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Spatio-Temporal Mixture Model for Identifying Risk Levels of COVID-19 Pandemic in Iraq
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     This paper focuses on choosing a spatial mixture model with implicitly includes the time to represent the relative risks of COVID-19 pandemic using an appropriate model selection criterion. For this purpose, a more recent criterion so-called the widely Akaike information criterion (WAIC) is used which we believe that its use so limitedly in the context of relative risk modelling. In addition, a graphical method is adopted that is based on a spatial-temporal predictive posterior distribution to select the best model yielding the best predictive accuracy. By applying this model selection criterion, we seek to identify the levels of relative risk, which implicitly represents the determination of the number of the model components of all regions over independent time periods. The estimation of parameters and the model selection are both performed in a Bayesian framework. Also, the means of estimated relative risk for the selected mixture model are mapped to give a clearer picture of distributing the disease risks in each district.

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Publication Date
Tue May 23 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Namibian Studies : History Politics Culture
The Ability of Cities to Withstand the Disasters of Pandemic
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This study examines the opportunity presented by the COVID-19 pandemic for city planners and leaders to learn from the crisis and build resilient cities with long-term societal, economic, and environmental resilience against future disasters. The research focuses on the relationship between urban planning and policies and the extent of their resilience, particularly in response to pandemic-related disasters. The study evaluates the ability of the city of Baghdad to respond to the pandemic and identifies gaps in its resilience. The study uses the scorecard measurement instrument to examine the disaster resilience of cities, with a focus on governance and financial capability, disaster planning and preparedness, and disaster response

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 25 2021
Journal Name
Natural Resources Research
Effect of Water Flooding on Oil Reservoir Permeability: Saturation Index Prediction Model for Giant Oil Reservoirs, Southern Iraq
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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2023
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Nation-Building in The Fragile States: Iraq After 2003 as a Model
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The nation-building process in fragile states is complex, often involving multifaceted challenges and opportunities. A pertinent example is Iraq post-2003, which serves as a model to study the intricacies of rebuilding a nation in the aftermath of conflict. During this period, we witnessed a significant international intervention aimed at establishing democratic governance, fostering economic development, and restoring social stability. Iraq’s nation-building journey showcases both successes and shortcomings. Establishing a representative government marked a step towards inclusivity and political participation, yet sectarian tensions persisted, hindering cohesive national identity. Economic initiatives aimed to harness Iraq's oil resou

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Publication Date
Tue May 16 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Statistical Model for Predicting the Optimum Gypsum Content in Concrete
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The problem of internal sulfate attack in concrete is widespread in Iraq and neighboring countries.This is because of the high sulfate content usually present in sand and gravel used in it. In the present study the total effective sulfate in concrete was used to calculate the optimum SO3 content. Regression models were developed based on linear regression analysis to predict the optimum SO3 content usually referred as (O.G.C) in concrete. The data is separated to 155 for the development of the models and 37 for checking the models. Eight models were built for 28-days age. Then a late age (greater than 28-days) model was developed based on the predicted optimum SO3 content of 28-days and late age. Eight developed models were built for all

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Publication Date
Fri Apr 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
: financial fraud ,Audit risks ,inherent risk ,Detection risk, Data Mining .
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Abstract

The study seeks to use one of the techniques (Data mining) a (Logic regression) on the inherited risk through the use of style financial ratios technical analysis and then apply for financial fraud indicators,Since higher scandals exposed companies and the failure of the audit process has shocked the community and affected the integrity of the auditor and the reason is financial fraud practiced by the companies and not to the discovery of the fraud by the auditor, and this fraud involves intentional act aimed to achieve personal and harm the interests of to others, and doing (administration, staff) we can say that all frauds carried out through the presence of the motives and factors that help th

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 16 2019
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Approximate Solutions for Alcohol Consumption Model in Spain
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     In this paper, our aim is to solve analytically a nonlinear social epidemic model as an initial value problem (IVP) of ordinary differential equations. The mathematical social epidemic model under study is applied to alcohol consumption model in Spain. The economic cost of alcohol consumption in Spain is affected by the amount of alcohol consumed. This paper refers to the study of alcohol consumption using some analytical methods. Adomian decomposition and variation iteration methods for solving alcohol consumption model have used. Finally, a compression between the analytic solutions of the two used methods and the previous actual values from 1997 to 2007 years is obtained using the absolute and

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 07 2019
Journal Name
Construction Innovation
A hybrid conceptual model for BIM in FM
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Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to develop a hybrid conceptual model for building information modelling (BIM) adoption in facilities management (FM) through the integration of the technology task fit (TTF) and the unified theory of acceptance and use of technology (UTAUT) theories. The study also aims to identify the influence factors of BIM adoption and usage in FM and identify gaps in the existing literature and to provide a holistic picture of recent research in technology acceptance and adoption in the construction industry and FM sector.

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 07 2009
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
The adsorption-desorption process as a method for separation of nitrogen-carbon dioxide gas mixture using activated carbon
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Gas adsorption phenomenon on solid surface has been used as a mean in separation and purification of gas mixture depending on the difference in tendencies of each component in the gas mixture to be adsorbed on the solid surface according to its behaviour. This work concerns to study the possibilities to separate the gas mixture using adsorption-desorption phenomenon on activated carbon. The experimental results exhibit good separation factor at temperature of -40 .

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Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
A Comparison Between Some Estimator Methods of Linear Regression Model With Auto-Correlated Errors With Application Data for the Wheat in Iraq
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This research a study model of linear regression problem of autocorrelation of random error is spread when a normal distribution as used in linear regression analysis for relationship between variables and through this relationship can predict the value of a variable with the values of other variables, and was comparing methods (method of least squares, method of the average un-weighted, Thiel method and Laplace method) using the mean square error (MSE) boxes and simulation and the study included fore sizes of samples (15, 30, 60, 100). The results showed that the least-squares method is best, applying the fore methods of buckwheat production data and the cultivated area of the provinces of Iraq for years (2010), (2011), (2012),

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 30 2011
Journal Name
Al-kindy College Medical Journal
Postprandial Hyperglycemia as a Significant Risk Factor for Coronary Heart Disease
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Background: The highest concentrations of
blood glucose during the day are usually found
postprandialy. Postprandial hyperglycemia (PPH)
is likely to promote or aggravate fasting
hyperglycemia. Evidence in recent years suggests
that PPH may play an important role in functional
& structural disturbances in different body organs
particularly the cardiovascular system.
Objective: To evaluate the effect of (PPH) as a
risk factor for coronary Heart disease in Type 2
diabetic patients.
Methods: Sixty-three type2 diabetic patients
were included in this study. All have controlled
fasting blood glucose, with HbA1c correlation.
They were all followed for five months period
(from May to October 2008)

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