The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in dete

The aim of this study to identity using Daniel's model and Driver’s model in learning a kinetic chain on the uneven bars in the artistic gymnastics for female students. The researchers used the experimental method to design equivalent groups with a preand post-test, and the research community was identified with the students of the third stage in the college for the academic year 2020-2021 .The subject was, (3) class were randomly selected, so (30) students distributed into (3) groups). has been conducted pretesting after implementation of the curriculum for (4) weeks and used the statistical bag of social sciences(SPSS)to process the results of the research and a set of conclusions was reached, the most important of which is t

The Regression analysis is considered as a basic element of statistics science elements, and it is an important style of applied statistics when studying different social and economical phenomena. As well as it is considered the most statistical method used in different sciences and fields, and it determines in clear picture the relations among the variables in the form of equation replaced from the degree of parametric on the strength and the importance of this relationship .And ;also it repots the degree of prediction and response ;also ,it is necessary in regression planning and making decisions for finding regression equation .And it is one of modern styles which tak observable caring especially in artificial neural networks. Our main

مثل الوعي الطبقي اعلى مراحله لدى الفكر الماركسي المعاصر عند كل من روزا لوكسمبورغ وانطونيو غرامشي، ليس مجرد انعكاس للواقع وانما يكون بصورة جدلية من طريق انعكاس الوعي على الواقع وإعادة انتاجه فبعد ان كان الوعي هو نتاج تطور الواقع اصبح أداة في تطوير الواقع، أي تأثير البنى الفوقية في البنى التحتية (المادية التاريخية) وعدت ان الوعي الطبقي الثوري يتحقق بشكل عفوي، وبذور انطلاقة هي الاضرابات الجماهيرية، وأنكرت دور

مثل الوعي الطبقي اعلى مراحله لدى الفكر الماركسي الحديث عند كل من ماركس وانجلز ولينين ليس مجرد انعكاس للواقع وانما يكون بصورة جدلية من خلال انعكاس الوعي على الواقع واعادة انتاجه فبعد ان كان الوعي هو نتاج تطور الواقع اصبح اداة في تطوير الواقع، أي تأثير البنى الفوقية على البنى التحتية( المادية التاريخية) بعكس ما دعى اليه ماركس، اذ أعطى لينين للوعي دوراً كبيرا في التطور التاريخي، وعد الوعي الطبقي هو الاداة التي

Class consciousness represents its highest stage in the contemporary Marxist thought of Rosa Luxemburg and Antonio Gramsci, not just a reflection of reality, but rather a dialectical form through the reflection of consciousness on reality and its reproduction. The superiority over the infrastructure (historical materialism) promised the revolutionary class consciousness to be achieved spontaneously, and the seeds of a breakthrough are mass strikes, denying the role of the party to organize this awareness, limiting its role to the interconnection between classes, emphasizing the role of socialist democracy as a conscious vanguard for organizing spontaneity, struggle, and developing awareness during the revolutionary process and the leader

  Problem solving methods and mechanisms contribute to facilitating human life by providing tools to solve simple and complex daily problems. These mechanisms have been essential tools for professional designers and design students in solving design problems.
This research dealt with one of those mechanisms, which is the (the substance-field model model), as it has been mentioning that this mechanism is characterized by the difficulty of its application, which formed the main research problem. In home gardens (the sub-problem of research), an analysis of this problem was applied and then a solution was found to address it. The researcher used the 3dsmax program to implement the proposed design.
The most important research res

  The construction of development is required to develop various economic sectors with the necessity to meet the various requirement of both individuals and institutions , or through the import process , which must be commensurate with the needs of the market and the economy and development. But in fact , we found that the process of import in Iraq after 2003 took a turn dangerous excesses on limits of philosophy and objectives of the import , which  reflected  the level of national production as well as the policy of dumping and given to the lack of matching a lot of goods and materials imported for Standards and Measures of quality and stands behind it causes many of them exposure to the market and weak sectors with an o

The construction of development is required to develop various economic sectors with the necessity to meet the various requirement of both individuals and institutions , or through the import process , which must be commensurate with the needs of the market and the economy and development. But in fact , we find that the process of import in Iraq after 2003 took a turn dangerous excesses on limits of philosophy and objectives of the import , which is reflected at the level of national production as well as the policy of dumping and given and the lack of matching a lot of goods and materials imported for Standards and Measures of quality and stands behind it causes many of them exposure to the market and weak sectors with an overlap betwee