Preferred Language
Articles
/
ijs-7166
Crude Oil Price Forecasts Using Support Vector Regression and Technical Indicators
...Show More Authors

Oil price forecasting has captured the attention of both researchers and academics because of the unique characteristics of crude oil prices and how they have a big impact on a lot of different parts of the economic value of the product. As a result, most academics use a lot of different ways to predict the future. On the other hand, researchers have a hard time because crude oil prices are very unpredictable and can be affected by many different things. This study uses support vector regression (SVR) with technical indicators as a feature to improve the prediction of the monthly West Texas Intermediate (WTI) price of crude oil. The root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) measure how well the model is working. The RMSE was 1.5456, the MAE was 1.3219, and the MAPE was 1.9173 in the experiment. The results show that WTI crude oil prices are affected by technical indicators and get good performance that outperforms most other models that can be found.

Scopus Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Nov 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Attention Mechanism Based on a Pre-trained Model for Improving Arabic Fake News Predictions
...Show More Authors

     Social media and news agencies are major sources for tracking news and events. With these sources' massive amounts of data, it is easy to spread false or misleading information. Given the great dangers of fake news to societies, previous studies have given great attention to detecting it and limiting its impact. As such, this work aims to use modern deep learning techniques to detect Arabic fake news. In the proposed system, the attention model is adapted with bidirectional long-short-term memory (Bi-LSTM) to identify the most informative words in the sentence. Then, a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) is applied to classify news articles as fake or real. The experiments are conducted on a newly launched Arabic dataset called the Ara

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Fri Feb 10 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Applied Mathematics
The Dynamics of a Delayed Ecoepidemiological Model with Nonlinear Incidence Rate
...Show More Authors

In this paper, the general framework for calculating the stability of equilibria, Hopf bifurcation of a delayed prey-predator system with an SI type of disease in the prey population, is investigated. The impact of the incubation period delay on disease transmission utilizing a nonlinear incidence rate was taken into account. For the purpose of explaining the predation process, a modified Holling type II functional response was used. First, the existence, uniform boundedness, and positivity of the solutions of the considered model system, along with the behavior of equilibria and the existence of Hopf bifurcation, are studied. The critical values of the delay parameter for which stability switches and the nature of the Hopf bifurcat

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Scopus (3)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Fri Nov 24 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Ambient Turbulence Intensity Calculation for Al-Nasiriyah Province in Iraq
...Show More Authors

Before setting a turbine in a wind farms allocated for power generation, it must be know the appropriate turbine class for that site depending on the turbulence intensity of the winds in the studied area and the IEC-61400 standard. The importance of identifying a class of wind turbine is due to the complex environmental conditions that produce turbulent air which, in turn, may cause damage to the turbine blades and weakness in the performance. Therefore, the ambient turbulence intensity is a very important factor in determining the performance and productivity of the wind turbines.
In this research we calculate Turbulence Intensity "TI" in the province of Nasiriyah, south of Iraq (Lat. 31.052049 , Lon. 46.261021) for the years 2008, 2

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Oct 28 2020
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Community Detection under Stochastic Block Model Likelihood Optimization via Tabu Search –Fuzzy C-Mean Method for Social Network Data
...Show More Authors

     Structure of network, which is known as community detection in networks, has received a great attention in diverse topics, including social sciences, biological studies, politics, etc. There are a large number of studies and practical approaches that were designed to solve the problem of finding the structure of the network. The definition of complex network model based on clustering is a non-deterministic polynomial-time hardness (NP-hard) problem. There are no ideal techniques to define the clustering. Here, we present a statistical approach based on using the likelihood function of a Stochastic Block Model (SBM). The objective is to define the general model and select the best model with high quality. Therefor

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Scopus (2)
Crossref (1)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Jan 30 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Global Stability of an epidemic model with vaccine involving stage structure
...Show More Authors

In this paper a mathematical model that analytically as well as numerically
the flow of infection disease in a population is proposed and studied. It is
assumed that the disease divided the population into five classes: immature
susceptible individuals (S1) , mature individuals (S2 ) , infectious individual
(I ), removal individuals (R) and vaccine population (V) . The existence,
uniqueness and boundedness of the solution of the model are discussed. The
local and global stability of the model is studied. Finally the global dynamics of
the proposed model is studied numerically.

