Show More Authors

The problem of the research represented by knowing the approaches which presented by knowing the design guides and the design styles which the imitation products enter upon it to be able to competitor the other original products .The research aim was to comparison the design approaches of the functional performance and the utilizations for the imitation and the original products , however the research limits contained study products samples of the kitchen electric equipments which available in local markets of Baghdad city for the period (2000 – 2013) .After the view of research back for the subject fundamental basics and investigating research sample to be complete to a group of results and conclusions and the most marked of her were

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Jul 25 2017
Journal Name
J. Entomol. Zool. Studies
Histological and histochemical observations of the small Intestine in the indigenous Gazelle (Gazella subgutturosa)
...Show More Authors

LO Hamza, NA Al-Mansor, J. Entomol. Zool. Studies, 2017 - Cited by 14

View Publication
Publication Date
Mon Aug 30 2021
Journal Name
مجلة الجامعة العراقية
Contracts in light of the Corona pandemic between the emergency circumstance and force majeure
...Show More Authors

The "Corona" pandemic that strikes the world has cast a shadow over contractual obligations, whether between individuals or companies, and emergency accidents and force majeure circumstances have a direct impact on them. Here, the legislation intervenes and sets the legal mechanisms to restore the obligations to their equal status and achieve the economic balance of the contract. Health crises are among the material facts whose effects are reflected and their features can be monitored on legal relations in general and contractual relations in particular, including the extent of the impact that this pandemic can have on the obligations that arise within the framework of a contractual relationship, which can be talked about in my theory Force

... Show More
Publication Date
Tue Jan 10 2012
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
THE IMPACT OF DISEASE AND HARVESTING ON THE DYNAMICAL BEHAVIOR OF PREY PREDATOR MODEL
...Show More Authors

In this paper, a harvested prey-predator model involving infectious disease in prey is considered. The existence, uniqueness and boundedness of the solution are discussed. The stability analysis of all possible equilibrium points are carried out. The persistence conditions of the system are established. The behavior of the system is simulated and bifurcation diagrams are obtained for different parameters. The results show that the existence of disease and harvesting can give rise to multiple attractors, including chaos, with variations in critical parameters.

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sat Nov 01 2014
Journal Name
International Journal Of Statistics
Single and Double Stage Shrinkage Estimators for the Normal Mean with the Variance Cases
...Show More Authors

View Publication