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Oct 01 2023
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Dynamics of Predator-prey Model under Fluctuation Rescue Effect
...Show More Authors

This paper presents a novel idea as it investigates the rescue effect of the prey with fluctuation effect for the first time to propose a modified predator-prey model that forms a non-autonomous model. However, the approximation method is utilized to convert the non-autonomous model to an autonomous one by simplifying the mathematical analysis and following the dynamical behaviors. Some theoretical properties of the proposed autonomous model like the boundedness, stability, and Kolmogorov conditions are studied. This paper's analytical results demonstrate that the dynamic behaviors are globally stable and that the rescue effect improves the likelihood of coexistence compared to when there is no rescue impact. Furthermore, numerical simul

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Scopus (3)
Crossref (1)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Feb 01 2023
Journal Name
Periodicals Of Engineering And Natural Sciences (pen)
Bitcoin Prediction with a hybrid model
...Show More Authors

In recent years, Bitcoin has become the most widely used blockchain platform in business and finance. The goal of this work is to find a viable prediction model that incorporates and perhaps improves on a combination of available models. Among the techniques utilized in this paper are exponential smoothing, ARIMA, artificial neural networks (ANNs) models, and prediction combination models. The study's most obvious discovery is that artificial intelligence models improve the results of compound prediction models. The second key discovery was that a strong combination forecasting model that responds to the multiple fluctuations that occur in the bitcoin time series and Error improvement should be used. Based on the results, the prediction acc

... Show More
Scopus (8)
Scopus
Publication Date
Mon Nov 19 2018
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Analytical Study of Cartoon picture AL-Mada Newspaper is a model
...Show More Authors

The researcher studies and explains the content of some pictures that are published in al-Mada newspaper. The research is important as it deals with a topic that has a relation with visual culture and its role to transfer the press letter to the audience. The researcher finds that cartoonist exposed the security services through important people who have a major role in state policy and reveals the level of corruption and the weak treatments for this phenomenon and its reflection on the whole society and individuals. In addition to that, cartoonists try to encourage the public for going on the peaceful demonstrations since it is a good tool to make pressure on the government to punish the corrupts.

View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Dec 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Comparison of Pressure Losses Calculations by Approximate Methods in the Annulus (Laminar Flow)
...Show More Authors

Most of the world's drilling companies use API method for calculating the
pressure drop in drilling oil and gas wells. Iraqi Drilling Company also uses this
method for drilling oil wells in all fields of Iraq. In Russia, the method is actively
used Grodde for calculating the pressure drop in drilling oil and gas wells. This
study includes a comparison of formulas API, Grodde and new techniques
developed methods for the laminar flow of viscoplastic fluids in the annular space.
The aim of this study is to determine the most accurate way to calculate the pressure
loss in drilling oil wells. The comparison was focused on identifying changes in the
values of β, using the above calculation methods.

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Jul 20 2020
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
The Continuous Classical Optimal Control Problems for Triple Nonlinear Elliptic Boundary Value Problem
...Show More Authors

     In this research, our aim is to study the optimal control problem (OCP) for triple nonlinear elliptic boundary value problem (TNLEBVP). The Mint-Browder theorem is used to prove the existence and uniqueness theorem of the solution of the state vector for fixed control vector. The existence theorem for the triple continuous classical optimal control vector (TCCOCV) related to the TNLEBVP is also proved. After studying the existence of a unique solution for the triple adjoint equations (TAEqs) related to the triple of the state equations, we derive The Fréchet derivative (FD) of the cost function using Hamiltonian function. Then the theorems of necessity conditions and the sufficient condition for optimality of

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref